The Detroit Tigers (27-28) travel to face off against the Boston Red Sox (28-28) on Thursday, May 30th. This game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston and televised on NESN. Both the Tigers and Red Sox are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.
Tigers vs Red Sox
The Tigers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Pirates with a 10-2 loss. Detroit was the +120 underdog at home going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Tigers, as they got on the board with a run in the 2nd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Pirates scored three times in the top of the 3rd.
Detroit started Keider Montero, and he took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up four earned runs on five hits. Matt Vierling had only one hit, but it was a home run, and the Tigers scored their other run in the 2nd.
Detroit is 27-28 overall and trails the Guardians by 9.5 games in the AL Central. The Tigers are 10-9 against other teams in the division. Detroit is starting this series on the road, and they are 13-13 on the road compared to 14-15 at home.
As the road favorite, the Tigers have gone 4-2 this year, and they are 14-12 as the favorite overall. Detroit has dropped four straight on the road coming into this one, and they are 8-7-3 in series so far this year. Looking back, the Tigers are 4-6 over their last ten games.
Despite a .500 average run differential, the Tigers have a losing record against the run line at 24-31. They have been better on the road, going 15-11, compared to 9-20 at home. Detroit has been a solid underdog bet, going 18-11 vs. the run line, but they have struggled as the favorite, going just 6-20.
The Detroit Tigers are on the road today against the Boston Red Sox, with the over/under line set at 7.5 runs. The Tigers have an over/under record of 30-23 this season, and their games have averaged a combined 8.5 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, the Tigers have a record of 11-6. Overall, 56.4% of their games this season have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs. The over has hit in each of their last three games.
Jack Flaherty Gets The Start For The Tigers
Right-hander Jack Flaherty gets the start for the Tigers today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. He has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 1-4 with an ERA of 3.84. Flaherty’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.08. In his last outing, he took the loss, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on seven hits. Before that, he had picked up the win and didn’t give up a homer in three straight outings. Flaherty has allowed a homer in three of his last four outings.
Tigers Offense Breakdown
The Tigers offense comes into today’s game averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.5 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .235, which is 15th in the league, and are also 16th in home runs. Detroit’s offense has been below average in terms of on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.
Over his last six games, Matt Vierling has been on fire for the Tigers, going 9/21 with four homers and 10 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .289 and is 2nd on the team with 28 RBIs. Kerry Carpenter is the team’s top power threat, with eight homers, and he is batting .283 overall.
Boston closed out their series vs. the Orioles with a 6-1 loss on the road. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were the +155 underdog. Things started off well for the Red Sox, as they got on the board with a run in the 2nd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Orioles scored five times in the bottom of the second.
Kutter Crawford took the loss for the Red Sox, going six innings and giving up five earned runs on four hits. He also issued two walks and hit a batter. The Red Sox’s offense scored their only run in thejson 2nd inning but wasted a good game from Connor Wong, who went 2/4 with a run scored.
Boston is at an even 28-28 overall and trails the Yankees by 9.5 games in the AL East. The Red Sox are 3rd in the division and head into today’s game vs. the Tigers with a record of 5-8 in AL East matchups. They kick off their series vs. the Tigers at home, where they are 11-15 this year.
The Red Sox were able to take the final game of their series vs. the Orioles, but they dropped the first two games. So far, they are 8-9-1 in series this year and have dropped two straight series. As the underdog, the Red Sox are 14-17 this year and 14-11 when favored. They have gone 17-13 on the road compared to an even 11-15 at home.
When betting the run line on the Red Sox, it’s been more profitable to take them on the road, as they are 18-12 on the run line away from Fenway Park compared to just 7-19 at home. As the favorite, they are just 7-18 on the run line, while they are 18-13 as the underdog. Their average run differential for the season is +0.4 runs per game.
Today, the Boston Red Sox are playing at home against the Detroit Tigers. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Red Sox have played 51 games this season, and their combined run average is 8.3. Their over/under record is 21-30, and the average over/under line for their games is set at 8 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 6-8. So far this season, 40 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 71.4% of their games. Only two games have had lower lines than 7.5 runs, which is just 3.6% of their games.
Nick Pivetta Gets The Start For The Red Sox
Right-hander Nick Pivetta gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces off against the Tigers at home. Pivetta has made six starts this year and has a record of 2-3 with an ERA of 4.20. Looking at his overall numbers, Pivetta has a WHIP of 1.07 and is averaging 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings. Pivetta’s most recent outing didn’t go well, as he took the loss after giving up five earned runs in 3 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had gone 1-0 in two straight starts. His ERA at home is 8.34 compared to 3.56 on the road.
Red Sox Offense Breakdown
After a slow start to the season, Rafael Devers has really come on of late for the Red Sox, as he is now batting .284 for the season and has the 2nd most home runs in the league with 10. Over his last five games, Devers has gone 7/17. Ceddanne Rafaela is the team’s current leader in RBIs, but he is hitting just .206 for the season.
Not only do the Red Sox have the 10th best scoring offense in the league, but they also have the 6th best slugging percentage and are 10th in team batting average. As a team, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game on the road and 3.8 at home.
Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction
With the Red Sox at -119 on the money line, this is the best way to play this game. We have the Red Sox winning this one by a score of 5-4. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could pair the Red Sox with the under, as the line is sitting at 7.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Jack Flaherty finishing with eight strikeouts compared to Nick Pivetta with six. However, Pivetta is going to be able to go deeper into the game, with Flaherty finishing with a line of 6-7 K’s.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:May 30, 2024 Red Sox, Tigers