New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Mets vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 5/22/2024

The New York Mets (21-27) travel to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (32-17) on Wednesday, May 22nd. This game will be played at Progressive Field in Cleveland and televised on MLBN. The Guardians are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Guardians. First pitch is set for 1:10 ET.

Mets vs Guardians

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Cleveland picked up a 7-6 win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. New York had a late rally, scoring two runs in the 8th and another two in the 9th, but Emmanuel Clase closed things out for the Guardians. Offensively, the Mets actually outhit the Guardians in the game 11 to 7.

Xzavion Curry only went 4 1/3 innings for the Guardians but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished with just one strikeout and didn’t issue a walk. Adrian Houser had a rough outing for the Mets, taking the loss after going five innings and giving up six runs on six hits.

Jose Ramirez was the difference for the Guardians, as he went 2/4 with a home run and three RBIs. David Fry also had a two-hit game and drove in two runs. For the Mets, Jeff McNeil and Mark Vientos each homered and drove in two runs.

The Mets are 21-27 overall and trail the Phillies by 13.5 games in the NL East. New York has dropped two straight games, and they are losing the series vs. the Guardians 0-2. So far, they are just 5-8 in divisional games this year. The Mets have really struggled on the road, where they are 11-13 compared to 10-14 at home.

As the underdog, the Mets are 9-15 this year and 8-10 as the road underdog. New York has dropped two straight games as the underdog. They are an even 12-12 when favored this year, and their overall record includes a mark of 3-7 over their last 10 games.

Despite their overall run differential being negative, the Mets have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 22-26. They have been especially profitable on the road, where they are 14-10 against the run line. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.0, while it is -2.9 in losing games.

The Mets have played to an over/under record of 25-23 this season, with an average combined run total of 8.9 runs per game. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 9 runs, they have gone 2-2. Only 10.4% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher, with the majority of their games (81.2%) having lower lines.

Jose Quintana Gets The Start For The Mets

New York is sending left-hander Jose Quintana to the mound today vs. the Guardians. He has made nine starts this year and has a record of 1-4 with an ERA of 5.21. So far, Quintana has turned in just one quality start, and his ERA on the road is 9.21 compared to 3.50 at home. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Opponents are batting .267 off Quintana this season.

Mets Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Mets have been a much better offensive team on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per game, which is the best mark in the league. However, at home, they are averaging just 3.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .237, which is 13th in the league, and are 14th in home runs.

Brandon Nimmo is the Mets’ top home run hitter this season, but he is hitting just .218 overall and has gone just 4/24 in his last six games. Pete Alonso is batting .235 for the season and has gone 9/35 in his last eight games. Alonso is also on a seven-game hitting streak. Francisco Lindor and Brandon Nimmo are also tied for 2nd on the team with seven homers.

Cleveland is hosting the Mets today with an overall record of 32-17, which has them leading the AL Central by 1.5 games over the Royals. The Guardians have won five straight games, and they are 10-5 against other teams in the AL Central. Their overall series record is 11-4, and they have won two straight series.

This season, the Guardians have been really good in day games, going 15-3, and they are 17-6 at home compared to 15-11 on the road. Cleveland has also been tough to beat as the favorite this season, going 21-9. Their overall record as the home favorite is 15-5. Looking back at their recent games, the Guardians are 8-2 over their last 10.

When the Cleveland Guardians win, they do so by an average of 3.6 runs per game, which has led to a 29-20 run line record on the year. The Guardians have been a better run line bet on the road, where they are 16-10 compared to 13-10 at home. They have been a run line underdog in 19 games and have gone 14-5 in those contests.

The Cleveland Guardians have an over/under record of 24-23 this season, with an average line of 8 runs per game. Their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game, and when the line has been set at 9 runs, they have gone 3-4. Just 4.1% of their games have had lines set at 9 runs or higher, with only 2 games having lines set over 9 runs.

Triston McKenzie Gets The Start For The Guardians

Triston McKenzie will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Twins and finished with a no-decision. In that May 17th outing, McKenzie went 6 2/3 innings, giving up just one earned run on four hits. Looking back over his last four outings, McKenzie has finished with a no-decision in three of them. The right-hander has made nine starts this year and has a record of 2-3, along with an ERA of 3.23 and WHIP of 1.31. Opposing batters are hitting .198 off McKenzie this season. He has made three quality starts and is averaging 7.61 strikeouts per nine innings.

Guardians Offense Breakdown

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Over his last four games, David Fry has been on fire, going 5/8 with two homers and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting .338 with a team-high OBP of .476. Fry’s five homers is tied for 2nd on the team. José Ramírez has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/24 with three homers in his last six games.

As a team, the Guardians are 5th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .236, which is 14th in the league. Cleveland’s offense is also one of the best at avoiding strikeouts.

Mets vs Guardians Prediction

We see the Guardians taking this one at home over the Mets with a final score of 6-5. Given that the Guardians are at -131 on the money line, this is the route we recommend going.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Triston McKenzie finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for sixth among all starters. As for Jose Quintana, we have him finishing with six K’s, which is 10th. However, Quintana is projected to go just five innings, compared to McKenzie, who we have going 5.2.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.