The Chicago Cubs (27-27) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (31-22) on Tuesday, May 28th. This game will be played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and televised on MARQ. The Brewers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Cubs are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Brewers. First pitch is set for 7:40 ET.
Cubs vs Brewers
It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Cubs by a score of 5-1. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Cubs and struck out nine times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at -106 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Justin Steele for the Cubs and Robert Gasser for the Brewers. Gasser only went six innings but didn’t give up a run and finished with seven strikeouts. On the other side, Steele was tagged for five runs in seven innings of work.
Milwaukee’s two biggest offensive performances came from Cody Bellinger and Willy Adames. Bellinger went 2/4 with a home run, while Adames also had two hits and drove in three runs. Jackson Chourio also had a two-hit game and drove in a run for the Brewers.
After dropping the first game of the series vs. the Brewers, the Cubs are 27-27 overall and trail the Brewers by 4.5 games in the NL Central. The Cubs have lost five straight games, and they are just 5-8 in divisional games this year. Chicago’s overall series record is 7-8-2, and they have dropped four straight series.
At home, the Cubs have gone 15-11 this year, and they are 12-16 on the road. Chicago has lost three straight games as the underdog, and they are 8-13 as the underdog on the road. As for their record as the favorite, the Cubs are 12-10 this year. Closing out their series vs. the Brewers today, the Cubs are just 2-8 over their last 10 games.
Chicago has a run line record of 28-26 this season and has been a solid play on the road, going 17-11. The Cubs have been a better bet as the underdog, going 22-10 against the run line in those games. The Cubs have an average run differential of -0.1 runs per game this season.
Chicago Cubs games have gone over the total 22 times and under 30 times this season. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, and their games have had an average of 8.6 runs per game. When the line is set at 8 runs, the over is 2-8. The over has hit in 44.4% of their games this season when the line is set at 8 runs. Their last two games have gone under the total.
Ben Brown Gets The Start For The Cubs
Chicago is sending Ben Brown to the mound today, and he has made 12 appearances this year, with five of them being starts. Brown’s ERA for the season is 3.20, and he has a record of 1-1. Opposing batters are hitting .218 this year off Brown. In his last outing, he went 4 innings and didn’t give up a run. He did give up two homers in that outing. Brown has not taken a loss since May 10th. For the year, he has one quality start. Per nine innings, Brown is averaging 10.3 strikeouts and 3.43 walks.
Cubs Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Cubs are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league and is also 12th in home runs. As a team, they are batting just .226, which is 22nd in the MLB. Nico Hoerner has been a bright spot for the Cubs, as he is batting .264 and has two homers. Cody Bellinger and Michael Busch are tied for 2nd on the team with seven homers apiece.
Over his last seven games, Ian Happ has gone 6/22 with two homers and three RBIs. Mike Tauchman has also been swinging a hot bat, going 7/21 in his last five games. Currently, Bellinger is on a three-game hitting streak, while Seiya Suzuki and Nico Hoerner are both on three-game streaks.
Milwaukee is 31-22 overall this season, and they lead the NL Central by 4.5 games over the Cubs. The Brewers took the series opener vs. the Cubs, and they are 14-7 in divisional games this year.
At home, the Brewers are 13-9 this season and have won three straight at home overall. On the road, Milwaukee is 18-13 this season. So far, they have been good as the favorite, putting up a mark of 14-11, and they are 17-11 as the underdog this year. The Brewers’ overall series record is 9-6-2.
When the Brewers are the underdog, they have been a good bet on the run line, going 20-8. They are 8-17 on the run line as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.6, while their average run margin in losing games is -2.9. The Brewers are 28-25 on the run line overall this season.
The Milwaukee Brewers are playing host to the Chicago Cubs tonight, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Brewers games this season is 9.0 runs, and their over/under record is 29-24. The average over/under line for their games is also 8 runs. However, when the line has been set at 8 runs, the over/under record is just 2-4. Overall, 62.3% of their games this season have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, and they are currently on a 5-game under streak.
Freddy Peralta Gets The Start For The Brewers
Freddy Peralta will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Marlins, where he took the loss and gave up one earned run in seven innings of work. In that outing, he gave up four hits, issued one walk, and gave up one homer. Peralta has lost each of his last two starts and has given up at least one homer in three straight outings. The right-hander’s record for the season is 3-3, and his ERA is 3.81. Opponents are batting .204 off Peralta this season. Out of his 10 starts, Peralta has five quality starts.
Brewers Offense Breakdown
William Contreras and Willy Adames have been two of the Brewers’ top hitters this season, with Contreras batting .330 and Adames at .249. Both players have also gone deep eight times. Contreras is currently on a six-game hitting streak and has gone 8/25 in his last six games, including one home run. Adames has also homered in one of his last six games and is 9/24 in that stretch.
Overall, the Brewers have been one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 5 runs per game, which is 4th in the MLB. They are also near the top of the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging. Milwaukee’s team batting average of .254 is 4th in the league.
Cubs vs Brewers Prediction
Our pick for today’s Cubs vs. Brewers matchup is to take the Brewers on the money line at -156. We have the Brewers winning this one by a final score of 6-5. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look to the over/under, with the line sitting at 8 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Freddy Peralta has the highest strikeout projection among today’s starters, and we have him finishing with nine K’s. As for the Cubs starter, Ben Brown is projected to finish with five strikeouts.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:May 28, 2024 Brewers, Cubs