Guardians vs Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Guardians vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 4/18/2024

The Cleveland Guardians (12-6) travel to face off against the Boston Red Sox (10-9) on Thursday, April 18th. This game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston and televised on NESN. The Red Sox are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Guardians are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Guardians. First pitch is set for 1:35 ET.

Guardians vs Red Sox

cleveland guardians nba

Boston picked up a 2-0 win over the Guardians in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had just one more hit than the Guardians and struck out 11 times, but still picked up a win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -135 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Tanner Houck for the Red Sox and Ben Lively for the Guardians. Houck went nine innings and didn’t give up a run as he picked up a win in the game. Lively only went five innings and gave up two earned runs.

Cleveland had a chance to get on the board in the 3rd inning, as they loaded the bases with no outs. However, Houck got out of the jam without giving up a run. The Guardians didn’t threaten again until the 9th inning, when they put two runners on with one out, but Houck closed things out.

Cleveland comes into today’s game in 1st place in the AL Central, leading the Royals by a half-game. The Guardians have an overall record of 12-6 and have won four of their five games against divisional opponents. On the road, Cleveland is 9-3 this season.

So far, the Guardians have been good as both the favorite (5-4) and the underdog (7-2). They are currently on a three-game winning streak in series on the road, and their overall series record is 4-1. At home, they are just 3-3.

The Cleveland Guardians have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 12-6 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 9-3. They have an average run margin of +2.0 runs per game overall, and that number jumps to +3.2 runs per game on the road. They have been a good bet on the run line as an underdog, going 8-1, but have been below .500 on the run line as the favorite.

Today’s over/under line of 9.5 runs for the Cleveland Guardians’ game against the Boston Red Sox is the highest line of the season for the Guardians. Their games have had an average of 8.8 runs scored per game this season, and their over/under record is 10-7. In the 17 games they’ve played this season, the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs just once, and the under hit in that game.

Carlos Carrasco Gets The Start For The Guardians

Carlos Carrasco and the Cleveland Guardians are on the road to take on the Boston Red Sox. Carrasco has started three games this season and has yet to pick up a win. In his last outing, he took a loss to the Yankees, giving up one earned run in 4 2/3 innings. He also has a no-decision against the Twins and Athletics.

Guardians Offense Breakdown

For the Guardians, we have Steven Kwan as our top projected hitter in terms of total hits, with his total being the 9th best in the league today. José Ramírez has the 4th best total hits projection on the team, but he does have our top odds to hit a home run on the team and 9th best in the league today. Josh Naylor is our 2nd choice to hit a home run for the Guardians. Andrés Giménez is 2nd in terms of total hits projection on the team.

With a record of 10-9, the Red Sox are in 5th place in the AL East, tied with the Rays and three games behind the division-leading Yankees. So far, they have really struggled against teams in their division, going 0-3.

At home, the Red Sox are just 3-6 this season, but they have been much better on the road at 7-3. Coming into today’s game, they have an overall series record of 3-1-1.

When betting the run line, the Red Sox have been a much better play on the road than at home. They are 8-2 against the run line on the road, compared to just 2-7 at Fenway Park. They are also 6-2 against the run line as an underdog, compared to 4-7 as a favorite.

The Red Sox have had 18 games with over/under lines set for them this season. In those games, the average over/under line has been 8 runs. Their games have gone over the line 8 times and under the line 10 times. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 9.5 runs, which is the highest line they’ve had all season. In the two games where the line was set at 9.5 runs, the over/under record is 0-1.

Brennan Bernardino Gets The Start For The Red Sox

Brennan Bernardino is getting the start for the Red Sox today against the Guardians. He has made 4 appearances out of the bullpen this season, and in his last outing, he took the loss, going just 1 inning and giving up 1 earned run on 1 hit. In his first appearance of the year, he went 1 inning and struck out 2 batters.

Red Sox Offense Breakdown

boston red sox

For the Red Sox, our top hitter is Triston Casas. He has the highest home run projection on the team and the 5th highest in the league today. Tyler O’Neill is our 3rd highest projected hitter in terms of total hits and 2nd in terms of home runs on the Red Sox.

 

Guardians vs Red Sox Prediction

 

Our prediction for today’s Guardians vs. Red Sox game is to take the Red Sox on the money line at -127. We see this game ending with a final score of 6-5 in favor of the Red Sox.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Carlos Carrasco is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and he is third among starters in terms of projected strikeouts. As for the Red Sox, they are predicted to finish with eight strikeouts, which has them sixth in the league in terms of team strikeouts.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.