The Arizona Diamondbacks (30-34) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (33-34) on Saturday, June 8th. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on None. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Diamondbacks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 7:40 CT.
Diamondbacks vs Padres
San Diego cruised to a 10-3 win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 8th inning, scoring five of their ten runs. As for the Diamondbacks, they scored their only three runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -132 on the money line.
Michael King got the win for the Padres, going five innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued one walk. Brandon Pfaadt had a rough outing for the Diamondbacks, taking the loss after going just 5 1/3 innings and giving up five earned runs.
Jurickson Profar and Ha-Seong Kim each homered for the Padres, while Fernando Tatis Jr. scored twice and drove in two runs while going 1/4. Luis Campusano also had a three-hit game at the plate.
Arizona is 30-34 overall as they play on the road today vs. the Padres. The Diamondbacks are 9.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West and are 4th in the division. So far, they have gone 14-11 in divisional games. Arizona is trying to gain ground on the Giants, who are 8.5 games ahead of them for the 3rd spot in the division.
As the Diamondbacks have been the underdog in most of their games, they are 14-21 as the underdog overall and 15-18 on the road. At home, the Diamondbacks are just one game above .500 at 15-16. Arizona’s overall series record is 7-11-2, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
Arizona has been a solid bet against the run line on the road this season, going 17-16. They’ve been a much better bet as the underdog, going 19-16 against the run line. Their average run differential in winning games is +4.0, while their average run differential in losing games is -3.8.
The Diamondbacks are on the road against the Padres today, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. Arizona’s games have averaged 9.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 29-33. The average over/under line in their games is 9 runs, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 5-2-1. So far this season, 68.8% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.
Ryne Nelson Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks
Right-hander Ryne Nelson is starting for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Padres on the road. Nelson has made nine starts this season and has a record of 3-4 with a 5.44 ERA. So far, he has turned in two quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he went 7 2/3 innings and gave up two earned runs. In that start, he gave up six hits, didn’t issue a walk and gave up one homer. Nelson’s ERA at home is 8.51 compared to 3.44 on the road.
Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown
Arizona comes into today’s game as the 8th highest-scoring team in the league, averaging 4.6 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. As a team, the Diamondbacks are batting .246, which is 9th in the league, and have the 8th best on-base percentage in the league. Arizona’s offense has been led by Ketel Marte and Christian Walker, who are 1st and 2nd on the team in home runs, respectively.
Over his last 10 games, Ketel Marte has gone 13/37 with three homers and eight RBIs. During this stretch, he has scored six runs. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has also hit three homers in his last nine games, but he is batting just .257 during this stretch. Kevin Newman comes into the game with a six-game hitting streak.
San Diego will host the Diamondbacks today with an overall record of 33-34, and they are 8.0 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Padres are 13-14 in divisional games this year. So far, they are 14-20 at home compared to 19-14 on the road.
Heading into today’s game, the Padres are 20-21 as the favorite and 13-13 as the underdog. As for how they have done in their series this year, the Padres are 12-8-2. They are also 4-6 over their last 10 games and dropped the series opener vs. the Diamondbacks.
When betting the run line, the Padres have been a much better option on the road this season, going 24-9 compared to 11-23 at home. Overall, they are 35-32 against the run line, with an average run differential of +0.2 runs per game. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 18-8 compared to 17-24 as the favorite. Their average run differential in wins is +3.7, while it drops to -3.2 in losses.
The Padres are at home today against the Diamondbacks, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. San Diego’s games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 33-33. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, the Padres are 5-7-1, and 41.8% of their games have had higher lines than 8 runs.
Matt Waldron Gets The Start For The Padres
Right-hander Matt Waldron gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Diamondbacks at home. He has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 3-5 with an ERA of 3.98. Waldron’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.26. In his 12 appearances, he has turned in three quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Waldron finished with a no-decision after giving up one earned run in 6 1/3 innings of work. He only allowed four hits in that outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Padres Offense Breakdown
San Diego comes into today’s game with the league’s top batting average at .261 and are averaging 4.4 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, putting up 5 runs per contest. The Padres have been hitting for a high average while also not striking out much, as their 6 strikeouts per game is the 4th best mark in the league.
Fernando Tatis Jr. has been on a tear of late, going 15/28 in his last seven games with two homers and six runs scored. For the season, he is batting .282 with a team-high 11 home runs. Jurickson Profar has been a key run producer for the Padres, as his 42 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 10th in the league. He also has nine homers and is batting .325.
Diamondbacks vs Padres Prediction
Our prediction for this Diamondbacks vs. Padres matchup is to take the Padres on the money line at -144. We actually have the final score at 6-5 in favor of the Padres, meaning you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 8 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Matt Waldron is predicted to finish with four strikeouts, which is the third-worst among today’s starters. As for Ryne Nelson, he is expected to finish with five strikeouts, which is towards the bottom of the league.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 8, 2024 Diamondbacks, Padres