The Milwaukee Brewers (20-14) travel to face off against the Kansas City Royals (21-15) on Tuesday, May 7th. This game will be played at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City and televised on BSWI. The Royals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Brewers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Royals. First pitch is set for 7:40 ET.
Brewers vs Royals
Thanks to a three-run 7th inning for the Royals’ offense, they picked up a 3-2 win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Royals were favored at -137 on the money line.
The starting pitching matchup for this game featured Bryse Wilson for the Brewers, and he went six innings while giving up just one hit and no earned runs. Cole Ragans got the start for the Royals, going six innings and giving up two earned runs.
Kansas City got on the board first in this game, scoring one run in the 1st inning. However, they didn’t score another run until putting up three in the 7th. As for the Brewers, they scored their only two runs in the 4th.
Milwaukee is currently on a three-game losing streak, and they will be looking to get back on track today vs. the Royals. The Brewers are 20-14 overall, good for a tie for the NL Central lead with the Cubs. So far, they have gone 8-5 in divisional matchups.
At home, the Brewers are 7-7 this year, and they have gone 13-7 on the road. As the road underdog, the Brewers have put together a record of 9-4 this year, and they have gone 9-6 as the favorite. Milwaukee’s series record is 6-3-2, and they are coming into today’s game with an overall record of 4-6 over their last 10 games.
When betting the run line on the Milwaukee Brewers, it’s best to take them on the road. They are 13-7 on the run line away from home, compared to just 4-10 at home. Their average run margin is +1.6 on the road, compared to -0.9 at home. They have covered the run line in four straight games as the underdog, going 13-6 overall in that role.
The Milwaukee Brewers are on a two-game under streak, and their over/under record for the season is 19-15. The Brewers have played in just two games this season with an over/under line of 9 runs, and their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 9.2 runs per game.
Colin Rea Gets The Start For The Brewers
Milwaukee is sending right-hander Colin Rea to the mound today as he faces the Royals on the road. Rea has made six starts this year and has a record of 3-0 with a 2.67 ERA. So far, he has made two quality starts and is coming off a game in which he didn’t allow a run. In that outing, which came against the Rays, Rea went six innings, giving up just four hits and two walks. Looking back at his last three outings, Rea has finished with a no-decision in each one. The Brewers have won four of the last five games he has started.
Brewers Offense Breakdown
William Contreras and Willy Adames have been two of the Brewers’ top power threats this season, as Contreras is 2nd on the team with a batting average of .328 and Adames is right behind him at .258. Adames and Rhys Hoskins are tied for the team lead with six homers. Christian Yelich is also having a strong season, batting .333 with five homers.
Collectively, the Brewers are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .251 and have the 5th most home runs in the league. Over the past 10 games, Contreras is batting just .237, and Adames is at .211.
With an overall record of 21-15, the Royals are in 2nd place in the AL Central, and they trail the Guardians by 2.5 games for the division lead. Today, the Royals, who are 8-5 against other AL Central teams, host the Brewers with an overall series record of 5-6.
At home, the Royals have been strong this year, going 14-7 compared to 7-8 on the road. As the favorite, the Royals have gone 8-4 this year and 6-2 as the favorite at home. So far, they have been good as the underdog, putting up a mark of 13-11. Kansas City’s overall record has them 2nd in the AL Central, tied with the Twins for 2nd place, and they are 2.5 games ahead of the Tigers.
While the Royals have been a solid play on the run line overall this season, they have been even better against the run line at home, going 13-8. Their average run margin at home is 1.6 runs per game, compared to 0.8 runs per game on the road. They have been a better play on the run line as the underdog, going 17-7, compared to 6-6 as the favorite.
The Kansas City Royals have been involved in games with an average of 7.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 11-23. They have had just 8.3% of their games with an over/under line set at 9 runs, and their over/under record in those games is 1-4. Their last two games have gone under the total, and their over/under record for the season is 11-23.
Seth Lugo Gets The Start For The Royals
Kansas City is sending Seth Lugo to the mound today vs. the Brewers, and he has been pitching well this season. Lugo’s record is 5-1, and he has an ERA of 1.60. In his seven starts, he has turned in six quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he gave up just one earned run in seven innings of work. Lugo has been especially tough on the road, coming in with a record of 3-0 and an ERA of 0.43. At home, his ERA is 2.78.
Royals Offense Breakdown
Michael Massey has been on fire for the Royals of late, going 9/22 in his last six games, including three homers and seven RBIs. He also has a nine-game hitting streak heading into today’s game. Massey’s recent surge has pushed his season average up to .281. Salvador Perez and Bobby Witt Jr. are the Royals’ top power threats, with Perez’s eight homers ranking 4th in the league, and Witt Jr. is 8th in the league with four homers.
As a team, the Royals are averaging 4.6 runs per game (14th) and are one of the best teams in the league at avoiding strikeouts. They are also one of the top home run hitting teams in the league. Overall, they are batting .237 and have an on-base percentage of just .305. So far, they have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 5 runs per contest.
Brewers vs Royals Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Brewers vs. Royals matchup is for the Royals to pick up a 6-5 win, and with the money line payout for a Royals win sitting at -133, that is the way we recommend playing this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Seth Lugo finishing with five strikeouts, and he is projected to finish with a line of 6.0 innings, giving up five hits and two earned runs. As for Colin Rea, we have him finishing with five strikeouts and going 5.2 innings.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:May 7, 2024 Brewers, Royals