The Baltimore Orioles (21-11) travel to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (16-16) on Saturday, May 4th. This game will be played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati and televised on BSOH. The Orioles are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Reds are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Orioles. First pitch is set for 6:40 ET.
Orioles vs Reds
It was all Baltimore in the last game of this series, as the Orioles took down the Reds by a score of 3-0. The Orioles offense only had one more hit than the Reds and struck out eight times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +100 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Cole Irvin for the Orioles and Hunter Greene for the Reds. Irvin went 6 1/3 innings and didn’t give up a run, picking up a win in the game. On the other side, Greene was tagged for five hits and four runs in 5 2/3 innings of work.
Baltimore’s two and three hitters, Ryan O’Hearn and Ryan Mountcastle, each had two hits and an RBI. Gunnar Henderson also had a two-hit game and scored a run for the Orioles’ offense.
The Orioles are on the road today vs. the Reds, having won two straight games. Baltimore’s overall record is 21-11, and they lead the AL East by one game over the Yankees. So far, they have gone 6-1 in divisional games. The Orioles have taken two straight series and have an overall series record of 7-3 this year.
At home, the Orioles have gone 12-7 this year, and they have been really good on the road, putting together a record of 9-4. This season, they have been good as the favorite, going 16-10, and they are 5-1 as the underdog. So far, they have been really good in day games, going 12-5 this year.
When the Orioles win, they tend to do so by a wide margin, as their average run differential in victories is +3.8 runs per game. They have been profitable on the run line this season, going 19-13 overall and 8-5 on the road. They have been favored in most of their games, going 14-12 against the run line as the favorite. They have been even better at home, going 11-8 against the run line.
The Baltimore Orioles have played 29 games this season, and only two of them have had an over/under line of 9.5 runs. Both of those games have gone over the total, and the Orioles are 16-13 overall on over/unders for the season. The average over/under line in their games has been 8 runs, and the combined run average in their games is 9.1 runs.
John Means Gets The Start For The Orioles
John Means is coming off a season in which he made four starts and finished with a record of 1-2. His ERA for the year was 2.66, and he made two quality starts. Means’ WHIP for the season was .72, and he finished the year with a batting average allowed of .160. Opponents had an on-base percentage of .205 against Means, and his slugging percentage allowed was .358. For the season, Means averaged 3.8 strikeouts per nine innings and 1.0 walks per game.
Orioles Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Orioles have been the league’s top power-hitting team, as they lead the MLB with 49 home runs and also have the league’s best isolated power mark. As a team, they are averaging 5.2 runs per game, which is 3rd in the league. Baltimore also comes into the game with the league’s top slugging percentage and are 4th in OPS. The Orioles have been especially good at home this season, averaging 5.3 runs per game.
Adley Rutschman has been a big part of the Orioles’ offense this season, as he is batting .308 with four homers and 19 RBIs. He has also gone 10/37 in his last nine games, with two home runs. Gunnar Henderson is the league’s top home run hitter so far, and he is also batting a solid .279. He has three homers in his last nine games, going 9/35 in that stretch.
Cincinnati will host the Orioles today with an overall record of 16-16, and they are 4.5 games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. The Reds have dropped three straight games, and they are 1-2 in divisional games this year. Cincinnati lost the final game of their series with the Cubs, and they are two games behind the Cubs for the second spot in the division.
So far, the Reds have been good at home, going 9-8 this year, compared to 7-8 on the road. As the underdog, the Reds are just 2-3 at home this year, and they are 6-11 as the underdog overall. As for their record as the favorite, the Reds have gone 10-5 this year. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 4-5-1, and they have lost two straight series.
The Reds have been a solid run line bet this season, going 17-15 overall. They have been slightly better on the road, going 9-6 compared to 8-9 at home. They have been favored in 15 games, going 9-6 in those contests. Their average run differential in winning games is +4.2, while it’s -3.3 in losses.
Today’s over/under line of 9.5 runs for the Cincinnati Reds’ game against the Baltimore Orioles is the highest line of the season for the Reds. Cincinnati’s games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 17-14. When the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs, the over has hit in 8 of 9 games. The Reds have had just one game this season with an over/under line higher than 9.5 runs.
Andrew Abbott Gets The Start For The Reds
Left-hander Andrew Abbott gets the start for the Reds today as he faces the Orioles at home. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 1-3 with an ERA of 3.27. Abbott’s WHIP for the season is 1.12, and opponents are batting .208 off him this year. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up a home run. Abbott has made two starts at home and has an ERA of 2.84 compared to 3.6 on the road.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Elly De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Reds, as he has gone 10/36 in his last 10 games with two homers and four RBIs. Overall, he is batting .288 for the season and is 3rd in the league with eight home runs. De La Cruz also comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak. Spencer Steer has been a good run producer for the Reds this season, as his 22 RBIs are 8th in the league. He has four homers this season and is batting .246.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.8 runs per game. So far, they have the 11th ranked home run hitting offense in the league. Overall, the Reds are batting just .214, which is 21st in the league.
Orioles vs Reds Prediction
Our pick for today’s Orioles vs. Reds matchup is to take the Orioles on the money line at -118. We actually have the Orioles winning this one by a score of 6-5, so if you wanted to play the over/under line, you could take the over, as the line is sitting at 9.5 runs.
Looking at some of the projections for today, the Orioles lineup is looking strong, as they are projected to finish with 11 hits, compared to the Reds, who are projected to finish with nine. The Orioles are also projected to finish with 11 strikeouts, while the Reds are projected to finish with nine.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:May 4, 2024 Orioles, Reds