Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 4/24/2024

The Milwaukee Brewers (14-8) travel to face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (13-11) on Wednesday, April 24th. This game will be played at PNC Park in Pittsburgh and televised on SN PT. The Pirates are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Brewers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pirates. First pitch is set for 6:40 ET.

Brewers vs Pirates

milwaukee brewers nba

Pittsburgh picked up a 2-1 win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates had a 1-0 lead after the first inning, and the Brewers didn’t get on the board until they scored one run in the 8th. As for the Pirates, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 6th, and both offenses went silent after that.

Bailey Falter started for the Pirates and picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued two walks. On the other side, Tobias Myers got the start for the Brewers and took the loss, giving up one earned run in five innings of work.

At the plate, the Pirates were led by Andrew McCutchen, who went 2/4 with a home run. Gary Sanchez also homered for the Brewers, going 1/3.

Milwaukee comes into today’s game vs. the Pirates having lost two straight games, and they are 14-8 overall this season. The Brewers hold a half-game lead over the Cubs for the NL Central lead. This year, the Brewers are 5-3 against other teams in the NL Central.

The Brewers have won four straight series, and they are 5-1-1 in series overall. Milwaukee has been good on the road this year, going 10-4 compared to 4-4 at home. As the favorite, the Brewers are 6-4 and 8-4 as the underdog.

When the Brewers are on the road, they have been a good bet on the run line, going 9-5. They have a positive run differential of 2.4 runs per game on the road, and their average run differential in winning games is 3.7 runs per game. They have covered the run line in eight of 12 games as the underdog.

The Milwaukee Brewers have played in 22 games this season, and the over/under line has been set at 9 runs for the first time. Their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game, and they have a 13-9 over/under record on the year. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and their last three games have all gone under the total.

Bryse Wilson Gets The Start For The Brewers

Milwaukee is sending Bryse Wilson to the mound today vs. the Pirates, and he has made one start and seven appearances this season. Wilson’s record is 2-0, and he has an ERA of 3.29 along with a WHIP of .88. In his 13 2/3 innings of work, Wilson has a total of 13 strikeouts, which comes out to 7.9 per nine innings. The right-hander has been much better on the road, with an ERA of 14.25 compared to 2.92 at home. Wilson’s last outing came out of the bullpen, where he picked up the win, going 1 1/3 innings and not allowing a run. He has not allowed a homer in his last two outings.

Brewers Offense Breakdown

One of the Brewers’ strengths this season has been their team batting average of .263, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. They also have the 3rd most home runs in the league and are averaging 5.3 runs per game. At home, they are averaging 4.2 runs per contest, but on the road, they have been one of the league’s best offenses at 5.9 runs per game.

William Contreras has been the Brewers’ top hitter this season, batting .341 with four homers and a team-high 20 RBIs. He has also been hot of late, going 13/40 in his last 10 games. Rhys Hoskins and Christian Yelich are also tied for the team lead with five homers, but Hoskins has struggled of late, batting just .189 in his last 10 games.

Pittsburgh is looking to move into 3rd place in the NL Central today, as they are currently 2.0 games behind the Reds for that spot. So far, the Pirates have gone 13-11 overall and have won two straight games. These two wins came in the final two games of their series vs. the Red Sox.

The Pirates have been the underdog in most of their games this year, and they have gone 10-6 in those games. As the favorite, they are just 3-5. At home, they are 5-5 compared to 8-6 on the road. Pittsburgh’s overall series record is 3-2-2, and they had lost two straight series before taking the final two games vs. the Red Sox.

When the Pirates win, they do so by an average of 3 runs per game, but when they lose, it’s by an average of 3.5 runs per game. Their run line record is 14-10, and they are 5-5 ATS at home. They are 9-5 ATS on the road, and they have covered the run line in two straight games. They are 3-5 ATS as the favorite and 11-5 ATS as the underdog.

Despite the over/under line being set at 9 runs, the Pittsburgh Pirates and Milwaukee Brewers combined for just three runs in their most recent matchup. That marked the fourth straight under for the Pirates and the 22nd time in 24 games this season that their over/under line has been set at less than 9 runs.

Josh Fleming Gets The Start For The Pirates

Josh Fleming has made 10 appearances this season and has yet to take a loss, coming in with a record of 1-0 and ERA of 1.74. He has made four appearances at home, where he is 1-0 with an ERA of 0.00. Overall, he has allowed just one earned run this season. Fleming’s most recent outing came on April 21st, where he went one inning out of the bullpen, giving up one hit and issuing a walk while not allowing a run. He has finished with a no-decision in each of his last four outings.

Pirates Offense Breakdown

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After a slow start to the season, Andrew McCutchen has been swinging the bat well for the Pirates, going 9/29 with three homers over his last eight games. For the season, he is batting just .233, but his three homers are tied for the team lead. McCutchen is also 3rd on the team in RBIs. The Pirates also have three other players who have gone deep three times this season, including Oneil Cruz, Connor Joe, and Edward Olivares.

Joey Bart is batting .316 for the Pirates this season and is on a four-game hitting streak. Overall, the Pirates have been a below-average offensive team, averaging 4.2 runs per game. They have been better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest.


Brewers vs Pirates Prediction


Our prediction for today’s Brewers vs. Pirates matchup is to take the Pirates on the money line at -120. We have the Pirates winning this one by a final score of 6-5. With the over/under line sitting at 9 runs, you could also look to take the over, as we have this game going over that line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Bryse Wilson is projected to go the longest out of any starter today, and his strikeout projection is right around five. However, we have him finishing outside of the top 10 in terms of fantasy points among starting pitchers.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.