The Cleveland Guardians (42-22) travel to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (32-34) on Tuesday, June 11th. This game will be played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati and televised on BSOH. The Guardians are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Reds are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Cubs. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.
Guardians vs Reds
The Guardians wrapped up their series vs. the Marlins with a 6-3 win on the road. Cleveland was the slight favorite at -121 on the money line going into the game. It was a big 2nd inning for the Guardians, as they scored three runs in the inning. The Marlins could only score two runs, both of which came in the 4th.
Carlos Carrasco got the start for the Guardians, going 4 2/3 innings, and got the win. He gave up just two runs on four hits and issued only one walk. Cleveland’s offense was carried by Tyler Freeman, who went 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
Cleveland is on the road today to take on the Reds, and they lead the AL Central with a record of 42-22. The Guardians hold a 4.5-game lead over the Royals for the division lead. The Guardians have gone 11-6 against other teams in the AL Central this season.
The Guardians have won two straight games, and they closed out their series vs. the Marlins with a win. So far, they are 21-8 at home and have gone 21-14 on the road. This season, they have been really good in day games, going 18-6.
When the Cleveland Guardians are on the road, they have been a good bet to cover the run line, going 20-15 on the season. Their average run margin in road games is +1.6, and they have covered the run line in two straight games.
The Cleveland Guardians are on the road today against the Cincinnati Reds, with the over/under line set at 9 runs. The combined run average for Guardians games this season is 8.8 runs, and their over/under record is 31-28. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 9 runs, their record is 3-4-1. Only 7.8% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 or higher, with just 5 games having lines set above 9 runs.
Triston McKenzie Gets The Start For The Guardians
Cleveland is sending Triston McKenzie to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 2-3 and ERA of 4.17. So far, he has made 12 starts and three of them have been quality starts. McKenzie has a WHIP of 1.44 and is averaging 8.76 strikeouts per nine innings. The right-hander has made 12 appearances this year and has not taken the loss in any of his last four outings. In each of his last three starts, McKenzie has finished with a no-decision. Opponents are batting .223 this year off McKenzie. He has allowed a total of 14 home runs.
Guardians Offense Breakdown
Jose Ramirez has been on a tear of late, hitting .324 over his last 10 games, with three homers and 13 runs scored. For the season, he is batting .275 with 18 homers and 62 RBIs, both of which are the best marks on the team. Josh Naylor has also been swinging a hot bat of late, but his season-long batting average is just .220.
As a team, the Guardians are the 3rd highest-scoring team in the league at 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .240 and have the league’s 9th best home run total. Cleveland is also near the top of the league in terms of avoiding strikeouts.
Cincinnati is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 4-2 loss to the Cubs, Luke Maile went 1/2 with a homer, and Frankie Montas allowed just one run out of the bullpen. The Reds also got a good start from Vladimir Gutierrez, giving up just one run in his jsonly 3 innings of work.
Despite all of these good performances, the Reds couldn’t pick up the win. They were especially hurt by a four-run 2nd inning by the Cubs. Cincinnati was the +113 underdog at home going into the game.
Cincinnati is 32-34 overall and trails the Brewers by seven games in the NL Central. The Reds will host the Guardians today with an overall record of 7-6 in the division. They have won three straight series, and their overall series record is 8-12-1 this year.
At home, the Reds are 17-18 compared to 15-16 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 29 games, going 17-12 in those matchups. As the underdog, the Reds are 15-22 this season.
The Reds have been a solid run line team this season, going 35-31 overall. They have been better on the road, going 21-10, compared to 14-21 at home. They have an average run margin of +0.2 runs per game, but it’s been better on the road at +0.8 compared to -0.3 at home. They have been a better run line team as the underdog, going 21-16 compared to 14-15 as the favorite.
Today’s over/under line for the Reds’ game against the Guardians is set at 9 runs. Cincinnati’s games have averaged 8.5 runs this season, and their over/under record is 30-33. When the line is set at 9 runs, the Reds have gone 1-10-2. The under has hit in three straight games for Cincinnati.
Brent Suter Gets The Start For The Reds
Left-hander Brent Suter is getting the start for the Reds today and has made 26 appearances this season. Suter has made two starts and has a record of 0-0 with a 3.86 ERA. So far, he has a WHIP of 1.26 and has allowed a total of six home runs. Suter’s ERA on the road is 12.0, compared to 3.21 at home. He has not allowed a run in any of his last three outings, coming out of the bullpen each time. Suter most recently pitched on June 9th, where he went one inning and didn’t allow a hit or a walk.
Reds Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game. Cincinnati’s team batting average of .227 is 19th in the league, and they are also in the bottom half of the league in terms of on-base percentage and slugging.
Elly De La Cruz and Spencer Steer have been the Reds’ top power threats this season, with De La Cruz’s 11 homers leading the team and Steer’s seven homers putting him 4th on the team. Steer is also 14th in the league with 40 RBIs. Jeimer Candelario has two homers in his last five games and is batting just .234 for the season.
Guardians vs Reds Prediction
With the Reds being the underdog at +107, we see this as a great opportunity to take them on the money line. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Reds, giving you a chance to get a good payout.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Brent Suter is projected to go six innings, and we have him finishing with four strikeouts. As for Triston McKenzie, he is projected to rack up seven K’s, but we have his final line being 5.2 innings.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:June 11, 2024 Guardians, Reds