Cardinals vs Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Cardinals vs Detroit Tigers Prediction 4/30/2024

The St. Louis Cardinals (13-15) travel to face off against the Detroit Tigers (16-12) on Tuesday, April 30th. This game will be played at Comerica Park in Detroit and televised on BSDET. The Tigers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Cardinals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 3:40 ET.

Cardinals vs Tigers

st. louis cardinals nba

The Cardinals will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mets with a 4-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 11th inning before the Mets scored three runs in the bottom of the 11th. St. Louis was the +117 underdog on the money line going into this road game.

Lance Lynn put together a good start for the Cardinals, going five innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out three. However, the Cardinals couldnjson’t close things out, and Matthew Liberatore took the loss out of the bullpen. The Cardinals also wasted a big game from Dylan Carlson, who homered in the 2nd inning, going 2 for 4.

St. Louis will be on the road today vs. the Tigers, and they are 4.5 games behind the Cubs in the NL Central. The Cardinals are 13-15 overall and have yet to win a game vs. the NL Central this year (0-3).

The Cardinals dropped the final game of their series vs. the Mets but won the first two games of that series. So far, they have been good as the road favorite, going 3-1, and they are 7-6 as the favorite overall. As for their overall series record, the Cardinals are 5-4 and have won two straight series.

St. Louis has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 16-12 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 9-7 ATS. The Cardinals have been a good bet in their last two games, covering the run line in both. They have been a better bet as the underdog this season, going 10-5 ATS.

The Cardinals have had a combined run average of 8.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 10-17. In games where the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, they have gone 1-3-1. Overall, 50.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs, and 32.1% have had lines set lower than 8 runs. Their games have averaged exactly 8 runs per game this season.

Kyle Gibson Gets The Start For The Cardinals

Kyle Gibson and the Cardinals are on the road to take on the Tigers. Gibson has started all of his games at home so far this season, and he has a win and a no-decision. In his last outing, he went 6 innings and gave up just 1 earned run on 5 hits.

Cardinals Offense Breakdown

St. Louis comes into the game with the league’s worst scoring offense, averaging just 3.6 runs per game. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a team batting average of just .217. Willson Contreras and Nolan Gorman are tied for the team lead with four homers, but Gorman is batting just .198 this season.

Paul Goldschmidt has been swinging a good bat of late, going 7/23 in his last six games with a home run and three RBIs. Brendan Donovan and Nolan Gorman are both on five-game hitting streaks, with Gorman going 6/19 in his last six games.

Heading into their last game vs. the Royals, the Tigers closed out the series with a 4-1 win. Leading up to thethe game, they were the heavy favorite at -171. Offensively, the Tigers scored their four runs on 10 hits and only hit two home runs.

Tarik Skubal put together a good start for the Tigers, going seven innings and giving up just one run on four hits. He only had six strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

Detroit is 16-12 overall and are 3rd in the AL Central, three games behind the Guardians for the division lead. The Tigers head into today’s game having won two straight games, and these two wins came in the final two games of their series vs. the Royals. So far, they have been good vs. other AL Central teams, going 9-4.

At home, the Tigers are 6-8 this year and have been good on the road at 10-4. As the home underdog, the Tigers are just 1-3 this year, and their overall record as the underdog is 8-6. Detroit has won three straight games as the underdog, and they are 8-6 when favored this year. The Tigers’ overall series record is 5-2-2, and they have won three straight series overall and two straight series on the road.

When betting the run line, the Detroit Tigers have been a much better bet on the road this season. They are 9-5 against the run line on the road compared to just 3-11 at home. As an underdog, the Tigers are 10-4 against the run line, while as a favorite, they are just 2-12. When they win, they are winning by an average of 2.6 runs per game, while in their losses, they are losing by an average of 3.2 runs per game. They have covered the run line in their last five games as the underdog.

Today’s over/under line for the Tigers’ game against the Cardinals is set at 8 runs. The Tigers’ games have averaged 7.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 12-14. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 3-4-2. So far this season, 42.9% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 8 runs.

Jack Flaherty Gets The Start For The Tigers

Jack Flaherty has been a strikeout machine in his first two starts of the season, racking up 16 K’s in 11 innings of work. He’ll be making his first home start of the year against the Twins, and he has yet to pick up a win, despite a solid 2.00 ERA. Flaherty has given up just 1 homer in each of his first two outings.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

detroit tigers

Mark Canha has been on a tear of late for the Tigers, going 11/28 in his last eight games with two homers and six RBIs. He is currently on a seven-game hitting streak. Canha’s five homers this season is 6th in the league and leads the Tigers. Kerry Carpenter is 2nd on the team with three homers, and he is batting .276 for the season.

As a team, the Tigers are averaging 4 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road (4.4 runs per game) than at home (3.5). Detroit’s team batting average is just .223, and they are also near the bottom of the league in terms of on-base percentage and slugging.

 

Cardinals vs Tigers Prediction

 

There are a couple of ways you could look to play this one, but we are going to stick with a straight-up pick and take the Tigers to get the win at home. At -119, there is some good value in taking the Tigers on the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Jack Flaherty finishing with eight strikeouts, and he is one of our top picks to get a win today. As for Kyle Gibson, we have him finishing with five strikeouts and have him ranked 11th in terms of starters to pick up a win.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.