The Toronto Blue Jays (18-22) travel to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (26-13) on Monday, May 13th. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and televised on SNET. Both the Blue Jays and Orioles are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:35 ET.
Blue Jays vs Orioles
The Blue Jays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Twins with a 5-1 loss. This was especially tough, as it was the Blue Jays’ third straight loss. Toronto was the +102 underdog at home going into the game.
Alek Manoah was excellent for the Blue Jays, going seven innings and not giving up a run. However, the Blue Jays’ offense could only score one run, and it came in the 7th inning. They also wasted a big game from George Springer, who went 3/4 with a double and a run scored.
Toronto is 5th in the AL East, trailing the Orioles by 8.5 games. Overall, the Blue Jays are 18-22 as they play on the road vs. the Orioles. Toronto is 5-5 in divisional games this year.
As the road underdog, the Blue Jays are 4-9 this year compared to going 14-10 as the favorite. Toronto has dropped three straight series at home, and their overall series record is 4-7-2. They come into today’s game having lost two of three and are just 3-7 over their last 10 games.
When the Blue Jays win, they win by an average of 2.8 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 4.5 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 17-23, and they are 10-12 against the run line on the road. They are 12-12 against the run line as the favorite and 5-11 against the run line as the underdog.
Today’s over/under line of 8 runs for the Toronto Blue Jays’ game against the Baltimore Orioles is right in line with their season average. The Blue Jays have played 39 games this season, and 20 of them have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs. Their over/under record for the season is 17-22, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, they have gone 5-5-1.
José Berríos Gets The Start For The Blue Jays
Toronto is sending José Berríos to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 4-3 and an ERA of 2.85. Berríos has made a total of eight starts this year and has turned in six quality starts. His most recent outing was a rough one, as he took the loss and gave up eight earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of work. Looking back over his last three starts, Berríos has taken the loss in each outing. Before this rough stretch, he had won two straight starts. Opponents are batting .217 off Berríos this season.
Blue Jays Offense Breakdown
Over the Blue Jays’ last five games, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been on fire, going 10/20 with four RBIs. For the season, he is batting .273 with four homers, which is 2nd on the team. Danny Jansen is also swinging a hot bat right now, as he is batting .315 for the season and has gone 6/17 in his last five games, including one home run.
As a team, the Blue Jays are 27th in the league in scoring at just 3.7 runs per game. This is also their home and road scoring averages. So far, they are batting just .231, which is 15th in the league, and their team slugging percentage of .363 is 21st in the league.
The Orioles will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Diamondbacks with a 9-2 loss. Baltimore was actually the slight favorite at home going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Diamondbacks scored six times in the top of the 6th.
Dean Kremer took the loss for the Orioles, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on four hits. He also issued four walks and hit a batter. The Orioles’ offense scored their only two runs in the 4th inning and added just two more hits the rest of the game.
With an overall record of 26-13, the Orioles lead the AL East by a half-game over the Yankees. So far, they have gone 6-1 against other teams in the AL East. Baltimore will be hosting the Blue Jays today with an overall record of 14-8 at home compared to 12-5 on the road.
So far, the Orioles have been really good as the favorite, going 19-12, and they are 7-1 as the underdog. Baltimore is 13-7 when favored at home. Looking at their overall series record, the Orioles are 9-3-1 this season, and they took two of three from the Diamondbacks in their most recent series.
When the Orioles win, they win big, with an average run differential of 3.7 runs per game. That’s why they have a 22-17 run line record. They’re 12-10 vs. the run line at home, where they’re outscoring opponents by an average of 1.0 run per game. They’re 10-7 vs. the run line on the road, where they’re outscoring opponents by an average of 1.6 runs per game. As the favorite, they’re 15-16 vs. the run line, but as the underdog, they’re 7-1.
The Orioles have a combined run average of 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 20-16. The over has hit in 69.2% of their games this season, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 4-2-1. Their over streak is at 2 games, and their games have an average over/under line of 8 runs. Their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs in 27 out of 39 games this season.
Corbin Burnes Gets The Start For The Orioles
Through eight starts, Corbin Burnes has a record of 3-2 and an ERA of 2.83. He has made five quality starts this year and is averaging 8.87 strikeouts per nine innings. Burnes’ WHIP for the season is .96, and he has allowed a total of six home runs. In his most recent outing, Burnes took the loss, giving up three earned runs in 6 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. Burnes has been much better at home, coming in with an ERA of 2.56 compared to 3.44 on the road.
Orioles Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Orioles have been the best home run-hitting team in the league, and they are also 3rd in the league in runs scored, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Baltimore has also been one of the league’s best power-hitting teams, as they are 1st in slugging percentage and have the best isolated power (ISO) in the league. As a team, they are batting .246, which is the 8th best mark in the league.
Both Jordan Westburg and Adley Rutschman come into the game with a batting average of .304, and Westburg’s 27 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 9th best in the league. Westburg has also gone deep six times, which is 3rd on the team and 8th in the league. Anthony Santander has gone 7/22 in his last six games, including three homers.
Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction
Our pick for today’s Blue Jays vs. Orioles matchup is to take the over, with the line currently sitting at 8 runs. We actually have the Orioles winning this game 5-4, but with the money line payout being -168, we see more value in taking the over.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Corbin Burnes is actually our top-rated pitcher in terms of picking up a win. We have him going six innings and finishing with six strikeouts. As for José Berríos, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts and has the Blue Jays finishing with a total of eight hits.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:May 13, 2024 Blue Jays, Orioles