Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 5/28/2024

The Boston Red Sox (27-27) travel to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (34-18) on Tuesday, May 28th. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and televised on NESN. The Orioles are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Red Sox are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Orioles. First pitch is set for 6:35 ET.

Red Sox vs Orioles

boston red sox nba

Baltimore cruised to an easy 11-3 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a huge 4th inning, scoring five of their eleven runs. As for the Red Sox, they scored their only three runs in the 8th. Heading into the game, the Orioles were favored at -159 on the money line.

Cole Irvin pitched well for the Orioles in this one, going five innings and striking out six without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Cooper Criswell struggled on the mound for the Red Sox, taking the loss.

Kyle Stowers and Ryan Mountcastle each homered for the Orioles, while Stowers, Cedric Mullins, and Adley Rutschman each had two RBIs. Mullins scored three times and stole two bases.

Boston is at .500 with a record of 27-27, and they are 9.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. So far, they are just 4-7 in divisional games. The Red Sox are on the road today, and they are 16-12 on the road compared to 11-15 at home.

As the road underdog, the Red Sox have gone 10-11 this year, and they are 13-16 as the underdog overall. Boston has been the favorite in 25 games, and they are 14-11 in those games. Looking at their overall series record, the Red Sox are 8-8-1, and they have dropped two straight series at home.

When betting on the Red Sox, it’s best to take them on the run line when they’re on the road. They are 17-11 against the run line in road games, and they have an average scoring margin of +1.4 runs per game away from Fenway Park. The Red Sox are 7-18 against the run line as the favorite and 17-12 as the underdog.

The Boston Red Sox are on the road today against the Baltimore Orioles with an over/under line of 8.5. The combined run average in Red Sox games this season is 8.3, and their over/under record is 20-30. When the over/under line is set at 8.5, their record is 9-10. So far this season, 22.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5.

Brayan Bello Gets The Start For The Red Sox

Brayan Bello gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made eight starts this year and has a record of 5-2 with a 4.04 ERA. Bello’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.16. In his 42 1/3 innings of work, he has given up a total of eight home runs. Looking back at his last outing, Bello gave up three earned runs in six innings of work vs. the Rays. He did pick up the win in that outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts. So far, he has made two quality starts this year.

Red Sox Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game. Boston’s offense has been solid in terms of power this season, as they are 9th in home runs and have a collective isolated power figure of .159, which is 7th in the MLB. One area of concern for the Red Sox is their team strikeout numbers, as they are 24th in the league in this category.

Over his last eight games, Rafael Devers has gone 6/27 with two homers and seven runs batted in. For the season, Devers is hitting .273 with a team-high 24 RBIs. Tyler O’Neill is also a player to watch in this game, as he is 7th in the league with 11 homers. However, he is batting just .236 for the season.

The Orioles host the Red Sox today with an overall record of 34-18, which has them 2nd in the AL East, 1.5 games behind the Yankees for the division lead. Baltimore has been playing well of late, winning five straight games, and they are 8-2 against other teams in the AL East this year.

At home, the Orioles are 18-10 this year and have gone 16-8 on the road. So far, they have been really good as the favorite, putting up a mark of 27-16. As for their record as the underdog, they are 7-2 this year. Baltimore has an overall series record of 11-4-2, and they are leading their current series vs. the Red Sox. Looking at their overall record, the Orioles are 6-4 over their last 10 games.

When the Orioles win, they do so by an average of 3.6 runs per game. They are 29-23 against the run line this season, including a 15-13 mark at home. As the favorite, they are 22-21 against the run line, and they have covered the run line in five straight games when favored. Baltimore’s overall run differential is +1.3 runs per game, and they have a +1.4 run differential in home games.

The Baltimore Orioles are playing at home against the Boston Red Sox today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Orioles games this season is 8.8 runs, and their over/under record is 26-20. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 10-7. So far this season, 40.4% of their games have had over/under lines set lower than 8.5 runs.

Grayson Rodriguez Gets The Start For The Orioles

Through eight starts, Grayson Rodriguez has a record of 5-1 and an ERA of 3.20. He has made four quality starts this year and is averaging 10.2 strikeouts per nine innings. In his most recent outing, Rodriguez picked up the win, going five innings and giving up two earned runs on three hits. Before that, he had not allowed an earned run in two straight outings. The right-hander has been much better at home, coming in with a 1.12 ERA compared to 6.04 on the road.

Orioles Offense Breakdown

baltimore orioles

Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson have been one of the league’s best 1-2 punches in terms of home runs, as Henderson’s 17 homers are the best mark in the league, and Rutschman is 8th in the MLB with 10 homers. Rutschman also leads the Orioles with 37 RBIs and is batting .300 for the season. Henderson comes into the game with a batting average of .260.

Ryan Mountcastle has been on a tear at the plate for the Orioles, going 11/31 in his last eight games. This stretch has also seen him score five runs. Gunnar Henderson has three homers in his last nine games, but he is batting just .233 during this stretch. Anthony Santander has struggled of late, going just 3/22 in his last six games.

Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction

Our predicted final score for this game is 5-4 in favor of the Orioles. However, we are going to be looking at the over/under line, and we like the over at 8.5 runs. The payout for an Orioles win isn’t great at -164, and we would recommend taking the over at -113.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Grayson Rodriguez finishing with six strikeouts compared to Brayan Bello with seven. If you’re looking for a player prop bet, you could look at the over/under lines for these two pitchers.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.