Cleveland Guardians vs Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Guardians vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 4/17/2024

The Cleveland Guardians (12-5) travel to face off against the Boston Red Sox (9-9) on Wednesday, April 17th. This game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston and televised on BSGL. The Guardians are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Red Sox are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Red Sox. First pitch is set for 7:10 ET.

Guardians vs Red Sox

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Cleveland rallied for three runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this series, picking up a 10-7 win over the Red Sox. The Guardians scored two runs in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the top of the 9th. Heading into the game, they were at +101 on the money line.

Tanner Bibee got the start for Cleveland, going just five innings while giving up one run and striking out three. Emmanuel Clase got the win out of the bullpen. Garrett Whitlock only went four innings for the Red Sox, giving up two earned runs on three hits.

Jose Ramirez and Estevan Florial each had two RBIs for the Guardians’ offense. Ramirez, Tyler Freeman, and Steven Kwan each scored two runs and drove in a run. For Boston, Connor Wong hit the game’s only home run and drove in three runs.

Cleveland heads into today’s game in 1st place in the AL Central, leading the Royals by one game. The Guardians are on a three-game winning streak and have a record of 12-5. So far, they have been really good on the road, putting together a record of 9-2.

Looking at their overall series record, the Guardians are 4-1, and they have won three straight series on the road. When coming into a game as the underdog, Cleveland has been perfect so far, with a 6-0 record.

When the Cleveland Guardians are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 9-2 so far this season. They have covered the run line in six straight road games and have been particularly good as the underdog, going 8-0 against the run line in those games. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.1 runs per game.

The Cleveland Guardians have played 16 games with over/under lines set lower than 9.5 runs, and their games have averaged 9.2 runs per contest. The over/under record for the Guardians this season is 10-6, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. In the only game this season with an over/under line set at 9.5 runs, the game went over the total.

Ben Lively Gets The Start For The Guardians

Starting for the Guardians today is right-hander Ben Lively, who is coming off a season in which he made 12 starts and 19 appearances. His record last season was 4-7, and his ERA was 5.38. Lively’s WHIP for the year was 1.36, and his batting average allowed was .264. Last season, Lively made two quality starts and allowed a total of 20 home runs. His strikeout-to-walk ratio for the year was 3.2, and he averaged 1.3 walks per game.

Guardians Offense Breakdown

When looking at the Cleveland Guardians’ hitting projections for today, José Ramírez is expected to have a solid game at the plate. His total hits projection is 14th best in the league today and 4th on the team. We also have his home run projection as the 11th best in today’s games. Andrés Giménez is also projected to have a good game, as his total hits projection is 11th in the league and 2nd on the team. Josh Naylor has the 2nd best home run projection for the Guardians and Bo Naylor has the best on the team and 9th best in today’s games.

With an overall record of 9-9, the Red Sox are in 5th place in the AL East. Currently, they are three games behind the Yankees for the division lead. The Red Sox will be looking to pick up a win today, as they are on a two-game losing streak.

At home, the Red Sox have gone just 2-6 this season. They have been better on the road, putting together a record of 7-3. Boston is coming off a series loss to the Guardians and, this season, they are 3-5 as the underdog.

The Red Sox have been a profitable team to bet on the run line this season, going 9-9 overall. However, they have struggled to cover the run line at home, going just 1-7. Their overall run line record is buoyed by an 8-2 mark on the road, where they have a scoring margin of +2.6 runs per game. They have been favored in 10 games and have gone just 3-7 against the run line in those contests.

With an average combined run total of 8.6 runs per game this season, the Boston Red Sox have seen their games go over the over/under line in 8 of their 17 games. The average over/under line for their games has been set at 8 runs, but today’s line is set at 9.5 runs. This season, the Red Sox have played in just 2 games with a higher over/under line than today’s, and in those games, the over/under record is 0-1.

Tanner Houck Gets The Start For The Red Sox

Tanner Houck will be taking the mound for the Red Sox in their matchup against the Cleveland Guardians. This will be his second start of the season at home, and he is coming off a loss to the Angels in his last outing, where he struck out 12 batters in 5 2/3 innings.

Red Sox Offense Breakdown

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When looking at the Red Sox’s top hitting projections, we have Triston Casas as the player with the best odds to hit a home run. His home run projection is 7th best in the league today. Tyler O’Neill has the 2nd best odds to hit a home run for the Red Sox and his odds are 9th best in today’s slate of games. If you are looking for a player to have the most hits for the Red Sox, we have Masataka Yoshida as the favorite.

 

Guardians vs Red Sox Prediction

 

Our recommended bet for this Guardians vs. Red Sox matchup is to take the Guardians on the money line, where they are currently sitting at +115. We actually have the Guardians winning this one by a score of 5-4. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look to take the under, as the line is currently sitting at 9.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Tanner Houck finishing with more strikeouts than Ben Lively. However, we have Lively going five innings, while Houck is projected for just four. Offensively, the Guardians are actually projected to finish with more hits than the Red Sox.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.