Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Guardians vs Chicago White Sox Prediction 5/11/2024

The Cleveland Guardians (24-15) travel to face off against the Chicago White Sox (11-28) on Saturday, May 11th. This game will be played at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago and televised on BSGL. The White Sox are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Guardians are looking to get back on track from a loss to the White Sox. First pitch is set for 7:10 ET.

Guardians vs White Sox

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Chicago picked up a 6-3 win over the Guardians in the most recent game of this series. The White Sox offense got off to a fast start, scoring three runs in the first and adding three more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Guardians got on the board with one run in the 7th and added their final two runs in the 8th.

Garrett Crochet started for the White Sox and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with 11 strikeouts but issued five walks. As for the Guardians, Carlos Carrasco got the start and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in seven innings of work.

Jose Ramirez was the only player in the game to homer twice, going 2/4 with two RBIs. Paul DeJong and Korey Lee each homered for the White Sox. DeJong, Andrew Vaughn, and Andrew Benintendi each had two RBIs for Chicago’s offense.

The Guardians are 24-15 overall this season, putting them in 1st place in the AL Central. They hold a half-game lead over the White Sox in the division. So far, they have gone 6-4 in divisional matchups. The Guardians have dropped two straight games, and this came after winning five in a row.

At home, the Guardians are 12-6 this year, and they are 12-9 on the road. They have been really good in day games, going 11-4 this year. As the favorite, the Guardians are 15-8 and 9-7 as the underdog. Cleveland’s overall series record is 9-3, and they have won two straight series.

When the Cleveland Guardians are on the road, they have a run line record of 13-8 and an average run margin of +1.3 runs per game. As the underdog, the Guardians have a run line record of 12-4. In their wins, they have an average run margin of +3.5 runs per game. In their losses, they have an average run margin of -3.1 runs per game.

When the Cleveland Guardians are involved in games, the over/under line is set at 8 runs on average. The over/under record for the Guardians this season is 21-16, with the over hitting in 56.8% of their games. The combined run average in their games is 8.6 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game against the Chicago White Sox is set at 8 runs.

Triston McKenzie Gets The Start For The Guardians

Triston McKenzie is looking to build off his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Tigers on May 6th, he went five innings, giving up one earned run on three hits. He only issued one walk in the outing. McKenzie has made seven starts this year and has a record of 2-2 with a 3.97 ERA. Opponents are batting .219 off the right-hander this year. McKenzie’s WHIP for the season is 1.44. So far, he has made one quality start and is averaging 7.94 strikeouts per nine innings.

Guardians Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Guardians are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been a very consistent offense, averaging 4.9 runs per game on the road and 4.7 runs per game at home. As a team, they are batting .240, which is 13th in the league, and are 8th in home runs. Cleveland is also one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts.

Jose Ramirez has been the team’s top run producer so far, with 33 RBIs and is also 2nd in the league in home runs (9). Josh Naylor is just behind him in homers, with 10, and is 2nd on the team with 29 RBIs. Steven Kwan has been the team’s best hitter so far, batting .353, and has gone deep three times.

Chicago is 11-28 overall this season, and they are 13 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 4-18. The White Sox have won three straight games, and they are 5-5 across their last 10.

At home, the White Sox are 7-12 this year, and they are just 4-16 on the road. So far, they have been the underdog in all but one of their games, where they are 10-28 as the underdog. As the home underdog, the White Sox are 6-12 this year. Chicago has an overall series record of 2-9-1 this year.

When the White Sox win, they win big, with an average run margin of 2.2 runs per game. They have covered the run line in 19 of 39 games this season. They have been a good bet at home, going 12-7 against the run line. They are also on a two-game run line win streak at home.

Chicago’s over/under record for the season is now 18-20. The average over/under line for their games has been 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, they have gone 4-1. The White Sox have played 19 games with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, and 15 games with lines set lower than 8 runs.

Mike Clevinger Gets The Start For The White Sox

Mike Clevinger is getting the start for the White Sox at home against the Cleveland Guardians. Clevinger is looking to bounce back from his first start of the season, where he took the loss after going just 2 innings and giving up 4 runs (3 earned).

White Sox Offense Breakdown

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Paul DeJong has been swinging the bat well of late for the White Sox, going 10/29 in his last eight games, including three home runs. DeJong is currently 7th in the league with six homers. Eloy Jimenez and Korey Lee are also tied for 2nd on the team with four homers apiece, but Jimenez has struggled of late, going just 5/32 in his last eight games.

Chicago’s offense has been the worst in the league so far, averaging just 3 runs per game. Their team on-base percentage of .273 is the worst in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in slugging percentage and OPS. As a team, the White Sox are batting just .213.

Guardians vs White Sox Prediction

Our recommended bet for this Guardians vs. White Sox matchup is to take the over, with the line currently sitting at 8 runs. We actually have the Guardians winning this one by a score of 5-4, but with the payout for a Guardians win sitting at -170, we like the over.

Looking at some potential starting pitcher props, we have Triston McKenzie finishing with seven strikeouts and Mike Clevinger with six. McKenzie is projected to finish with five earned runs allowed, while Clevinger is at two.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.