The Miami Marlins (11-31) travel to face off against the Detroit Tigers (20-20) on Monday, May 13th. This game will be played at Comerica Park in Detroit and televised on BSDET. The Marlins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Tigers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Astros. First pitch is set for 6:40 ET.
Marlins vs Tigers
The Marlins pulled off a big upset in their final game vs. the Phillies, closing out their series with a 7-6 win. Miami was the +174 underdog at home going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Marlins, as they got on the board with a run in the 2nd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Phillies scored three times in the top of the first.
Miami started Braxton Garrett, and he took the loss, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up five earned runs on five hits. The Marlins also issued three walks and hit a batter. Josh Bell had only one hit, but it was a home run, and the Marlins scored three runs in the 2nd to tie things up. The Marlins’s offense added another three runs in the 3rd to take the lead, and the Phillies scored three in the 6th to tie things up. Anthony Bender got the win out of the bullpen for the Marlins, and Miami’s starter, Braxton Garrett, took the loss.
Miami is just 11-31 overall, putting them 5th in the NL East, and they trail the Phillies by 17.5 games for the division lead. So far, they have really struggled against other NL East teams, going 2-11 in divisional games. The Marlins dropped the final two games of their series vs. the Phillies.
At home, the Marlins are only 6-17 compared to 5-14 on the road. This season, they have really struggled as the favorite, going just 3-11, and they are 8-20 as the underdog. Miami’s overall series record is 1-11-1, and they have dropped three straight series.
The Miami Marlins are 12-30 against the run line this season, including a 7-12 mark on the road. They have been favored in 14 games and have only covered the run line once. The Marlins have an average run differential of -2.1 runs per game this season.
With an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the Miami Marlins have seen their games go over that total in 11 of 18 games this season when the line has been set at 8.5 runs. Overall, the Marlins have played to a 25-17 over/under record this season. Miami’s games have averaged 9.5 runs per game this season, and they are currently on a three-game over streak.
Sixto Sánchez Gets The Start For The Marlins
Sixto Sánchez gets the start for the Marlins today as he faces the Tigers on the road. So far, he has made three starts and 10 appearances. Sánchez’s record for the season is 0-1, and he has an ERA of 7.50. Looking back at his last outing, Sánchez finished with a no-decision after giving up two earned runs in four innings of work. He has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Sánchez has allowed at least one home run in three of his last four outings.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Marlins are 26th in the league in scoring, averaging just 3.7 runs per game. Miami has been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.4 runs per contest. The Marlins’ team batting average is just .226, and they are near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS.
Bryan De La Cruz and Jazz Chisholm Jr. have been two of the Marlins’ top hitters this season, with De La Cruz leading the team with 21 RBIs and Chisholm Jr. not far behind at 21. De La Cruz has gone 5/19 in his last five games, with two homers, while Chisholm Jr. has also gone deep once in this stretch, batting .316.
Heading into their last game vs. the Astros, the Tigers closed out the series with a 9-3 loss. Detroit was actually the slight favorite at -115 on the money line. Things really got away from the Tigers in the 4th inning, as the Astros scored four runs in the inning. Detroit’s offense scored their only three runs in the 3rd.
Jack Flaherty put together a good start for the Tigers, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just three runs on seven hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and took the loss. Spencer Torkelson had only one hit, but it was a home run, and the Tigers scored their other two runs in the 3rd.
Detroit will host the Marlins today with an overall record of 20-20, and they are 4th in the AL Central, 4.5 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. So far, they have gone 10-6 in divisional games. The Tigers dropped two of three in their most recent series vs. the Astros.
As the home team, the Tigers are 9-11 this year compared to 11-9 on the road. Detroit has gone 10-8 when favored and 10-12 as the underdog this year. So far, they have a series record of 6-5-2, but they have lost three straight series.
The Detroit Tigers have a run line record of 19-21 this season, with a run line record of 6-14 at home and 13-7 on the road. They have an average run margin of 0.1 runs per game overall, with a scoring margin of -0.6 runs per game at home and +0.8 runs per game on the road. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 15-7, compared to 4-14 as the favorite. In their wins, they have an average run margin of 3.0 runs per game, while in their losses, they have an average run margin of -2.8 runs per game.
The Detroit Tigers have seen their last two games go over the total, and their over/under record for the season is 19-19. The Tigers have had four games with an over/under line of 8.5, and their over/under record in those games is 2-5. Overall, 72.5% of their games have had lower lines than 8.5 runs, with an average line of 8 runs per game.
Matt Manning Gets The Start For The Tigers
After starting the season with a no-decision and a loss, Matt Manning will be making his 3rd start of the season for the Tigers. He’ll be taking on the Marlins at home. In his first start, he went 5 2/3 innings and didn’t allow a run, but he did give up 4 hits and 4 walks. He then went 6 2/3 innings in his last start, giving up 4 runs on 7 hits.
Tigers Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Tigers are averaging just 4 runs per game, and their team batting average of .228 is also below the league average. However, they do have two players with batting averages above .360 in terms of on-base percentage. Riley Greene is batting .248 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 18 RBIs, and Mark Canha is leading the team with 20 RBIs and has gone deep six times.
Andy Ibáñez has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/18 in his last four games with two homers and four RBIs. He also comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak. Kerry Carpenter has also gone deep twice in his last three games while hitting .385.
Marlins vs Tigers Prediction
Our predicted final score for this game is 5-4 in favor of the Tigers, which would have them winning but not covering the -169 on the money line. Instead, we would recommend taking the over at 8.5 runs. The payout for the over is -103, and we have the Tigers and Marlins combining for nine runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Matt Manning finishing with five strikeouts compared to Sixto Sanchez with six. However, Sanchez has a better chance of picking up the win, as he ranks third in our projections compared to Manning at 13th.
Offensively, the Marlins are projected to pick up just eight hits compared to the Tigers with eight. However, the Tigers are projected to finish with a team strikeout total of eight, which is the eighth fewest in the league.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:May 13, 2024 Marlins, Tigers