Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 4/25/2024

The Milwaukee Brewers (15-8) travel to face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (13-12) on Thursday, April 25th. This game will be played at PNC Park in Pittsburgh and televised on BSWI. The Brewers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Pirates are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Brewers. First pitch is set for 12:35 ET.

Brewers vs Pirates

milwaukee brewers nba

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Brewers vs. Pirates series. Milwaukee went into the matchup as slight favorites at -122 and squeaked out a 3-2 win. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Pirates and struck out eight times, but still picked up a win.

Pittsburgh wasted a good outing from Josh Fleming, as he gave up just one hit and no earned runs in 2 1/3 innings of work. Bryan Reynolds did hit a home run for the Pirates, going 1/3 with two RBIs.

On the other side, Bryse Wilson got the start for the Brewers and picked up the win, going just 4 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. Joel Payamps closed things out for Milwaukee’s bullpen.

Milwaukee is currently on the road, where they are 11-4 this season, and overall, they are 15-8 and lead the NL Central by a half-game over the Cubs. The Brewers have gone 6-3 against other teams in the NL Central. In their most recent game, the Brewers picked up a win vs. the Pirates, but they had dropped four straight before that.

So far, the Brewers have been good as the favorite, going 7-4, and they are 8-4 as the underdog. Milwaukee has won four straight series on the road, and their overall series record is 5-1-1 this year.

When the Brewers are on the road, they have been a good bet to cover the run line, going 9-6. They have an average run margin of 2.3 runs per game on the road, compared to -0.2 runs per game at home. They have been an underdog in most of their games, going 8-4 against the run line, while they are just 2-9 when favored.

The Milwaukee Brewers have played 23 games this season, and 22 of them have had over/under lines higher than seven runs. The Brewers’ over/under record is 13-10, and their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game. However, their last four games have all gone under the total, including a 5-3 win over the Pirates in the first game of this series. Today’s over/under line is set at seven runs.

Freddy Peralta Gets The Start For The Brewers

Freddy Peralta and the Brewers are on the road against the Pirates today. Peralta has been solid in his first three starts, going 1-0 with 18 strikeouts in 17 2/3 innings. He is coming off a start against the Cardinals where he went 6 innings and struck out 7 while giving up 4 hits and 2 walks.

Brewers Offense Breakdown

William Contreras has been the Brewers’ top hitter this season, batting .359 with four homers and a team-high 21 RBIs. He is also on a four-game hitting streak. Rhys Hoskins and Christian Yelich are also among the team’s leaders in home runs, but both are hitting below .220 for the season. Over his last 10 games, Hoskins is just 5/36, while Yelich has gone 5/30 in his last nine games.

As a team, the Brewers are 8th in the league in scoring at 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.7 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run hitting teams and are batting .262, which is 4th in the MLB.

Pittsburgh is 13-12 overall this season and is in 4th place in the NL Central. The Pirates are three games behind the Brewers for the division lead. So far, they have gone 2-1 in games against other teams in the NL Central. In their most recent series, the Pirates won two of three games vs. the Brewers but lost the series’ final game.

As the favorite, the Pirates are 3-5 this season, and they are 10-7 as the underdog. At home, they are 5-6 compared to 8-6 on the road. The Pirates’ overall series record is 3-2-2, and they had lost two straight series before taking two of three from the Brewers.

The Pirates have been a solid run line bet this season, going 15-10 overall. They are 6-5 against the run line at home and 9-5 on the road. They have covered the run line in three straight games and are 12-5 as an underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.0, compared to -3.3 in losses.

Oddsmakers have set the over/under line at 7 runs for the Pittsburgh Pirates’ game against the Milwaukee Brewers. The Pirates have played 25 games this season, and their combined run average is 8.4. Their over/under record is 12-13, and their average over/under line is 8 runs. The over/under line has been set at 7 runs for just one of their games this season, and the under has hit in all five games in which the line was set at 7 runs.

Mitch Keller Gets The Start For The Pirates

Mitch Keller is getting the start for the Pirates at home against the Brewers. He started the season with a win over the Phillies, but in his last outing, he took a loss to the Red Sox. In that game, he gave up 4 earned runs and 1 home run in 6 innings of work.

Pirates Offense Breakdown

pittsburgh pirates

Heading into today’s game, the Pirates offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. One thing to keep an eye on is that the Pirates are averaging just 2.9 runs per game at home this season. Overall, they are batting .237, which is 14th in the league, and have the 10th on-base percentage in the league. The Pirates have been good at drawing walks this season and have a strong team BABIP of .30.

Andrew McCutchen has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/30 in his last nine games with three homers. For the season, he is batting just .230, but his three homers are tied for the team lead. Bryan Reynolds, Edward Olivares, and Oneil Cruz are also tied for the team lead in homers. Reynolds comes into the game with a team-high 15 RBIs and is batting .263 for the season.


Brewers vs Pirates Prediction


Our predicted final score for this Brewers and Pirates matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Brewers. We are recommending you take the Brewers on the money line, where they are currently at -126.

Looking at some of the starting pitcher projections, Freddy Peralta is projected to finish with eight strikeouts, which is the highest among all starters today. As for Mitch Keller, his projections have him finishing with six strikeouts, which is good enough for sixth among starters.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.