The Arizona Diamondbacks (25-30) travel to face off against the New York Mets (22-33) on Thursday, May 30th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on MLBN. Both the Diamondbacks and Mets are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.
Diamondbacks vs Mets
The Diamondbacks will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rangers with a 6-1 loss. Arizona was the +115 underdog on the road going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Diamondbacks, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Rangers scored three times in the bottom of the first.
Arizona started Ryne Nelson, and he took the loss, going six innings and giving up four earned runs on five hits. The Diamondbacks also issued three walks and hit a batter. Corbin Carroll scored the team’s only other run, going 3/5 at the plate.
Heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Mets, the Diamondbacks are 25-30 overall, putting them 4th in the NL West. Arizona is 9.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. So far, they have gone 11-9 in divisional games.
Arizona lost the final game of their series vs. the Giants and have since dropped the first two games of their series vs. the Rangers. The Diamondbacks have really struggled on the road, having lost two straight and are 12-15 for the year. As the favorite, Arizona is 13-12 but just 12-18 as the underdog. They have an overall series record of 6-11-1 and lost two straight series.
Arizona has been a strong run line bet on the road this season, going 14-13, but they have failed to cover the run line in their last two road games. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 16-14, compared to 8-17 as the favorite. The Diamondbacks have an average run margin of -0.1 this season, but that number jumps to -0.8 at home.
The Diamondbacks are on the road today to take on the Mets, with the over/under line set at 7.5 runs. Arizona’s games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 23-30. When the line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 3-4. Overall, 83.6% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and they are currently on a six-game under streak.
Zac Gallen Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks
Right-hander Zac Gallen gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Mets on the road. He has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 5-4 to go along with a 3.12 ERA. Gallen’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.13. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One of the big issues for Gallen this year has been the home run ball, as he has allowed six homers in his last four outings.
Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been the Diamondbacks’ top power threats, with both players having 10 homers so far this season. Walker is also 14th in the league with 33 RBIs, while Marte is 3rd on the team with 27 RBIs. Joc Pederson has been the team’s best hitter for average, batting .306, and he has also gone deep six times.
Over his last eight games, Christian Walker has gone 10/32, with two homers and five runs scored. Ketel Marte has struggled of late, going just 4/34 in his last eight games. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has also been in a bit of a slump, batting just .241 in his last eight games.
New York is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 10-3 loss to the Dodgers, Tomás Nido went 2/3 with a homer and two RBIs. The Mets also got a good start from David Peterson, going five innings and giving up just two runs on seven hits. However, the Mets’ bullpen allowed six runs in the 8th inning.
Adam Ottavino took the loss out of the bullpen, and the Mets also had to use three other relievers in the 8th. Heading into this game, the Mets were the +103 underdog at home.
The Mets are 22-33 overall and trail the Phillies by 16 games in the NL East. New York has dropped three straight games, and they went 0-3 in their series vs. the Dodgers. So far, they are 5-8 in divisional games.
At home, the Mets are 11-19 this year, and they are 11-14 on the road. New York has really struggled as the underdog this season, going 10-18. As the favorite, the Mets are 12-15. Heading into today’s game, the Mets have lost four straight series and have an overall series record of 6-11-2.
Despite their losing record, the Mets have been a solid bet to cover the run line on the road this season, going 14-11. However, they have struggled to cover the run line at home, going just 9-21. They have been favored in 27 games this season and have covered the run line in just nine of those contests.
The Mets have played in 54.5% of their games this season with over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, and their games have averaged a combined 8.9 runs per game. Their over/under record is 28-26 overall, and when the line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 8-9. Today’s over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, and the average over/under line for their games this season has been set at 8 runs.
Christian Scott Gets The Start For The Mets
Christian Scott is set to make his 4th start of the season for the Mets, and he will be taking on the Diamondbacks at home. Scott has a 0-1 record on the year, and in his last start, he went 6 innings, giving up 2 earned runs and striking out 4. He has yet to record a win or a loss this season, as he has a no-decision in each of his first 3 starts.
Mets Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Mets offense has been a lot better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per game compared to just 3.2 at home. Overall, they are 20th in the league at 4.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .232, which is 18th in the league, and are also near the bottom of the league in terms of on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS.
Over his last six games, Starling Marte has gone 4/14 with a home run and three runs scored. For the season, he is batting .262 with six homers. Pete Alonso leads the team with 26 RBIs, but he is batting just .231 for the season and has gone 4/21 over his last six games. Francisco Lindor and Alonso are both on a two-game homer streak.
Diamondbacks vs Mets Prediction
Our recommendation for today’s Diamondbacks vs. Mets game is to take the Mets on the money line at -101. We have the Mets winning this one by a final score of 5-4, giving us some good value on the money line.
Looking at some potential player props, we have Zac Gallen finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for fifth among starters today. On the other side, Christian Scott is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which is near the bottom of today’s starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:May 30, 2024 Diamondbacks, Mets