Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees Prediction 5/3/2024

The Detroit Tigers (18-13) travel to face off against the New York Yankees (20-13) on Friday, May 3rd. This game will be played at Yankee Stadium in New York and televised on MLBN. The Tigers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Yankees are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Orioles. First pitch is set for 7:05 ET.

Tigers vs Yankees

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Matt Vierling had a big game at the plate for the Tigers, going 2/3 with a homer and three RBIs. The Tigers really broke things open with a three-run 2nd inning and added another run in the 8th to pick up the 4-1 win. Detroit was the slight favorite at -105 at home going into the game.

Kenta Maeda started for the Tigers, going six innings and giving up just one run on four hits. He only had five strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

Detroit is 18-13 overall this season, and they have won two straight games heading into today’s matchup on the road vs. the Yankees. In the AL Central, the Tigers trail the Guardians by two games. So far, they have been good against other teams in the AL Central, putting together a record of 9-4.

At home, the Tigers are just below .500 at 8-9, but they have been really good on the road at 10-4. Detroit has won four straight games as the underdog, and they are 9-6 overall as the underdog this year. The Tigers have also been good in series, going 6-2-2 this year, and they have won four straight series overall.

When the Tigers are underdogs, they are a solid bet on the run line, as they are 11-4 on the run line in those games. They have covered the run line in six straight games when they are the underdog, and their average run differential in those games is +0.3 runs per game. The Tigers are 9-5 on the run line on the road this season, and their average run differential in those games is +1.4 runs per game.

So far this season, the Tigers have played 13 games with an over/under line of 8 runs. In those games, the over has gone 3-4-2. Overall, the Tigers’ games have averaged 7.9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 13-16. Detroit’s last game went under the total of 9 runs, as they combined with the Cardinals for just 5 runs.

Reese Olson Gets The Start For The Tigers

Reese Olson is on the mound for the Tigers today, facing the Yankees. He has started 4 games so far this season, and he has taken the loss in each of those outings. In his last start, he went 7 innings and struck out 8, but he did give up 3 runs on 3 hits. He has gone 6 1/3, 5, and 4 1/3 innings in his other 3 starts, respectively.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, Riley Greene and Mark Canha are the Tigers’ top home run threats, as Greene is 4th in the league with seven homers, and Canha is right behind him with five. Canha is also batting .267 this season, and Greene is hitting .257. Greene has also been hot of late, going 8/28 in his last seven games, with four RBIs and two homers. Wenceel Perez has also been swinging a hot bat, going 7/24 with three homers in his last seven games.

As a team, the Tigers are averaging 4.1 runs per game and are batting a collective .227. So far, they have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.4 runs per contest. Detroit comes into the game as the 13th ranked home run hitting team in the league.

The Yankees will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Orioles with a 7-2 loss. New York was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Orioles scored four times in the 3rd.

Offensively, the Yankees only had two fewer hits than the Orioles but scored just two runs. Both of their runs came in the 3rd inning. Gleyber Torres hit a solo home run, and Juan Soto had an RBI single.

After dropping three of four games to the Orioles, the Yankees are 20-13 overall and trail the Orioles by just one game in the AL East. This season, they have gone 6-7 in divisional matchups. At home, the Yankees are 8-5 this year and 12-8 on the road.

So far, the Yankees have been good as the favorite, putting up a mark of 13-9 in those games. As the underdog, they are 7-4 this year. New York’s overall series record is 7-2-1 heading into today’s game, and they are looking to pick up a series win vs. the Tigers.

The Yankees are a good team to bet on the run line when they’re on the road, as they are 11-9 against the run line away from home. They are 4-9 against the run line at home, where they have an average run margin of 0.8 runs per game.

So far this season, the Yankees have played in 31 games with over/under lines, and 78.8% of those games have had higher lines than today’s 8.0. The Yankees have a 12-19 over/under record on the season, and their games have averaged 8.2 runs per game. Their last 10 games have averaged 7.8 runs per game, and their over/under record in those games is 3-6-1.

Marcus Stroman Gets The Start For The Yankees

Right-hander Marcus Stroman gets the start for the Yankees today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Brewers, he gave up four earned runs in four innings of work. Stroman has made six starts this year and has a record of 2-1 with a 3.69 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .242 off Stroman this year, and he has a WHIP of 1.42. Stroman has made two quality starts this year and is averaging 9.09 strikeouts per nine innings. So far, he has allowed five homers and is averaging 4.26 walks per nine innings.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

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So far this season, the Yankees offense has been one of the best home run hitting teams in the league, and they are also among the league leaders in walks. As a team, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are 2nd in team home runs and have the league’s 10th best team batting average.

Juan Soto has been on a tear of late, going 10/26 in his last seven games, and he also has two homers during this stretch. For the season, he is batting .331 with a team-high eight homers. Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton are also tied for 2nd on the team with six homers, but Judge is batting just .197 this season.

Tigers vs Yankees Prediction

Our predicted final score for this game is 5-4 in favor of the Yankees. With the Yankees money line sitting at -161, we would recommend taking the over, as we have the line sitting at 8 runs and the payout for the over is -109.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Marcus Stroman finishing with four strikeouts. For Reese Olson, he is projected to finish with six K’s. Olson is also predicted to give up the most earned runs of any starter today.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.