St. Louis Cardinals vs Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Cardinals vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 4/14/2024

The St. Louis Cardinals (7-8) travel to face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (7-8) on Sunday, April 14th. This game will be played at Chase Field in Phoenix and televised on None. The Diamondbacks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Cardinals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Cardinals. First pitch is set for 4:10 ET.

Cardinals vs Diamondbacks

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Arizona picked up a 4-2 win over the Cardinals in the most recent game of this series. The Diamondbacks had a huge 6th inning, scoring three of their four runs. As for the Cardinals, they scored their only two runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Diamondbacks were favored at -115.

Ryne Nelson started for the Diamondbacks and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued one walk. As for the Cardinals, Kyle Gibson got the start and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. was the difference for the Diamondbacks, as he went 2/4 with a home run and three RBIs. Ketel Marte also had a two-hit game and scored two runs for Arizona’s offense.

As the Cardinals are on the road today vs. the Diamondbacks, they are looking to get above .500, as they currently hold a record of 7-8. In the NL Central, they are in 5th place, four games behind the Brewers. So far, they have been just below average both at home (3-3) and on the road (4-5).

St. Louis is coming off a series win over the Diamondbacks and, prior to that, split a two-game series with the Phillies. This season, the Cardinals are 2-2 in series matchups. When favored, they are 2-2, and they are just below .500 at 5-6 as the underdog this season.

When the Cardinals win, they do so by an average of 2.7 runs per game, while their losses come by an average of -2.9 runs. Overall, St. Louis has a run differential of -0.3 runs per game, and they are 10-5 against the run line this season. The Cardinals have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 8-3, compared to 2-2 as the favorite. On the road, they are 6-3 against the run line, compared to 4-2 at home.

St. Louis has played 14 games this season, and the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs or higher in 3 of those games. The Cardinals have gone 4-3 in games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.4 runs per game.

Miles Mikolas Gets The Start For The Cardinals

After starting the season with a loss, Miles Mikolas has picked up a win and a no-decision in his last two starts. He is on the road today against the Diamondbacks. In his last start, he went 6 2/3 innings, giving up 2 earned runs and striking out 3.

Cardinals Offense Breakdown

Our model likes the Cardinals’ Brendan Donovan to have a good game at the plate. He comes in with the highest total hits projection on the team and the 15th highest in the league today. His home run projection is 4th best on the team and 14th best in the league. Willson Contreras is our 2nd best Cardinals player in terms of hitting a home run, with the 9th best odds in today’s slate. Paul Goldschmidt has the 25th best total hits projection in the league today and the 12th best odds to hit a home run.

With an overall record of 7-8, the Diamondbacks are in 2nd place in the NL West. Currently, both the Padres and Diamondbacks are 3 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. In the Diamondbacks’ series, they are coming off a win vs the Cardinals.

At home, the Diamondbacks have gone 5-4 this season, compared to 2-4 on the road. Arizona is just above .500 as the favorite this season at 6-3, and they are 1-5 as the underdog.

When the Diamondbacks win, they win big, with an average run margin of 5.0 runs per game. That has helped them to a 9-6 run line record overall, including a 6-3 mark at home. They have been favored in nine of their 15 games, going 5-4 against the run line in those contests.

The Diamondbacks have had 13 games this season with an over/under line higher than 8.5 runs, and the over has hit in eight of those games. Their games have averaged 10.1 runs per game, and the over/under record for the season is 8-7. Today’s over/under line is set at 8.5 runs.

Zac Gallen Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Zac Gallen and the Diamondbacks are hosting the Cardinals in today’s matchup. Gallen has started 2 games this season and has a win and a no-decision. He has 16 strikeouts in 11 innings, and in his last start, he struck out 10 batters against the Rockies.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

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For the Diamondbacks, we have Ketel Marte as our top hitter in terms of total hits, with his hits projection being 16th best in the league today. He also has the best odds on the team to hit a home run, with his home run projection being 11th best in the league. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is another player to keep an eye on, as he has the 16th best total hits projection in the league and the 11th best odds to hit a home run. If you’re looking for a player to hit a home run, Christian Walker has the best odds on the team and the 11th best odds in the league.

 

Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Prediction

 

If you’re looking for a pick in the Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals game, we would recommend taking the Diamondbacks on the money line at -155. We have the Diamondbacks winning this one by a final score of 5-4.

Looking at some potential player props, we have Zac Gallen finishing with seven strikeouts, which would have him finishing 11th among starters today. As for Miles Mikolas, we have him finishing with five strikeouts, which would have him finishing fourth worst among starters.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.