Cleveland Guardians vs Texas Rangers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Guardians vs Texas Rangers Prediction 5/15/2024

The Cleveland Guardians (27-16) travel to face off against the Texas Rangers (22-22) on Wednesday, May 15th. This game will be played at Globe Life Field in Arlington and televised on BSSW. The Guardians are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rangers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Guardians. First pitch is set for 8:05 ET.

Guardians vs Rangers

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Cleveland picked up a 7-4 road win over the Rangers in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a huge 2nd inning, scoring six of their seven runs. As for the Rangers, they scored three of their four runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Guardians were at +104 on the money line.

Ben Lively got the win for Cleveland, going five innings and giving up three earned runs. Emmanuel Clase got the save. Jack Leiter only went 1 2/3 innings for the Rangers, giving up six runs on three hits.

Offensively, the Guardians were led by Josh Naylor and Andres Gimenez, as they were the only two Cleveland hitters to have more than one hit. Naylor, Bo Naylor, and Harold Ramirez each had two RBIs.

Cleveland comes into today’s road matchup vs. the Rangers having won three straight games, and they lead the AL Central with a record of 27-16. The Guardians hold a 1.5-game lead over the Royals in the division. So far, they are 7-5 in divisional matchups.

This season, the Guardians have been really good in day games, going 14-3, and they are 15-10 on the road compared to 12-6 at home. As the road underdog, the Guardians are 9-6 this year, and they are 17-9 as the favorite. Cleveland’s overall series record is 9-4, and they have gone 6-4 over their last 10 games.

When the Cleveland Guardians are on the road, they have been a good bet on the run line this season. They are 26-17 overall, including 16-9 on the road. They have covered the run line in three straight road games. They have an average run margin of 1.2 runs per game this season, and that number increases to 1.7 runs per game on the road. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 13-4, compared to 13-13 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.7 runs per game, while it drops to -3.1 runs per game in losing games.

Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs for the Cleveland Guardians’ game against the Texas Rangers matches their combined run average for the season. The Guardians’ over/under record for the season is 22-19, and their average over/under line is 8 runs per game. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 5-8. So far this season, only 16.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.

Carlos Carrasco Gets The Start For The Guardians

Cleveland is sending right-hander Carlos Carrasco to the mound today vs. the Rangers. He has made a total of eight starts this season and has a record of 2-3 with an ERA of 5.36. In his 40 1/3 innings of work, Carrasco has issued 17 walks and has a WHIP of 1.49. Opponents are batting .261 off Carrasco this season. The right-hander’s last outing came vs. the White Sox, where he gave up three earned runs in seven innings of work. Carrasco took the loss in that outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Guardians Offense Breakdown

Josh Naylor has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Guardians, going 6/23 in his last six games with three homers and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .268 with 12 homers, which is 2nd in the league. Naylor’s 33 RBIs are also the 6th most in the MLB and the 2nd most on the Cleveland roster.

Jose Ramirez has been the team’s top run producer so far, as his 37 RBIs are the most in the league. He also has nine homers, which is 2nd on the team and 5th in the league. Ramirez and Naylor have been swinging at the same rate of late, with both players going 6/23 in their last six games.

Texas will be looking to get back to .500 today, as they come in at 22-22 and have dropped five straight games. Currently, they trail the Mariners by 1.5 games in the AL West. So far, they are 8-9 in divisional games.

At home, the Rangers are 10-11 this year compared to 12-11 on the road. As the favorite, Texas is 13-13 and 9-9 as the underdog. Their longest losing streak as the favorite is four games, and they are 8-8 as the home favorite this year. Texas’ overall series record is 7-5-1.

The Rangers have a run line record of 18-26 on the season, including an 8-13 mark at home. They have an average run margin of 0.2 runs per game, with a scoring margin of 0.6 runs per game at home and -0.1 runs per game on the road. They have gone 10-13 against the run line on the road and have failed to cover the run line in their last two home games. They have been favored in 26 games this season and have gone 8-18 against the run line in those games.

So far this season, the Rangers have played 43 games, and 24 of them have had over/under lines higher than 8.5 runs. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs. Their over/under record for the season is 19-24. The combined run average in their games is 9.3 runs per game.

Jon Gray Gets The Start For The Rangers

Jon Gray gets the start for the Rangers today and comes into the game with a record of 1-1 and ERA of 2.37. So far, he has made eight starts and four of them have been quality starts. Gray’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.20. In his last outing, Gray finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in six innings of work. He only allowed one hit in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. The right-hander has been solid at home, with an ERA of 3.43 compared to 1.39 on the road.

Rangers Offense Breakdown

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For the season, the Rangers are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .252, which is the 6th best mark in the league. Texas has been a good home run hitting team this season, as their 44 homers is 10th in the league.

Marcus Semien and Adolis Garcia have been two of the Rangers’ top power threats this season, as they have 7 and 9 homers, respectively. Semien is also batting .277 for the season and has gone 14/35 (.400) over his last eight games. Garcia is on an eight-game hitting streak and has gone 9/24 in that stretch.

Guardians vs Rangers Prediction

Our prediction for this one is that the Rangers will pick up a 6-5 win at home. With the money line sitting at -154, this is the way we would recommend playing this one.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Carlos Carrasco finishing with five strikeouts, while Jon Gray is predicted to finish with six. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look to the over/under line, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs, and we have this one finishing with 11 runs.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.