The Colorado Rockies (23-42) travel to face off against the Minnesota Twins (34-31) on Monday, June 10th. This game will be played at Target Field in Minneapolis and televised on BSN. The Twins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rockies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Cardinals. First pitch is set for 6:40 CT.
Rockies vs Twins
The Rockies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Cardinals with a 5-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 4th inning before the Cardinals scored two runs in the bottom of the 4th. Colorado was the +145 underdog on the money line going into this road game.
Ty Blach got the start for the Rockies and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up four earned runs on eight hits. Elias Diaz had a good day at the plate, going 2/4 with a run scored. However, the Rockies only had one other hit, a single by Blach.
Colorado is 23-42 overall, putting them 5th in the NL West, and they trail the Dodgers by 17 games in the division. So far, they are 9-14 against other teams in the NL West. The Rockies have really struggled on the road, going 10-25 compared to 13-17 at home.
As the road underdog, Colorado has a record of 10-25 this season. They have an overall series record of 4-15-2. The Rockies are 3-7 across their last 10 games and split their most recent series vs. the Cardinals.
The Rockies have a run line record of 33-32 this season, including an 18-17 mark on the road. Their average run margin is -1.6, and they have a run line record of 33-32 as an underdog. They have been outscored by an average of 1.8 runs per game on the road, compared to 1.3 runs per game at home.
The Rockies have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 9.7 runs per game. Their over/under record is 33-31, and the average over/under line for their games is 9 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone 3-5, and 53.8% of their games have had higher lines than that.
Dakota Hudson Gets The Start For The Rockies
Right-hander Dakota Hudson gets the start for the Rockies today as he faces the Twins on the road. Hudson has made 12 starts this year and has a record of 2-7 with an ERA of 5.25. Looking at his overall numbers, Hudson has a WHIP of 1.52 and has issued 4.82 walks per nine innings compared to 5.11 strikeouts. Hudson has turned in three quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up four earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. He didn’t give up a homer in that outing, but in the two before that, he had given up a homer in each.
Rockies Offense Breakdown
Colorado’s offense has been a bit below average this season, averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 21st in the MLB. They have been a better home team than on the road, averaging 4.5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .246, which is 9th in the league, and are 19th in home runs. The Rockies have been one of the better teams in terms of putting the ball in play, as they have the 2nd best BABIP in the league.
Ezequiel Tovar has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/38 in his last nine games, with two homers and four RBIs. For the season, he is hitting .294 and leads the team with 10 home runs. Elias Diaz and Ryan McMahon are also having good seasons at the plate, with Diaz batting .305 and McMahon at .262. McMahon’s 34 RBIs are the best on the team.
The Twins’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Pirates, closing out their series with an 11-5 win. After allowing three runs to the Pirates in the 2nd inning, the Twins responded with three runs of their own. Minnesota went on to add another three runs in the 4th inning.
Starting for the Twins was Bailey Ober, who picked up the win. He only lasted 4 2/3 innings, giving up four earned runs on seven hits. Minnesota’s offense scored their final seven runs in the 10th inning. Carlos Correa went 3/5 with two RBIs.
Minnesota will take on the Rockies at home with an overall record of 34-31, and they are 8.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far, they are 15-11 in divisional games. The Twins lost two of three in their most recent series vs. the Pirates.
At home, the Twins are 16-13 this season and have gone 18-18 on the road. As the favorite, the Twins are 25-15 this season and 9-16 as the underdog. So far this year, their series record is 11-8-2, and they have dropped two straight series.
Minnesota’s run line record is 29-36 this season, including an 11-18 mark at home. The Twins have been favored in 40 games, going 17-23 against the run line, while they are 12-13 as underdogs. Their average run differential is -0.1 runs per game, and they have a losing streak against the run line in six straight games.
Minnesota’s games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 28-35. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 7-11. So far, 61.5% of their games have had lower lines than 8.5 runs. Today’s over/under line is set at 8.5 runs.
Chris Paddack Gets The Start For The Twins
Chris Paddack gets the start for the Twins today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Yankees. In that start, which came on June 5th, he gave up seven earned runs in just four innings of work. Paddack ended up taking the loss in that outing. Before that start, he had put together three straight quality starts. Paddack’s ERA for the season is 5.26, along with a record of 4-3. Looking at his home/away splits, he is 3-1 at home with a 3.50 ERA compared to 1-2 on the road with an 8.98 ERA.
Twins Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Twins offense is averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per game, compared to 3.8 at home. As a team, the Twins are batting .230, which is 19th in the league, and their on-base percentage of .304 is also below the league average.
Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers are the team’s top power threats, with Santana hitting 9 homers and Jeffers at 12. However, Santana is batting just .217 for the season, and Jeffers is only hitting .237. Jeffers’ 36 RBIs are the most on the team. Over his last eight games, Carlos Correa is batting .290 with one homer and eight RBIs, while Carlos Santana has gone 7/25 with two homers over his last seven games.
Rockies vs Twins Prediction
We see the Twins coming away with a 5-4 win over the Rockies, but with the payout being just -218, we recommend taking the over at 8.5 runs. Our prediction is that this one will go over, and you can get the over at +100.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Chris Paddack has the highest strikeout projections among today’s starters, and you could also look to take him to go over his strikeout line. We have him finishing with eight K’s, and for the Rockies’ Dakota Hudson, we have him finishing with just four.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 10, 2024 Rockies, Twins