Oakland Athletics vs Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Athletics vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 5/12/2024

The Oakland Athletics (19-22) travel to face off against the Seattle Mariners (21-19) on Sunday, May 12th. This game will be played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle and televised on NSPCA. The Athletics are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mariners are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Athletics. First pitch is set for 4:10 ET.

Athletics vs Mariners

oakland athletics nba

It was all Oakland in the last game of this series, as the A’s took down the Mariners by a score of 8-1. The A’s offense only had nine hits but took advantage of three Mariners errors. Heading into the game, they were at +192 on the money line.

Seattle’s only run came in the 2nd inning, and they finished the game with just three hits. The Mariners were favored at -234 on the money line.

Oakland’s starter, Joey Estes, only went five innings but gave up just one hit and one earned run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued four walks. On the other side, Bryce Miller got the start for the Mariners and gave up two earned runs in six innings of work.

Oakland is 19-22 overall and trails the Rangers by three games in the AL West. Currently, they are 3rd in the division and are 4-5 in divisional matchups. The Athletics are 4-1 as the favorite this year and 15-21 as the underdog.

At home, the Athletics are 10-13 this year and have gone 9-9 on the road. Oakland has an overall series record of 6-5-1 heading into today’s game, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.

When the A’s win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.4 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -4.2 runs per game. Overall, their run line record is 23-18, and they are 11-7 against the run line on the road. They are 21-15 against the run line as an underdog, but just 2-3 as a favorite.

Despite the Oakland Athletics’ over/under record of 20-20, the over has hit in five straight games. The combined run average in Athletics games this season is 8.6, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, the over has gone 5-9 in those games. Overall, 58.5% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.

Alex Wood Gets The Start For The Athletics

Alex Wood gets the start for the Athletics today as he faces off against the Mariners on the road. He has made a total of eight starts this year and has a record of 1-2 with an ERA of 5.30. Looking at his overall numbers, Wood has a WHIP of 1.74 and opponents are batting .303 this season. In his last outing, Wood finished with a no-decision, going six innings and not allowing a run. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. Wood’s ERA at home is 6.88 compared to 4.43 on the road.

Athletics Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Athletics offense is batting just .222 this season, which is 16th in the league. However, they do have the 3rd most home runs in the league and have two players who are in the top 10 in home runs. Brent Rooker and Shea Langeliers are both tied for 4th in the league with nine homers apiece.

Rooker has been hot of late, going 15/34 with four homers over his last nine games, while Abraham Toro has also been swinging a hot bat, hitting .357 in his last nine games. Toro is batting .293 for the season and has three homers.

Seattle is hosting the Athletics today with an overall record of 21-19, which has them 2nd in the AL West, a half-game behind the Rangers. So far, they are 5-3 in divisional games. The Mariners took the series opener vs. the Athletics but dropped the second game, and their overall series record is 6-5-1 this year.

At home, the Mariners are 12-9 this year compared to 9-10 on the road. Looking at how they have fared as the favorite, the Mariners are 12-10 and 9-9 as the underdog. Seattle has gone just 4-6 over their last 10 games.

Seattle is 19-21 against the run line this season, including a 10-11 mark at home. The Mariners have an average run differential of 0.0 runs per game on the season. They are 9-10 against the run line on the road, and they are 9-13 against the run line as the favorite.

The Seattle Mariners have had five straight games go over the total, and their games have averaged 7.4 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 13-25 on the season, and when the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, they are 5-8 in those games. The over/under line for today’s game against the Oakland Athletics is set at 7.5 runs.

Luis Castillo Gets The Start For The Mariners

Luis Castillo will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing against the Twins, where he took the loss. In that start, he went 6 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs on seven hits. Looking at his overall numbers, Castillo has made eight starts and has a record of 3-5. His ERA for the season is 3.35, along with a WHIP of 1.12. Opposing batters have hit .230 this season off Castillo. One positive note is that he has turned in five quality starts this year. So far, he has a BB/9 figure of 2.05 compared to 10.43 strikeouts per nine innings.

Mariners Offense Breakdown

seattle mariners

Cal Raleigh has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Mariners, going 6/25 in his last eight games with four homers and 10 RBIs. His 10 homers this season are the most on the team and 3rd in the league. Mitch Haniger and Jorge Polanco are tied for 2nd on the team with five homers, but both are batting under .210 for the season.

For the season, the Mariners are averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .222 and are the league’s worst team in terms of strikeouts.

Athletics vs Mariners Prediction

Our prediction for this Athletics vs. Mariners matchup is to take the Athletics on the money line, with the payout at +200. We have the final score at 5-4 in favor of the Athletics, and with the payout sitting at +200, we feel this is the best way to play this one.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Alex Wood finishing with six strikeouts, which is higher than Luis Castillo, who we have finishing with seven. Castillo is projected to finish with the most strikeouts among all starters today.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.