Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Diamondbacks vs New York Mets Prediction 5/31/2024

The Arizona Diamondbacks (25-31) travel to face off against the New York Mets (23-33) on Friday, May 31st. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on None. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Diamondbacks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.

Diamondbacks vs Mets

arizona diamondbacks nba

New York picked up a 3-2 win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 1st inning, scoring all three of their runs, and the Diamondbacks could only muster two runs in the 3rd inning. As for the pitching matchup, Christian Scott went five innings for the Mets, giving up two earned runs and striking out four. He picked up a win in the game, while Reed Garrett got the save. Zac Gallen had a rough outing for the Diamondbacks, getting pulled without recording an out.

Francisco Lindor was the difference for the Mets, as he went 4/4 with a home run and two RBIs. J.D. Martinez also homered for New York. For the Diamondbacks, Ketel Marte went 1/4 with two RBIs.

Even though the Mets were the slight underdogs on the road, they still picked up a win in the game. New York has now won three of the five games in this series.

Arizona is on the road today, and they are looking to snap a four-game losing streak, as they have dropped the first game of this series vs. the Mets. The Diamondbacks are 25-31 overall, putting them 4th in the NL West. Currently, they trail the Dodgers by 10 games in the division.

As the road team, the Diamondbacks are 12-16 this year compared to 13-15 at home. So far, they have an 11-9 record against other NL West teams. Arizona’s overall series record is 6-11-1, and they have lost two straight series.

Arizona is 14-14 against the run line on the road this season, but they have failed to cover in their last three road games. They have been the favorite in 26 games and have gone 8-18 against the run line in those contests.

Arizona has played to the under in seven straight games, and the Diamondbacks have an O/U record of 23-31 on the season. The over/under line for today’s game against the Mets is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their average O/U line of 9 runs per game. The combined run average in Arizona’s games this season is 9.0 runs per game, and 82.1% of their games have had higher O/U lines than today’s line of 7.5 runs.

Jordan Montgomery Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Jordan Montgomery gets the start for the Diamondbacks today and comes in with a record of 3-2 and ERA of 4.69. So far, he has made four quality starts and is averaging 5.36 strikeouts per nine innings. Montgomery’s WHIP for the season is 1.41. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs on four hits. Looking back further, he has finished with a no-decision in each of his last two outings. Montgomery has been much better on the road, coming in with a 2.64 ERA compared to 8.02 at home.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

Arizona comes into the game as the 8th highest-scoring team in the league, averaging 4.5 runs per game. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.6 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks have been a tough team to strike out this season and are also among the league leaders in walks. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 11th in the league.

Christian Walker and Ketel Marte are both tied for the team lead with 10 homers, and Walker has also driven in a team-high 33 runs. Walker has been hot of late, batting .346 over his last seven games. However, Marte has struggled during that stretch, going just 3/29.

The Mets are 23-33 overall and trail the Phillies by 15.5 games in the NL East. So far, they are just 5-8 in divisional games. New York has taken the first game of their series vs. the Diamondbacks and have dropped four straight series overall.

At home, the Mets are 12-19 this season compared to an 11-14 mark on the road. New York has really struggled as the underdog this season, going 3-8 at home and 11-18 overall. Their overall series record is 6-11-2, and they have lost four straight series.

When the Mets win, they win big, with an average run margin of +2.8. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.1. As a result, their overall run line record is 24-32, and they are 10-21 against the run line at home. However, they are 14-11 against the run line on the road.

Oddsmakers have set the over/under line at 7.5 runs for the New York Mets’ game against the Arizona Diamondbacks today. The Mets have a combined run average of 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 28-27. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 8-9. Overall, 53.6% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.

Luis Severino Gets The Start For The Mets

Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t factor into the decision. Against the Giants, he went seven innings, giving up just one earned run on six hits. Looking back further, Severino has made 10 starts and has a record of 2-2 with an ERA of 3.22. He has made four quality starts this year and is averaging 7.67 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .191 off Severino this season. So far, he has allowed four homers at home and 3.99 walks per nine innings.

Mets Offense Breakdown

new york mets

For the season, the Mets are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. However, they have been much better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .233 and have a collective on-base percentage of .305, both of which are below average. New York’s team slugging percentage of .372 is also below the league average.

Over his last five games, Francisco Lindor has gone 8/21 with two homers and four RBIs. For the season, he is hitting just .225. Pete Alonso is batting .235 and leads the team with 12 homers, which is 6th in the league. Brandon Nimmo has 29 RBIs, which is the best mark on the team, but he is batting just .209.

Diamondbacks vs Mets Prediction

Our predictions for this Diamondbacks vs. Mets matchup is to take the Diamondbacks on the money line at -102. We have the Diamondbacks winning this one by a score of 5-4. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also consider the over/under, and with this game, we would take the over at 7.5.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Jordan Montgomery finishing with four strikeouts compared to Luis Severino with six. However, we have Montgomery getting the win 12th among starters compared to Severino at ninth.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.