The Chicago Cubs (28-27) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (31-23) on Wednesday, May 29th. This game will be played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and televised on BSWI. The Cubs are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Brewers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Cubs. First pitch is set for 7:40 ET.
Cubs vs Brewers
Chicago picked up a 6-3 road win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. The Cubs offense got off to a fast start, scoring five of their six runs in the first two innings. As for the Brewers, they scored their only three runs in the 9th.
Ben Brown started for the Cubs and picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with 10 strikeouts but issued two walks. On the other side, Freddy Peralta got the start for the Brewers and took the loss, giving up one earned run in 5 2/3 innings of work.
At the plate, Michael Busch and Cody Bellinger each homered for the Cubs. Busch, Ian Happ, and Miguel Amaya each had two RBIs. For the Brewers, Avisail Garcia went 2/4 with an RBI.
With a record of 28-27, the Cubs are 3.5 games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. So far, they are 6-8 in divisional games. The Cubs will take on the Brewers today on the road, and they are 15-11 at home and 13-16 on the road this year.
Chicago has dropped three straight games as the favorite, and they are 12-10 overall as the favorite this year. As the underdog, the Cubs have gone 16-17. Looking at their overall series record, the Cubs are 7-8-2 and have dropped four straight series.
When the Cubs are the underdog, they’ve been a good bet on the run line, going 23-10. They have a run line record of 29-26 overall, but are just 6-16 when favored. Their average run margin is -0.1, and they’ve been outscored by 0.7 runs per game on the road.
When the Chicago Cubs are on the road, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The Cubs have a combined run average of 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 23-30. The average over/under line for their games this season is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 7-7. Overall, 61.8% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, while 12.7% have had lower lines.
Shota Imanaga Gets The Start For The Cubs
Shota Imanaga gets the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made nine starts this season and has a record of 5-0 with an ERA of 0.84. Imanaga has made six quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a run. In that start vs. the Pirates, he went seven innings, giving up four hits and one walk. Imanaga has been especially tough on the road, with a record of 3-0 and an ERA of 0.36.
Cubs Offense Breakdown
Chicago’s offense has been pretty average this season, averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. They are also 16th in home runs and have a team batting average of just .227. However, the Cubs are 4th in the league in walks and have a collective OBP of .308.
Michael Busch has been a solid power threat for the Cubs this season, as his eight home runs are 10th in the league and 2nd on the team. However, he has really struggled at the plate of late, going just 3/18 in his last eight games. Christopher Morel has been the team’s top run producer, with 33 RBIs, and he also leads the team with nine homers. Cody Bellinger and Mike Tauchman have been swinging the bat well of late, with Bellinger on a four-game hitting streak and Tauchman having gone 8/29 in his last seven games.
Milwaukee currently leads the NL Central by 3.5 games over the Cubs. The Brewers are 31-23 overall and have gone 14-8 against other teams in the NL Central. They are 13-10 at home this year and have been really good on the road at 18-13.
The Brewers have gone 9-6-2 in series this year, and their overall record as the favorite is 14-12. As for their record as the underdog, they are 17-11 and 4-4 as the home underdog. Milwaukee’s overall record has them 5-5 over their last 10 games.
When betting the run line, the Brewers have been a better play as the underdog, going 20-8, compared to 8-18 as the favorite. Their overall run line record is 28-26, but they have been a better bet on the road, where they are 19-12. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.6, and their average run margin in losing games is -2.9.
When the Milwaukee Brewers play at home, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The Brewers have a combined run average of 9.0 runs per game, and their over/under record is 30-24 this season. Their games have averaged 8 runs per game, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 7-4. Overall, 72.2% of their games this season have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.
Bryse Wilson Gets The Start For The Brewers
So far this season, Bryse Wilson has made 13 appearances and six starts. He has a record of 3-1 and an ERA of 2.86. Wilson’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.16. In his 44 innings of work, Wilson has issued 17 walks compared to 34 strikeouts. Wilson’s last outing came out of the bullpen, where he picked up the win. In that outing, he went 5 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and had seven strikeouts. Before that outing, he had turned in two straight quality starts. One of those was a six-inning outing in which he didn’t give up a run.
Brewers Offense Breakdown
William Contreras has been the Brewers’ top hitter this season, batting .324 with a team-high eight home runs and 43 RBIs. Willy Adames is also among the league leaders in RBIs, coming into the game with 36 while also having eight homers. Adames is currently on a seven-game hitting streak and has gone 10/33 in his last eight games.
As a team, the Brewers are 4th in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are 6th in batting average and have the 4th best on-base percentage in the league.
Cubs vs Brewers Prediction
Our predicted score for this game is a 6-5 win for the Brewers, and with them being the underdog at +114, we see this as a great opportunity to pick up some value on the money line.
Looking at the Cubs starter, Shota Imanaga, while his chances of picking up a win are good, his projected innings are towards the bottom of the league, and his strikeout numbers are also just average. As for the Brewers starter, Bryse Wilson, his chances of getting a win are average, but his projected innings are good, and we have him finishing with four strikeouts.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:May 29, 2024 Brewers, Cubs