The Houston Astros (24-32) travel to face off against the Seattle Mariners (31-26) on Thursday, May 30th. This game will be played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle and televised on None. The Mariners are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Astros are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mariners. First pitch is set for 3:10 CT.
Astros vs Mariners
Seattle picked up a 2-1 win over the Astros in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a chance to win in regulation but scored the game-winning run in the 10th. Heading into the game, the Mariners were at -108 on the money line.
George Kirby started for the Mariners and went six innings while giving up just one run and striking out eight. He picked up a win in the game, while Mike Baumann got the save. Justin Verlander had a good outing for the Astros, going seven innings and giving up one earned run.
Dominic Canzone hit the game’s only home run while going 1/4. Yordan Alvarez had a two-hit game for the Astros.
Houston is 24-32 overall and 6.5 games behind the Mariners in the AL West. The Astros have dropped three straight games, and they trail the Mariners 0-3 in their current series. So far, they are 12-11 in AL West play.
At home, the Astros have gone 14-15 this year compared to a 10-17 mark on the road. As the favorite, Houston is 19-25 and 5-7 as the underdog. The Astros’ overall series record is 8-8-1, and they have won two straight series on the road.
When the Astros are on the road, they have a run line record of 10-17, and their average run margin in those games is -1.2. They have failed to cover the run line in their last three road games and are 6-6 against the run line as the underdog this season.
The Houston Astros are on the road against the Seattle Mariners today. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is below their average combined run average of 9.0 runs per game. The Astros have played 47 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 83.9% of their games. Their over/under record for the season is 21-32, and their under streak is at five games.
Spencer Arrighetti Gets The Start For The Astros
Right-hander Spencer Arrighetti gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Mariners on the road. He has made eight starts this season and has a record of 2-5 with a 6.93 ERA. Arrighetti’s WHIP for the season is 1.78, and opponents are batting .294 off him this year. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Arrighetti has been much worse on the road, coming in with an 0-4 record and 11.3 ERA.
Astros Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Astros are the league’s top hitting team, with a combined batting average of .259. They also have the fewest strikeouts in the league and have the best slugging percentage in the league. Overall, they are 6th in the league in home runs and are averaging 4.4 runs per game. At home, they are scoring 4.9 runs per game, which is 7th best in the league.
Kyle Tucker is the MLB’s home run leader and is also 8th in the league in RBIs. However, he is batting just .080 over his last seven games. Yordan Alvarez has gone 9/27 in his last seven games and is 10th in the league with nine homers. Jose Altuve is also near the top of the league in homers, and he comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak.
Seattle has taken the first three games of their series vs. the Astros and come into today’s game with an overall record of 31-26. The Mariners lead the AL West by 3.5 games over the Rangers and have gone 9-3 against other teams in the division. Seattle has won four straight games overall.
At home, the Mariners are 18-10 this season, and they are just above .500 at 13-16 on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 17-13, and they are 14-13 as the underdog. Seattle’s overall series record is 8-7-2.
Seattle has been a solid bet to cover the run line at home this season, going 16-12. The Mariners’ average run differential at home is +0.5, compared to -0.6 on the road. They have covered the run line in four straight games and are 2-0 against the run line as the favorite in that span.
The Seattle Mariners have had a combined run average of 7.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 21-33. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 6-11. The over/under line for today’s game against the Houston Astros is also set at 7.5 runs.
Logan Gilbert Gets The Start For The Mariners
Seattle is sending right-hander Logan Gilbert to the mound today vs. the Astros. He has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 3-2 with a 3.06 ERA. Gilbert’s WHIP for the season is .96, and opponents are batting .194 off him this year. In his 11 starts, Gilbert has turned in nine quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Gilbert finished with a no-decision vs. the Nationals, going six innings and giving up one earned run on three hits. He has not given up more than three earned runs in any of his last four outings.
Mariners Offense Breakdown
Cal Raleigh has been the Mariners’ most consistent power threat this season, as his 11 homers is 8th in the league and leads the team. However, he is batting just .209. Ty France and Mitch Haniger are tied for 2nd on the team with six homers, with Haniger having the better batting average of the two at .217. Haniger also has the 2nd most RBIs on the team, with 24.
Julio Rodríguez has been hot of late, going 9/33 in his last eight games, with two homers and seven RBIs. This has helped him move into the 4th spot in the team’s batting average rankings, as he is hitting .269 for the season. Rodriguez and Haniger are both on hitting streaks, with Haniger’s being at three games and Rodriguez’s at five.
Astros vs Mariners Prediction
We see the Astros coming away with a 5-4 road win over the Mariners. Given that the Astros are the underdogs in this one, we recommend taking them on the money line, where they are paying out at +120.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Logan Gilbert is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is the same as Spencer Arrighetti. However, we have Gilbert finishing with a higher ERA, and he is also projected to finish with fewer innings.
Offensively, the Astros lineup is looking good, with them being projected to finish with nine hits compared to the Mariners, who are projected to finish with eight.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:May 30, 2024 Astros, Mariners