The Detroit Tigers (18-14) travel to face off against the New York Yankees (21-13) on Saturday, May 4th. This game will be played at Yankee Stadium in New York and televised on MLBN. The Yankees are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Tigers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Yankees. First pitch is set for 1:05 ET.
Tigers vs Yankees
New York picked up a 2-1 win over the Tigers in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a late rally, scoring two runs in the 9th inning to pick up the win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -174 on the money line.
Riley Greene was the only Tigers hitter to have more than one hit, as he went 3/4 with an RBI. Marcus Stroman started for the Yankees, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with three strikeouts but issued five walks.
Dennis Santana got the win out of the bullpen for the Yankees, while Jason Foley took the loss for the Tigers. Reese Olson had a good outing for Detroit, going five innings and giving up just two hits.
Detroit is 18-14 overall this season, and they are 4th in the AL Central, two games behind the Guardians for the division lead. The Tigers are 9-4 against other teams in the AL Central this year. Detroit is currently on a two-game losing streak, with both of these losses coming at home. On the road, the Tigers are 10-5 this year.
So far, the Tigers have been good as the underdog, putting together a record of 9-7. They have also been solid in their favorite role, going 9-7 as the favorite. Detroit’s overall series record is 6-2-2, and they have won four straight series overall and two straight series on the road. Their overall record in their last ten games is 6-4.
The Tigers have been a profitable team to bet on the run line this season, going 15-17. They are 10-5 against the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of +1.3 runs per game. They have covered the run line in seven straight games as the underdog, and are 12-4 overall in that role.
The Tigers have gone under the total in two straight games, and their over/under record for the season is 13-17. Their games have averaged 7.7 runs per game, and their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, they have gone over in 4 of 10 games. Overall, 59.4% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Casey Mize Gets The Start For The Tigers
Casey Mize gets the start for the Tigers on the road against the Yankees. Mize has been solid in his first three outings, picking up a win in his last start against the Twins. He has yet to allow a home run this season and has 12 strikeouts over his first 17 innings of work.
Tigers Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Tigers are averaging 4 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. This is also the 19th best mark in the league. At home, they are averaging just 3.8 runs per game. Detroit’s team batting average is just .226, and their on-base percentage of .301 is also below the league average.
Riley Greene has been on a tear of late, going 9/19 in his last five games with two homers and four RBIs. This has helped him move into the team lead in home runs (7) and 2nd in RBIs (15). Mark Canha is also having a solid season for the Tigers, batting .264 with five homers and 16 RBIs.
The Yankees are hosting the Tigers today with an overall record of 21-13, which has them just one game behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. So far, they have gone just 6-7 in divisional matchups. New York has an overall series record of 7-2-1 and is 5-5 in their last ten games.
At home, the Yankees are 9-5 this year and have gone 12-8 on the road. As the favorite, New York is 14-9 and 7-4 as the underdog. So far, they have been good at home when favored, coming in at 9-5.
When betting on the Yankees’ run line, it’s been more profitable to take them as the underdog, as they are 8-3 against the run line in those games compared to 7-16 when they are the favorite. Their overall run line record is 15-19, and they have a run line record of 4-10 at home and 11-9 on the road. They have an average run differential of 1.1 runs per game, with a scoring margin of 0.8 runs per game at home and 1.3 runs per game on the road.
When the Yankees play at home, the over/under line is typically set higher than 7.5 runs. In fact, in 91.2% of their games this season, the line has been set higher than 7.5 runs. However, in the three games where the line has been set at 7.5 runs, the under has hit twice. Overall, the Yankees have an over/under record of 12-20 for the season.
Clarke Schmidt Gets The Start For The Yankees
So far this season, Clarke Schmidt has made six starts and has a record of 2-1 with an ERA of 3.19. Looking at his overall numbers, Schmidt has a WHIP of 1.39 and opponents are batting .252 this season. In his last outing, Schmidt took the loss, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run on three hits. He has given up a homer in three straight starts. Schmidt’s ERA at home is 3.64, compared to 2.82 on the road. So far, he has made three starts at home and three on the road.
Yankees Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Yankees have been one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, as they are 2nd in the league in homers. As a team, they are averaging 4.6 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. New York’s team batting average of .243 is 10th in the league, and they are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage and slugging.
Right fielder Juan Soto has been the team’s top hitter so far this season, batting .320 with a team-high eight home runs. Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton are both near the top of the league in home runs, but both are hitting below .225 for the season. Judge has been better as of late, going 7/24 in his last seven games with two homers.
Tigers vs Yankees Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Yankees vs. Tigers matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 7.5 runs. We see the Yankees coming out on top with a final score of 6-5, giving us a little bit of wiggle room with the over/under line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Clarke Schmidt finishing with eight strikeouts, which is the best among all starters in today’s slate. As for Casey Mize, we have him finishing with just four K’s.
Another reason we like the over is that the Yankees lineup is projected to finish with just eight hits, which is the fourth lowest in the league. As for the Tigers, they are projected to finish with nine hits, which is 14th.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:May 4, 2024 Tigers, Yankees