Los Angeles Angels vs Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Angels vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 5/5/2024

The Los Angeles Angels (12-21) travel to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (21-12) on Sunday, May 5th. This game will be played at Progressive Field in Cleveland and televised on BSW. The Guardians are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Angels are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Guardians. First pitch is set for 1:40 ET.

Angels vs Guardians

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The most recent game o of this Angels and Guardians series featured a lopsided 7-1 win for the Guardians. Heading into the game, they were favored at -130 on the money line.

Cleveland got to Angels starter Reid Detmers, who gave up seven earned runs in just 5 2/3 innings of work and took the loss. As for the Guardians, they got a good outing from Ben Lively, who gave up just one earned run across six innings of work and got the win.

Offensively, the Guardians were led by Bo Naylor and Austin Hedges, as they were the only two players in the lineup to have more than one hit and each homered. Naylor scored four times and drove in four runs.

With an overall record of 12-21, the Angels are looking to pick up a win today on the road vs. the Guardians, and they are looking to move above .500 for the first time this season. The Angels are in 5th place in the AL West, six games behind the Mariners for the division lead. So far, they have yet to play a game against another AL West team.

At home, the Angels have gone just 4-11 this year, and they are only a game above .500 at 8-10 on the road. This season, the Angels have really struggled in day games, going 2-12. Los Angeles is the underdog today, and they have gone 11-18 as the underdog this season compared to 1-3 when favored.

When betting the run line, the Angels have been a better bet on the road this season, going 11-7 compared to 5-10 at home. They have been an underdog in 29 of their 33 games and have covered the run line in 16 of those games. Their average run differential in their wins is +3.8 runs per game, while their average run differential in their losses is -4.0 runs per game.

The Angels have played 35 games this season, with 21 of them having over/under lines set at 9 or lower. Their over/under record in those games is 3-4. Their combined run average for the season is 9.5 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 18-14. Today’s over/under line is set at 9 runs.

Griffin Canning Gets The Start For The Angels

Right-hander Griffin Canning is getting the start for the Angels today as he faces the Guardians on the road. So far this season, he has made six starts and has a record of 1-3 with a 7.45 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Canning has a WHIP of 1.55 and opponents are batting .287 off him this season. In his last outing, Canning finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won his previous start. Canning has allowed at least two home runs in three of his six starts.

Angels Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Angels offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 10th in the league, and they are also 7th in the league in home runs. Los Angeles has been pretty consistent at home and on the road, averaging 4.1 and 4.2 runs per game, respectively.

Mike Trout comes into the game as the league’s home run leader, but he is batting just .220 for the season. Taylor Ward has been a bright spot for the Angels, as he is hitting .280 with seven homers and 24 RBIs. Over his last eight games, Luis Rengifo is batting .407, and he has two homers and five RBIs in that stretch.

Cleveland’s overall record is 21-12, and they lead the AL Central by 1.5 games over the Twins. So far, they have gone 4-1 against other teams in the AL Central. The Guardians will be hosting the Angels today and have gone 9-5 at home this year.

The Guardians have dropped two straight series, and their overall series record is 7-3 this year. So far, they have been good in day games, going 10-3. As the favorite, the Guardians are 12-6 this year and 8-4 as the home favorite. Looking at their overall record, the Guardians are 12-6 as the underdog.

When the Cleveland Guardians win, they tend to win big, with an average run margin of 3.8 runs per game. This is reflected in their run line record of 22-11, which includes a 9-5 mark at home. They are 12-3 against the run line as an underdog, and their average run margin in losses is -3.2 runs per game.

The Cleveland Guardians have played 31 games this season, and only three of them have had over/under lines set at 9 runs. The over has hit in two of those three games. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 18-13. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs per game.

Carlos Carrasco Gets The Start For The Guardians

Carlos Carrasco gets the start for the Guardians today and comes into the game with a record of 1-2 and an ERA of 6.58. Looking back at his last outing, Carrasco finished with a no-decision against the Astros, giving up 8 hits, 8 earned runs, and 2 homers in 4 innings of work. Before that outing, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Opponents are batting .272 off Carrasco this season, and his WHIP is 1.68. So far, he has allowed a total of five homers and is averaging 4.94 walks per nine innings compared to 7.57 strikeouts.

Guardians Offense Breakdown

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Heading into today’s game, the Guardians are 6th in the league in runs scored, averaging 5 runs per contest. So far, they have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .244, which is 9th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in terms of fewest strikeouts per game.

Steven Kwan has been red hot for the Guardians, going 12/32 in his last nine games with one homer and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting .353. Josh Naylor and Jose Ramirez have also been key run producers for the Guardians, with Naylor’s seven homers being 4th in the league, and Ramirez’s 25 RBIs leading the team and 5th in the league.

Angels vs Guardians Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Angels vs. Guardians game is to take the Guardians on the money line at -134. We have the Guardians winning this one by a final score of 6-5. At -134, the payout is a little lower than we would like, but we still see this as a good value pick.

Looking at some potential player props, Carlos Carrasco is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is the seventh best among today’s starters. As for Griffin Canning, his projected strikeout total is five, which has him just outside the top 10.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.