Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 5/9/2024

The Arizona Diamondbacks (17-20) travel to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (16-20) on Thursday, May 9th. This game will be played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati and televised on MLBN. The Diamondbacks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Reds are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Diamondbacks. First pitch is set for 1:10 ET.

Diamondbacks vs Reds

arizona diamondbacks nba

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Diamondbacks vs Reds series. Arizona went into the matchup as slight underdogs at -107 and squeaked out a 4-3 win. The Diamondbacks offense only had two more hits than the Reds and struck out seven times, but still picked up a win.

Cincinnati had a chance to win the game in the 9th inning, as they scored one run and had the tying run on first base, but Joe Mantiply closed things out for the Diamondbacks. Graham Ashcraft had a rough outing for the Reds, taking the loss.

Jordan Montgomery pitched well for the Diamondbacks in this one, going seven innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with two strikeouts and allowed two home runs. Eugenio Suarez also went deep for Arizona.

Arizona is currently 3rd in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by eight games. Overall, the Diamondbacks are 17-20 as they go for their 4th straight win today in Cincinnati. Their three-game winning streak has come after dropping the final two games of their series vs. the Marlins.

The Diamondbacks have gone 9-8 in divisional games this year and have gone 5-7 as the road underdog. Arizona has an even 5-5 record over their last 10 games and are 9-10 at home compared to 8-10 on the road. So far, they have gone 9-8 when favored and 8-12 when the underdog.

Arizona is playing well against the run line lately, covering in three straight games and in two straight as an underdog. The Diamondbacks are 18-19 overall against the run line this season, with a scoring margin of +0.3 runs per game. They are 9-9 against the run line on the road, with a scoring margin of +0.6 runs per game.

The Diamondbacks have played 36 games this season, and 18 of them have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or fewer. In those games, the under has gone 9-9. In their last two games, the Diamondbacks have scored a combined 15 runs, and the over/under lines have been set at 8.5 and 9 runs. The under has hit in both of those games.

Slade Cecconi Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Slade Cecconi will be making his 4th start of the season for the Diamondbacks, and it will be his first road start. He picked up a win in his first road start, going 6 innings and giving up 1 earned run. In his last outing, he took the loss vs. the Padres, giving up 6 runs in 4 1/3 innings.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

Arizona’s offense has been one of the league’s best this season, averaging 5 runs per game, which is 6th in the MLB. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks have also been tough to strike out, as their 7 strikeouts per game is the 5th best mark in the league.

Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been swinging the bat well of late, with Walker going 7/25 in his last 8 games with two homers and seven RBIs. Marte has also gone deep twice in this stretch while batting .281. Marte is also on a nine-game hitting streak. For the season, Walker and Marte are 1st and 2nd on the team in homers, respectively.

The Reds are looking to snap a seven-game losing streak today, and they are hoping to do so at home, where they are 9-12 this year. Overall, the Reds are 16-20, which has them five games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. So far, they are 1-2 in divisional games this year.

Cincinnati has lost four straight games as the favorite, and they are just 7-8 as the home favorite this year. As for how they have done as the underdog, they are 6-12 this year. The Reds have dropped two straight games and are just 2-8 over their last 10 games.

The Reds have been a tough team to bet on this season, as they are just 17-19 against the run line. They have been slightly better on the road, going 9-6 against the run line, compared to 8-13 at home. Cincinnati’s average run margin for the season is dead even at 0.0 runs per game, but they have been outscored by 0.5 runs per game at home. Their run line losing streak at home is currently at six games, and they have failed to cover the run line in four straight games when favored.

The Reds have gone under in two straight games and have a 1-6-1 O/U record when the line is set at 9 runs. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their O/U record is 18-17 overall. Their games have gone over the total in just 27.8% of their games this season, and the average O/U line in their games is set at 9 runs.

Hunter Greene Gets The Start For The Reds

Hunter Greene is coming off a solid outing for the Reds, as he faced the Orioles on May 3rd and didn’t give up a run in 5 2/3 innings of work. He finished with a no-decision in the outing. Looking back further, Greene has a record of 1-2, an ERA of 3.12, and WHIP of 1.17. Opponents are batting .211 off the right-hander this season. Greene has made two quality starts and is averaging 10.49 strikeouts per nine innings. In his seven starts, he has allowed a total of two home runs. Per nine innings, he is averaging 3.57 walks. At home, Greene’s ERA is 3.9 compared to 1.12 on the road.

Reds Offense Breakdown

cincinnati reds

Elly De La Cruz is one of the Reds’ top hitters this season, as he is batting .254 with a team-high eight home runs. However, he has struggled of late, hitting just 5/30 in his last eight games. Spencer Steer and Tyler Stephenson are also tied for 2nd on the team with four homers, but Steer has gone just 5/29 in his last eight games.

As a team, the Reds are batting just .209, which is the worst mark in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. At home, they are also 17th in the league at 4.2 runs per contest. So far, they are 15th in the league in home runs.

Diamondbacks vs Reds Prediction

The best way to play this Diamondbacks vs. Reds matchup is to take the Reds on the money line at -125. We have the Reds winning this one by a score of 6-5. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also consider taking the over, as the line is sitting at 9 runs, and we have this one going over.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Hunter Greene of the Reds has a much better chance of picking up a win compared to Slade Cecconi of the Diamondbacks. Greene is also projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among today’s starters.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.