Cardinals vs Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Cardinals vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 4/13/2024

The St. Louis Cardinals (7-7) travel to face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (6-8) on Saturday, April 13th. This game will be played at Chase Field in Phoenix and televised on BSMW. The Cardinals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Diamondbacks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Diamondbacks. First pitch is set for 8:10 ET.

Cardinals vs Diamondbacks

st. louis cardinals nba

It was all St. Louis in the last game of this series, as the Cardinals took down the Diamondbacks by a score of 9-6. The Cardinals offense only had two more hits than the Diamondbacks and struck out eight times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +104 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Steven Matz for the Cardinals and Brandon Pfaadt for the Diamondbacks. Matz only went 4 2/3 innings but gave up just one hit and one earned run. On the other side, Pfaadt was tagged for two homers and six runs in six innings of work.

St. Louis’ two homers came from Nolan Arenado and Lars Nootbaar. Arenado, Brendan Donovan, and Masyn Winn each had two RBIs for the Cardinals’ offense.

As the Cardinals are on the road today vs. the Diamondbacks, they are looking to move above .500, as they currently hold a record of 7-7. In the NL Central, they are in 5th place, trailing the Cubs by half a game for the 4th place and are three games behind the Brewers for the division lead.

So far, the Cardinals have been both good and bad at home and on the road, as they are 3-3 at home and 4-4 on the road. St. Louis got to two straight games as the favorite, and overall, they are 2-2 when favored this season and 5-5 as the underdog.

St. Louis has been a profitable run line team, going 10-4 overall and 6-2 on the road. They have covered six straight road games and are 8-2 when getting points. The Cardinals are outscoring opponents by 0.3 runs per game at home but have a run line record of just 4-2.

St. Louis has played 13 games with over/under lines set below 9.5 runs, and the over has hit in six of those contests. The Cardinals’ games have averaged 8.6 runs per game, and their over/under record on the year is 6-7. Their most recent game against the Diamondbacks went over the 9.5-run line, with the two teams combining for 15 runs.

Kyle Gibson Gets The Start For The Cardinals

St. Louis right-hander Kyle Gibson is on the road to take on the Diamondbacks. He is coming off a win in his last start, where he went 7 innings and gave up 2 earned runs. However, in his first start of the year, he took a loss to the Marlins, allowing 5 earned runs in 6 innings of work.

Cardinals Offense Breakdown

For the Cardinals, we have Brendan Donovan as our top projected hitter in terms of total hits. His hits projection is 14th best in the league today. Nolan Gorman has the best odds to hit a home run for the Cardinals, and his home run projection is 7th best in the league. Willson Contreras is our 2nd best home run bet for the Cardinals, and his home run projection is 9th best in the league.

With an overall record of 6-8, the Diamondbacks are in 3rd place in the NL West. Currently, they trail the Padres by one game for 2nd place in the division and are three games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. Arizona heads into today’s game having lost their underdog four straight games.

So far, the Diamondbacks have been just below average at home (4-4) and on the road (2-4). In series matchups, they are currently at an even 2-2. Coming into this one, Arizona is the underdog, and they have a record of 1-2 this season as the home underdog.

The Diamondbacks are 8-6 against the run line this season, including a 5-3 mark at home. Their average run differential is +1.0 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in four of their eight games as the favorite and four of their six games as the underdog. Their run line record is 3-3 on the road, where their average run differential is -0.7 runs per game. Their average run differential in wins is +5.5 runs per game, and -2.4 runs per game in losses.

Arizona’s games have averaged 10.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 8-6. Their games have averaged 9 runs per game, and their games with an over/under line of 9.5 have gone 2-2. So far, 21.4% of their games have had an over/under line of 9.5, and 50% of their games have had an over/under line lower than 9.5.

Ryne Nelson Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Ryne Nelson will be making his third start of the season for the Diamondbacks, as they are at home against the Cardinals. Nelson has taken the loss in each of his first two starts, and he has given up 3 earned runs in 5 innings and 4 earned runs in 2 2/3 innings.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

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If you’re looking at some player props for the Diamondbacks, we have Ketel Marte with the highest home run projection on the team and the 11th best in the league today. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is right behind him in terms of home run projections for the Diamondbacks, and his total hits projection is the best on the team and 15th best in the league today. If you’re looking for a home run prop, Christian Walker has the best odds on the Diamondbacks, with the 11th best odds in the league today.


Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Prediction


Our prediction for this Cardinals vs. Diamondbacks matchup is to take the Diamondbacks on the money line at -108. We have the Diamondbacks winning this one by a score of 5-4, giving us some wiggle room if you wanted to take them on the run line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Kyle Gibson lasting seven innings, but we have him picking up the loss. As for Ryne Nelson, we have him going six innings and finishing with six strikeouts.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.