Kansas City Royals vs New York Mets MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Kansas City Royals vs New York Mets Prediction 4/14/2024

The Kansas City Royals (10-5) travel to face off against the New York Mets (6-8) on Sunday, April 14th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on SNY. The Royals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 1:40 ET.

Royals vs Mets

kansas city royals nba

It was all Kansas City in the last game of this series, as the Royals took down the Mets by a score of 11-7. The Royals offense only had two more hits than the Mets and struck out seven times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +137 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Alec Marsh for the Royals and Sean Manaea for the Mets. Marsh only went five innings but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. On the other side, Manaea was tagged for six runs in just 3 2/3 innings of work.

Pete Alonso did all he could for the Mets, going 3/3 with two homers and three RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Alonso’s homers accounted for the Mets’ only two runs after the first inning.

The Royals come into this one, having gone 10-5 through their first 15 games. In the AL Central, they are just ahead of the Guardians by half a game. So far, they have been good at home, putting together an 8-2 record, but they are just 2-3 on the road.

Looking at their overall series record, the Royals are currently 2-2, and they have won each of their last two series. Kansas City is coming off a series win over the Mets, closing it out with a win in the rubber match.

The Royals have a run line record of 10-5 this season, including 7-3 at home. They have covered the run line in three of their five road games, and their average run margin is 2.5 runs per game. In their wins, they have an average run margin of 5.3 runs per game.

So far this season, the Kansas City Royals have had an over/under record of 6-8, with an average over/under line of 8 runs per game. In games where the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, the Royals have a record of 2-1. Overall, their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game, and today’s over/under line is set at 8 runs. In their last game, the Royals and Mets combined for 18 runs, going over the 8.5 run line.

Cole Ragans Gets The Start For The Royals

Cole Ragans has started the season with a no-decision in each of his first two outings. He went 6 1/3 innings against the Orioles and then went 5 innings in his last start vs. the Astros. He has 12 strikeouts in 11 1/3 innings pitched.

Royals Offense Breakdown

If you’re looking for some Royals players to potentially have a big game at the plate, we have Nelson Velázquez with the 6th highest total hits projection on the team and the top home run projection for the Royals. His home run projection is also 6th best in the league today. Bobby Witt Jr. has the best hits projection on the team and the 10th best in the league today. His home run projection is 2nd on the team and 7th in the league. Maikel Garcia is 2nd on the team in total hits projection and 23rd in the league.

With an overall record of 6-8, the Mets are in 3rd place in the NL East heading into today’s game vs. the Royals. They will also look to pick up a win at home, as they are just 2-6 at home this season. Luckily, they’ve been better on the road at 4-2.

The Mets are coming off a series loss, as they dropped the final game vs. the Royals. This season, the Mets are 3-6 as the favorite and 3-2 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 2-2.

When the Mets win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.7 runs per game. They have covered the run line in four of their five games as underdogs, and they have covered the run line in three straight games as the underdog. They are 6-8 overall on the run line, but just 1-7 at home.

After a high-scoring game yesterday, the Mets have seen their games go over the total in 7 of 14 games this season. The average over/under line in their games has been 8 runs, and the average combined runs scored in their games has been 9.6. Today’s over/under line is 8 runs.

José Buttó Gets The Start For The Mets

Jose Butto will be making his second start of the season for the Mets, and he will be taking on the Royals at home. In his first start, Butto went 6 innings, giving up 3 runs on 3 hits, with 6 strikeouts. He did not factor into the decision.

Mets Offense Breakdown

new york mets

When looking at the Mets’ player prop projections, Brandon Nimmo has the highest total hits projection on the team and his home run projection is 4th best on the team and 13th in the league today. Jeff McNeil has the 2nd highest total hits projection for the Mets and his home run projection is 5th on the team and 16th in the league. Pete Alonso has the best home run projection on the team and 7th best in the league. Francisco Alvarez is 2nd on the team in home run projection and 11th in the league.


Royals vs Mets Prediction


Given the money line odds, we really like the Royals to pick up a win on the road. And with the payout for a Royals win at -129, this is the route we recommend going with your bet.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Cole Ragans is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and we have him finishing with a better ERA than José Buttó. As for Buttó, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts.

Offensively, our projections have the Royals finishing with nine hits compared to the Mets with eight. However, we have the Mets finishing with four runs compared to the Royals with five.

Another way to look at this game would be to look at the starting pitchers’ strikeout props and build a bet around that.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.