The Cleveland Guardians (40-22) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (22-41) on Saturday, June 8th. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on FOX. The Marlins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Guardians are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Marlins. First pitch is set for 6:35 CT.
Guardians vs Marlins
Miami picked up a 3-2 win over the Guardians in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins had a two-run lead heading into the 8th inning, and the Guardians could only muster one run in the top of the 8th. As for the Marlins, they scored their first run in the 1st inning and added two more in the 3rd. On the other side, the Guardians got on the board with two runs in the 3rd.
Ryan Weathers only went 2 1/3 innings for the Marlins but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. Tanner Scott got the win out of the bullpen, and Cade Smith took the loss for the Guardians.
Bryan De La Cruz and Josh Bell each homered for the Marlins, while Brayan Rocchio went deep for the Guardians. De La Cruz had a three-hit game and scored all three of Miami’s runs.
Cleveland comes into today’s game in 1st place in the AL Central, leading the Royals by three games. The Guardians are 40-22 overall and have gone 11-6 against other teams in the AL Central. They have dropped two straight games, which includes losing the series opener vs. the Marlins.
So far, the Guardians have been really good at home, going 21-8, and they are 19-14 on the road. As the favorite, Cleveland has gone 28-14 this year and 12-8 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Guardians are 14-5-1 this year, and they have the series record vs. the Marlins.
When the Cleveland Guardians are on the road, they have a run line record of 18-15, with an average run margin of 1.4 runs per game. Their run line record as the underdog is 15-5, and their average run margin in winning games is 3.6 runs per game.
The Cleveland Guardians are on the road against the Miami Marlins today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Guardians’ games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 30-28. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 5-10. So far this season, 54.8% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 8.5 runs. They are currently on a two-game under streak.
Ben Lively Gets The Start For The Guardians
Cleveland is sending Ben Lively to the mound today vs. the Marlins, and he has been pitching well this year, coming in with a record of 5-2 and an ERA of 2.84. Lively has made nine starts, and opponents are batting .227 off the right-hander this year. He has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 8.35 strikeouts per nine innings. Lively’s most recent outing came on June 1st, where he picked up the win, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. He has won three straight starts.
Guardians Offense Breakdown
Jose Ramirez has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 17 home runs lead the Guardians and is 4th in the MLB. His 60 RBIs are also the best in the league. Ramirez is batting .273 for the season and has gone 5/18 in his last five games. Josh Naylor is 2nd on the team with 16 homers but is batting just .220 for the season and has gone just 1/18 in his last five games.
As a team, the Guardians are 3rd in the MLB in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are 8th in home runs and have the league’s top offense in terms of RBIs. Cleveland also comes into the game with two players on four-game hitting streaks.
Miami is 5th in the NL East, 22 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. Overall, the Marlins are 22-41 and have gone just 4-12 in divisional games this year. Their series lead over the Guardians is just 1-0, and they have an overall series record of 5-14-1 this year.
At home, the Marlins are 12-23 compared to 10-18 on the road. So far, they have really struggled as the favorite, going just 3-12. As the underdog, they are 19-29 this season. Miami’s last game was a win, and they are 4-6 over their last 10.
When betting the run line with the Marlins, it’s best to take them on the road. Miami is 15-13 against the run line away from home, compared to 11-24 at home. The Marlins have an average run margin of -1.4 runs per game this season, but that number improves to -0.9 runs per game on the road.
The Miami Marlins are at home against the Cleveland Guardians today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Marlins have played 63 games this season, and their combined run average is 8.7 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 34-29, and the average over/under line for their games is set at 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 14-10. So far this season, 10 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 15.9% of their games.
Roddery Muñoz Gets The Start For The Marlins
Roddery Muñoz is starting for the Marlins at home against the Guardians. In his first start of the season, Muñoz picked up a win vs. the Rockies, striking out 7 over 6 innings. He then took a loss in his last start, going 4 2/3 innings and giving up 6 runs to the Dodgers.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
Josh Bell has been on a tear for the Marlins of late, going 15/33 in his last eight games. This includes going 1/3 with a run scored in his most recent game. Bryan De La Cruz has struggled over his last seven games, hitting just .207 with two homers. However, he is still the Marlins’ leader in home runs this season.
As a team, the Marlins are 29th in the league in scoring at just 3.7 runs per game. They are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, OPS, and isolated power. Overall, they are batting .237, which is 13th in the league.
Guardians vs Marlins Prediction
Our pick for this Guardians vs. Marlins matchup is to take the Marlins on the money line at +138. We have the Marlins winning this one by a score of 6-5. At +138, the Marlins have an implied win probability of 42.1%, and we have this as a good value pick.
Looking at some potential player props, we have Roddery Muñoz finishing with six strikeouts for the Marlins. As for Ben Lively, we have him finishing with just four strikeouts for the Guardians.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:June 8, 2024 Guardians, Marlins