The Baltimore Orioles (20-11) travel to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (16-15) on Friday, May 3rd. This game will be played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati and televised on MASN. The Orioles are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Reds are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 6:10 ET.
Orioles vs Reds
Ryan Mountcastle had a big game at the plate for the Orioles in their most recent game vs. the Yankees, going 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs. The Orioles really broke things open with a four-run 5th inning and added another three runs in the 4th. Baltimore was the -112 favorite at home going into the game.
Kyle Bradish got the start for the Orioles, going 4 2/3 innings, and picked up the win. He only gave up one run on four hits and issued just two walks. The Orioles’ bullpen was also solid, as they didn’t give up a run over the final 4 1/3 innings.
The Orioles head into today’s road matchup vs. the Reds with an overall record of 20-11, good for 1st place in the AL East. Currently, they hold a one-game lead over the Yankees for the division lead. Baltimore has been excellent against other teams in the AL East, putting up a record of 6-1 so far. The Orioles closed out their series vs. the Yankees with three straight wins.
So far, the Orioles have been good at home, going 12-7, and they have been strong on the road, going 8-4 this season. As the favorite, the Orioles are 16-10 this year, and they are 4-1 as the underdog. Baltimore’s overall series record is 7-3, and they have won three straight series on the road. Their record in their last ten games is 6-4.
When the Orioles win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.8 runs per game. They have covered the run line in 18 of 31 games this season, including a 7-5 mark on the road. They have been the favorite in 26 of their games, covering the run line in 14 of those contests.
The Baltimore Orioles are on the road against the Cincinnati Reds today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The Orioles have had an over/under record of 16-12 this season, and their games have had an average combined run total of 9.3. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, their record is 2-3-1. So far this season, only 6.5% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher.
Cole Irvin Gets The Start For The Orioles
Cole Irvin and the Orioles are taking on the Reds in Cincinnati. Irvin has been solid through his first two starts, picking up wins in both outings. He went 7 innings in his last start, striking out 5 and allowing 4 hits. In his first start, he went 6 2/3 innings and struck out 2.
Orioles Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Orioles have been the league’s top home run hitting team, and they are also at the top of the league in isolated power. As a team, they are batting .250, which is the 6th best mark in the league, and are averaging 5.3 runs per game. Baltimore’s team on-base percentage is .309, which is 15th in the league.
Adley Rutschman has been one of the Orioles’ top hitters this season, batting .310 with four homers and 18 RBIs. Gunnar Henderson has also been a key power threat in their lineup, as he is currently leading the league with 10 homers. Over his last six games, Ryan Mountcastle has three homers and is 6/24.
The Reds will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Padres with a 6-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 1st inning but gave it all right back in the bottom of the first. The Padres scored four runs in the 7th to put things out of reach, and Cincinnati’s offense scored their only other run in the 5th.
Graham Ashcraft put together a good start for the Reds, going six innings and not giving up a run. However, the Reds couldn’t close things out, and Fernando Cruz took the loss out of the bullpen. The Reds also wasted a big game from Spencer Steer, who homered in the 1st but went just 1/4.
Cincinnati will host the Orioles today with an overall record of 16-15, and they are 3rd in the NL Central, 3.5 games behind the Brewers. The Reds dropped the final two games of their series vs. the Padres. This year, they are 1-2 in the NL Central.
At home, the Reds are 9-7 this year and 7-8 on the road. As the underdog, Cincinnati has dropped two straight games, and their overall series record is 4-5-1. Cincinnati is 10-4 as the favorite compared to 6-11 as the underdog.
When the Reds are favored, they are a good bet on the run line, going 9-5. They are 8-9 vs. the run line as an underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is 4.2, while it is -3.3 in losses. Cincinnati is 17-14 vs. the run line overall, but just 8-8 at home.
The Cincinnati Reds have an over/under record of 17-13 this season, with an average combined run average of 9.1 runs per game. Their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 0-3-1, and 32.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs. The Reds have gone over the total in their last two games, with a combined run average of 8 runs in their last 10 games.
Hunter Greene Gets The Start For The Reds
Hunter Greene will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t allow a run and picked up the win. In that start vs. the Rangers, he went seven innings and gave up just one hit. Looking at his overall numbers, Greene has made six starts and has a record of 1-2. His ERA for the season is 3.63, along with a WHIP of 1.10. Opposing batters have hit .210 this season off Greene. Per nine innings, he is averaging 10.9 strikeouts compared to 3.12 walks.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Elly De La Cruz has been a consistent hitter for the Reds this season, batting .280 with a team-leading eight home runs. His 19 RBIs are also 2nd on the team and 10th in the league. However, he has gone just 4/20 in his last five games, including one home run and three runs scored. Spencer Steer and Will Benson are also tied for 2nd on the team with four homers apiece.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.8 runs per game (8th) and are among the league leaders in isolated power. However, they have a team batting average of just .218 and have been striking out an average of nine times per game. Currently, the Reds have three players on a hitting streak, including Elly De La Cruz, who is looking to extend his four-game streak.
Orioles vs Reds Prediction
Our prediction for this Orioles vs. Reds matchup is to take the Orioles on the money line, with the payout currently sitting at -118. We actually have the Orioles winning this one by a score of 6-5, so there is some value in taking the over as well, with the line set at 9 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Cole Irvin is actually projected to finish with more strikeouts than Hunter Greene, and we have him going for six K’s. As for Greene, we have him ending the game with seven strikeouts.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:May 3, 2024 Orioles, Reds