The St. Louis Cardinals (12-14) travel to face off against the New York Mets (13-12) on Saturday, April 27th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on FOX. The Cardinals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Cardinals. First pitch is set for 4:05 ET.
Cardinals vs Mets
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Mets vs Cardinals series. St. Louis went into the matchup as +108 underdogs and squeaked out a 4-2 win. The Cardinals scored three runs in the 2nd inning and added their final run in the 3rd. As for the Mets, they scored their only two runs in the 5th.
Miles Mikolas got the win for the Cardinals, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued three walks. As for the Mets, Jose Butto got the start and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work.
At the plate, the Cardinals were led by Alec Burleson and Willson Contreras, as they were the only two St. Louis hitters to have more than one hit. Burleson, who homered in the 2nd inning, went 1/3 with three RBIs.
St. Louis is on the road today vs. the Mets, and they are looking to pick up a win to get back to .500 and above in the NL Central. The Cardinals are 5th in the division, 5.5 games behind the Brewers for the division lead. So far, they have yet to win a game vs. another NL Central team (0-3).
The Cardinals have won two straight games, taking the final game of their series vs. the Diamondbacks and winning the first game of this series vs. the Mets. This season, the Cardinals are 5-7 at home compared to 7-7 on the road. So far, they have been an even 6-6 as the favorite and 6-8 as the underdog. St. Louis’ overall series record is 4-4 this year.
St. Louis has been a solid run line bet this season, going 15-11 overall. They have been especially good as the underdog, going 10-4 against the run line. The Cardinals have been outscored by an average of 0.9 runs per game this season, with a scoring margin of -0.4 runs per game on the road.
St. Louis has played in 18 games with an over/under line higher than 7.5 runs, and the under has hit in 13 of those games. The Cardinals have gone under in their last two games, and their over/under record for the season is 9-16. The combined run average in their games is 7.9 runs per game.
Sonny Gray Gets The Start For The Cardinals
Sonny Gray will be making his first road start of the season, as the Cardinals are taking on the Mets. In his first start of the season, Gray picked up a win against the A’s, going 6 innings and striking out 6. He followed that up with a 12 strikeout performance against the Brewers but took the loss.
Cardinals Offense Breakdown
St. Louis comes into the game with a team batting average of just .219, which is 18th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in runs scored, home runs, and slugging percentage. Currently, the Cardinals are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 26th in the MLB.
Willson Contreras has been a bright spot for the Cardinals, as he is batting .296 for the season and has gone 9/29 in his last nine games, including two home runs. Nolan Arenado has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 4/14 in his last seven games and is batting .286 for the season.
New York is 13-12 overall and trail the Braves by 5.5 games in the NL East. The Mets dropped the first game of their series vs. the Cardinals and have an NL East division record of 2-1. So far, they are 6-7 at home compared to 7-5 on the road.
As the underdog, the Mets have lost three straight, but they are 6-5 overall as the underdog. New York has been an even 7-7 as the favorite this year. The Mets’ overall series record is 5-3, and they are currently in a series vs. the Cardinals.
When the Mets are favored, they are just 6-8 against the run line, but as underdogs, they are 7-4. Their overall run line record is 13-12, and their average run differential is +0.3 runs per game. They are 5-8 against the run line at home and 8-4 on the road.
So far this season, the Mets have played 25 games with an average of 8.9 runs per game. Their over/under record is 13-12, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 3-4. In 16 of their games, the over/under line has been set higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 64.0% of their games. In only 2 games, the over/under line has been set lower than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 8.0% of their games. In their last game, the total runs scored was 6, which was under the 7.5 run line.
Adrian Houser Gets The Start For The Mets
Adrian Houser is the starter for the Mets today, and he is looking to bounce back from a rough outing against the Dodgers. In that game, he gave up 8 runs in just 4 innings of work. However, in his first start of the season, he pitched well, going 5 1/3 innings and striking out 5.
Mets Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Mets are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 5.6 runs per game. As a team, the Mets are batting .246, which is 9th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in home runs. New York has done a good job of putting the ball in play this season, as they are 3rd in the league in fewest strikeouts.
Starling Marte and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top power threats this season, as Alonso’s seven homers is 4th in the league, and Marte’s four home runs is 7th. Over his last 10 games, Marte is batting .302 with two homers, and Lindor has also gone deep three times in this stretch, while batting .333.
Cardinals vs Mets Prediction
With the Mets at +106 on the money line, that is the direction we are recommending you go in this one. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Mets, giving them the slight edge in terms of payout.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Adrian Houser is projected to finish with five strikeouts compared to Sonny Gray at five. However, Houser is projected to finish with fewer earned runs, and we have him finishing with a win more often than Gray.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:April 27, 2024 Cardinals, Mets