The Miami Marlins (10-27) travel to face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers (24-13) on Tuesday, May 7th. This game will be played at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles and televised on MLBN. The Dodgers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Dodgers. First pitch is set for 10:10 ET.
Marlins vs Dodgers
Los Angeles picked up a 6-3 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Dodgers had a huge 3rd inning, scoring four of their six runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their three runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Dodgers were favored at -346 on the money line.
Walker Buehler only went four innings for the Dodgers but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. Ryan Yarbrough got the win out of the bullpen, and Alex Vesia got the save. Roddery Muñoz had a rough outing for the Marlins, taking the loss.
Shohei Ohtani hit the game’s only home run while going 2/3 with two RBIs and two runs scored. Teoscar Hernandez also had a good game at the plate, going 2/4 with an RBI.
Miami is 10-27 overall, and they are 15.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Marlins have really struggled against other NL East teams, going 1-9 so far. Miami is currently in 5th place in the division and trail the Mets by 7.5 games for the 4th spot in the division.
At home, the Marlins are just 5-15 this year and have gone 5-12 on the road. Miami has really struggled in night games, going 4-14 this year. So far, they have really struggled as the favorite, going just 3-11. As for their record as the underdog, the Marlins are 7-16 this year.
The Miami Marlins have been a poor run line bet this season, going 11-26 overall. They have been slightly better on the road, going 7-10 against the run line, but have been a disaster at home, going 4-16. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 10-13 against the run line in those games. Their average run differential is -1.9 runs per game, and they have been outscored by an average of -2.2 runs per game at home and -1.6 runs per game on the road.
The Miami Marlins have been on a recent over streak, with their last three games all going over the total. Their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 21-16 overall. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, they are 2-3 on the season. So far this season, 67.6% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, while 18.9% have had lines set lower than 8 runs.
Edward Cabrera Gets The Start For The Marlins
Edward Cabrera is on the mound for the Marlins in their game against the Dodgers. He has started 3 games this season, with his most recent outing being a loss to the Rockies. In that game, he went 4 innings and gave up 4 earned runs. Cabrera’s first start of the year was a win vs. the Cubs, where he struck out 7 over 5 innings.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Marlins offense has been below average, averaging 3.8 runs per game (22nd). They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4 runs per contest. Miami’s team batting average is just 15th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage and slugging. One of the main reasons for their struggles is that they have the worst isolated power mark in the league.
Bryan De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/33 in his last nine games, with one home run and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .264 and leads the team with six homers. Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Bryan De La Cruz are also tied for the team lead with 19 RBIs. Nick Gordon has five homers but is batting just .212 for the season.
Los Angeles is currently on a five-game winning streak, and they are 24-13 overall this season. The Dodgers hold a 5.5-game lead over the Padres for the NL West lead, and they are 7-4 in divisional matchups. Los Angeles is coming off a series win over the Angels and have taken four straight series.
At home, the Dodgers are 12-8 this year and 11-5 on the road. So far, they have been really good in night games, going 16-6 this season. As the favorite, the Dodgers are 23-12, and they are 1-1 as the underdog this year. Los Angeles’ overall record in their last ten games is 8-2.
The Dodgers have been a good bet on the run line this season, going 19-18 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 10-6. Their average run margin in winning games is 4.1, while their average run margin in losing games is -2.5.
Los Angeles Dodgers games have gone over the over/under line in 21 of 37 games this season, including two of three when the line was set at 8 runs. The Dodgers’ games have averaged 9.2 runs per game this season, and the over/under line for their games has averaged 9 runs per game. The Dodgers’ games have had an over/under line of 8 runs or higher in 31 of their 37 games this season.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto Gets The Start For The Dodgers
Yoshinobu Yamamoto has been pitching well for the Dodgers, as he has a record of 3-1 and an ERA of 2.91. In his seven starts, he has made three quality starts and is averaging 11.12 strikeouts per nine innings. Yamamoto’s most recent outing came on May 1st, where he picked up the win and didn’t give up a run in six innings of work. He has won each of his last two starts, not giving up a run in either outing. The right-hander has been much better on the road, with an ERA of 0.0 compared to 13.72 at home.
Dodgers Offense Breakdown
Shohei Ohtani has been on a tear for the Dodgers of late, going 13/24 over his last six games, including four home runs and nine RBIs. Ohtani’s 11 homers for the season are the best in the MLB right now. Mookie Betts and Ohtani are the top two hitters in the league right now, with batting averages of .370 and .356, respectively.
As a team, the Dodgers are the top-scoring offense in the league, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They are also the top home run hitting team in the league and have the best team batting average in the league. Not only do they have the best team on-base percentage, but they also are the top team in terms of slugging percentage and OPS.
Marlins vs Dodgers Prediction
Our prediction for the Dodgers vs. Marlins game is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8 runs. We have the Dodgers winning this one 5-4, meaning there is a bit of wiggle room on the over/under line, and we would even consider taking the over at 8.5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Edward Cabrera finishing with six strikeouts compared to Yoshinobu Yamamoto at six as well. However, we have Yamamoto going just five innings, which is why we would avoid the Dodgers on the run line.
As for the money line, the payout for a Dodgers win is not great at -335, and with our projections having this as a one-run game, we would stay away from the money line.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:May 7, 2024 Dodgers, Marlins