Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies Prediction 6/5/2024

The Cincinnati Reds (28-33) travel to face off against the Colorado Rockies (21-39) on Wednesday, June 5th. This game will be played at Coors Field in Denver and televised on BSOH. The Reds are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rockies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Reds. First pitch is set for 2:10 CT.

Reds vs Rockies

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Cincinnati cruised to a 4-1 win over the Rockies in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 4th inning, scoring all four of their runs. As for the Rockies, they scored their only run in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Reds were favored at -130 on the money line.

Franke Montas started for the Reds and picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with nine strikeouts but issued two walks. On the other side, Ty Blach got the start for the Rockies and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work.

At the plate, the Reds were led by Elly De La Cruz, Stuart Fairchild, and Spencer Steer, as they were the only three Reds hitters to have more than one hit. De La Cruz also homered in the game. As for the Rockies, Elias Diaz went 2/4 with an RBI.

Cincinnati is on a three-game winning streak, and they are 28-33 overall this season. The Reds are 5th in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by eight games. So far, they are 4-5 in divisional games.

At home, the Reds have gone 14-17 this year and are 14-16 on the road. Cincinnati has won two straight games as the favorite and are 13-12 overall in those games. As for their record as the underdog, the Reds are 15-21 this season. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 6-12-1.

When the Reds are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 20-10 so far this season. They have covered the run line in three straight road games and are 2-0 against the run line as the favorite in those games. Cincinnati has an average run margin of +0.7 runs per game on the road this season.

Despite the Cincinnati Reds and Colorado Rockies combining for an average of 8.4 runs per game this season, today’s over/under line is set at 11.5. The Reds’ games have gone over the total 28 times and under 30 times this season, with an average over/under line of 9 runs per game. Interestingly, Cincinnati has not had a game with an over/under line set at 11.5 runs this season, as all of their games have had lower lines.

Graham Ashcraft Gets The Start For The Reds

Cincinnati is sending right-hander Graham Ashcraft to the mound today as he faces the Rockies on the road. Ashcraft has made 11 starts this season and has a record of 4-3 with an ERA of 4.76. In his 11 appearances, he has turned in three quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Ashcraft finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. He has given up at least one homer in three straight outings. Opponents are batting .266 this season off Ashcraft, and his ERA on the road is 3.42 compared to 7.69 at home.

Reds Offense Breakdown

Elly De La Cruz has been one of the Reds’ top power threats this season, as his 10 home runs are 1st on the team and 10th in the league. However, he is batting just .233 for the season and has gone just 5/33 in his last eight games. Spencer Steer has also been a solid power threat, as he is 4th on the team with six homers and has gone 11/32 in his last eight games.

Spencer Steer and Will Benson have been swinging the bat well for the Reds, as Steer is hitting .344 over his last eight games, and Benson is at .400 in this stretch. Tyler Stephenson is also on a five-game hitting streak, and he has gone 8/30 in his last eight games.

With an overall record of 21-39, the Rockies are 5th in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by 16 games. Currently, they are 9.0 games behind the Giants for 4th place in the division. The Rockies have dropped four straight games, and this losing streak includes losing the first two games of their series vs. the Reds.

So far, the Rockies have really struggled on the road, going 8-23. At home, they are 13-16 this season. As the underdog, the Rockies are 21-39 this year and have lost four straight as the underdog. They have yet to play a game as the favorite this year. Colorado’s overall series record is 4-14-1, and they are just 4-6 over their last 10 games.

When betting the run line on the Rockies, it’s been a good idea to take the underdog, as they are 31-29 on the run line this season. They have covered the run line in 15 of 29 home games and 16 of 30 road games. Their average run differential is -1.5 runs per game, but they have been outscored by an average of -1.9 runs per game on the road and -1.2 runs per game at home.

The Colorado Rockies are playing at home against the Cincinnati Reds today. The over/under line for the game is set at 11.5 runs, which is higher than their combined run average of 9.6 runs per game. The Rockies’ over/under record for the season is 30-29, and their average over/under line is 9 runs. This season, only 5% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s 11.5 runs.

Dakota Hudson Gets The Start For The Rockies

Dakota Hudson will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Dodgers and picked up the win. In that start, he went seven innings and only gave up one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Hudson is 2-7 with a 5.02 ERA. Out of his 11 starts, he has turned in three quality starts and is averaging just 4.87 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, Hudson has allowed a total of five home runs and is averaging 4.55 walks per nine innings at home compared to 3.43 on the road.

Rockies Offense Breakdown

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For the season, the Rockies are averaging 4 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. They have been better at home, averaging 4.4 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .245 and are near the bottom of the league in home runs. However, their team BABIP of .31 is 2nd in the league.

Ryan McMahon and Ezequiel Tovar have been two of the Rockies’ top hitters this season. McMahon is batting .280 with a team-high 10 homers and 34 RBIs, while Tovar is hitting .290 with 8 homers and 24 RBIs. Tovar has gone 10/33 in his last eight games, while McMahon has gone 9/31 in that stretch. Kris Bryant is on a three-game hitting streak but is batting just .211 in his last five games.

Reds vs Rockies Prediction

With the Reds at -131 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick, as we have them winning this one by a score of 5-4. At -131, we would recommend locking in this payout for the Reds as opposed to taking them on the run line.

Looking at some potential props, the Reds are projected to finish with nine strikeouts, which is the fourth-most in the league today. As for home runs, they are projected to finish with the 10th most, and in terms of hits, they are projected to finish with nine.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.