New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction 4/19/2024

The New York Mets (10-8) travel to face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers (12-9) on Friday, April 19th. This game will be played at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles and televised on MLBN. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Dodgers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pirates. First pitch is set for 10:10 ET.

Mets vs Dodgers

new york mets nba

Heading into their last game vs. the Pirates, the Mets closed out the series with a 9-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -159. It was a four-run 3rd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Pirates could only score one run, which came in the 3rd.

Luis Severino put together a good start for the Mets, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just three hits and struck out four. The Mets’s offense was carried by Starling Marte, who went 1/5 with a homer and two RBIs.

The Mets come into this one, having won four straight games. In the NL East, they are 2.5 games behind the Braves, as they are also 3rd in the division standings. So far, they have gone 10-8 this season.

Looking at their overall series record, the Mets are 4-2, and they have won each of their last four series. As the underdog, New York has gone 4-2 this season and 3-2 on the road.

The Mets have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 10-8 overall. They are 5-1 against the run line on the road and have covered in four straight games. They have an average run margin of +0.8 runs per game on the season, but that number jumps to +2.0 runs per game on the road.

Today’s over/under line for the Mets-Dodgers game is 8.5 runs, which is slightly below the combined run average of 8.9 runs for Mets games this season. The Mets’ over/under record for the season is 9-9, and when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over in two of five games. So far this season, the over/under line for Mets games has been set at 8 runs on average.

Sean Manaea Gets The Start For The Mets

Sean Manaea and the Mets are on the road to take on the Dodgers. Manaea is coming off a start in which he took the loss, giving up 4 earned runs in 3 2/3 innings. He did strike out 9 batters in that outing, but he allowed 3 hits and 1 home run.

Mets Offense Breakdown

When looking at the Mets’ offensive player projections, we see that Starling Marte has the highest total hits projection on the team and the 16th highest in the league today. His home run projection is also 16th in the league. Brandon Nimmo is 2nd on the team in total hits and 4th in terms of home run projections. DJ Stewart has the 2nd best home run projection on the team and 10th in the league. Pete Alonso has the highest home run projection on the team and 8th in the league today.

Led by a big game by Shohei Ohtani at the plate, the Angels are coming off a series vs. the Dodgers in which they picked up a 2-1 win. Ohtani went 3/4 with a run scored and also stole a base. The Angels only had six hits as a team but scored their two runs in the 3rd inning. After Ohtani’s single, Jared Walsh drove in a run with a double, and Jose Rojas added another run with a single.

Landon Knack got the start for the Dodgers and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up two earned runs on four hits. The Dodgers’s offense was also shut out, and their only bright spot was a good game by Andy Pages, who went 2/3 with a walk.

As the Dodgers are at home today vs. the Mets, they are in 1st place in the NL West, leading the Padres by 1 game. The Dodgers have an overall record of 12-9 and are coming off a series loss to the Nationals. So far, they are 8-6 at home and 4-3 on the road.

Looking at Los Angeles’ series record, they are currently 4-4 and have lost their last two series. As the favorite, the Dodgers have a 12-9 record this season, and they have yet to be the underdog.

The Dodgers have a run differential of +0.6 runs per game this season, and they have a run line record of 9-12. They have been a better bet on the run line at home, where they are 5-9 compared to 4-3 on the road. Their average run differential in wins is +2.9 runs per game, while it drops to -2.6 runs per game in losses.

The Dodgers have played 21 games this season, and the over/under record is 13-8. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the record is 10-5. The Dodgers have had two games with higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs, and the under has hit in both of those games. The under has hit in the last two games for the Dodgers.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto Gets The Start For The Dodgers

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has been solid in his first two starts of the season, picking up a win in his last outing against the Cubs. He struck out 8 batters in that game and has 14 strikeouts through his first two starts. He started his season with a no-decision against the Padres, going 5 innings and giving up 3 earned runs.

Dodgers Offense Breakdown

los angeles dodgers

Our player projections for the Dodgers have Freddie Freeman with the highest total hits projection on the team and the 15th highest in the league today. His home run projection is 4th on the team and 13th in the league. Mookie Betts has the 3rd highest total hits projection on the team and the 2nd best odds to hit a home run. His home run projection is 9th in the league. Shohei Ohtani is our top projected home run hitter for the Dodgers and his total hits projection is 2nd on the team and 20th in the league.


Mets vs Dodgers Prediction


Our recommendation for today’s Mets vs. Dodgers matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. We see this one finishing with a 5-4 win for the Dodgers, which would give us some wiggle room with the over/under line.

Looking at some potential starting pitcher props, we have Yoshinobu Yamamoto finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for 15th among starters. As for Sean Manaea, his projection is for six K’s, which has him coming in at 14th.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.