The Miami Marlins (22-43) travel to face off against the New York Mets (28-36) on Tuesday, June 11th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on BSFL. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Guardians. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.
Marlins vs Mets
The Marlins will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Guardians with a 6-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Guardians scored three runs in the top of the 7th. Miami was the +103 underdog at home going into the game.
Trevor Rogers put together a good start for the Marlins, going five innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out five. However, the Marlins couldnjson’t close things out, and A.J. Puk took the loss out of the bullpen. The Marlins also wasted a big game from Jazz Chisholm Jr., who homered in the 1st inning, going 1/4.
Miami is on the road today to take on the Mets, and they are looking to snap a two-game losing streak. Currently, the Marlins are 5th in the NL East at 22-43, putting them 23 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they are just 4-12 in divisional games.
The Marlins have struggled at home, going 12-25, and they are just below .500 at 10-18 on the road. As the underdog, Miami is 19-31 this season, which includes going 10-18 as the road underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Marlins are 5-15-1 and have lost four straight series.
When the Miami Marlins win, they do so by an average of 3.2 runs per game. When they lose, it’s by an average of 3.9 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 26-39, but they are 15-13 on the run line on the road. They have lost two straight run line bets as the favorite, and their overall run line record as the favorite is just 1-14.
The Miami Marlins are on the road tonight against the New York Mets. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Marlins have had an average combined run average of 8.7 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 35-29, and when the line has been set at 7.5 runs, they have gone over 10 times and under 4 times.
Jesús Luzardo Gets The Start For The Marlins
Jesús Luzardo will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Rays, as he gets the start for the Marlins today. In that June 4th start, he took the loss, giving up nine hits, nine earned runs, and two homers in just 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had put together back-to-back scoreless starts. Luzardo’s record for the season is 2-5, and his ERA is 5.30. For the year, he has made 10 starts, four of which were quality starts. Luzardo’s ERA at home is 5.65, compared to 7.0 on the road.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
Josh Bell has been swinging a hot bat for the Marlins, hitting .400 over his last 10 games, going 16/40. He has also driven in four runs during this stretch. Overall, Bell is batting .252 and leads the team with 31 RBIs. Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Bryan De La Cruz are tied for the team lead in home runs, with 11 apiece. Chisholm Jr. is also on a three-game hitting streak.
As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is the worst in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS. Miami’s team batting average is .234, and they are also one of the league’s worst teams in terms of drawing walks.
New York is coming off a game in which they picked up a 6-5 win over the Phillies. This was especially big, as it closed out their series vs. Philadelphia. The Mets were the +123 underdog on the road going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Mets, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Phillies scored in the bottom of the first.
The Mets started Jose Quintana, and he only lasted 3 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs on six hits. New York’s offense picked him up, though, scoring six runs on seven hits. Jeff McNeil went 2/4 with a run scored and J.D. Martinez hit a big three-run homer in the 6th.
The Mets are 4th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 16.5 games. So far, they are 9-9 in the division and have an overall record of 28-36. New York will host the Marlins today with an overall record of 28-36.
At home, the Mets are just 13-22 this season, but they have been better on the road at 15-14. New York is coming off a series win over the Phillies and have gone 6-4 across their last 10 games. As the favorite, the Mets are 15-16 this year and 13-20 as the underdog.
Despite being 11 games under .500 against the run line at home, the Mets have been a profitable bet on the run line on the road this season, going 18-11. Overall, New York is 29-35 against the run line this season, with an average run margin of -0.5 runs per game.
The New York Mets are playing host to the Miami Marlins today. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Mets have an over/under record of 33-29 this season, and their games have averaged a combined 9.3 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 8-9. So far this season, 57.8% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, while 15.6% have had lower lines. The under has hit in their last two games.
Tylor Megill Gets The Start For The Mets
Getting the start at home against the Marlins is Tylor Megill. He’s coming off a win in his last start, where he went 5 innings and gave up 4 earned runs. In his first start of the season, he had a no-decision but struck out 9 batters in 7 innings.
Mets Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Mets are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 10th in the league, and are 11th in home runs. Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo are tied for the team lead in RBIs, with 32 apiece. Alonso has gone deep 14 times this season, and Nimmo has seven homers.
Over his last six games, Brandon Nimmo has gone 8/27 (.296) with three runs scored and three RBIs. Luis Torrens has also been swinging a hot bat, going 5/16 with two homers over this stretch. Nimmo is also on a six-game hitting streak, while Torrens and Starling Marte have hit safely in their last three games.
Marlins vs Mets Prediction
Our prediction for this Marlins vs. Mets matchup is for the Mets to pick up a 5-4 win. Given that they are favored to win and have a money line of -140, that is the bet we recommend making.
If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look at the over/under line, which is sitting at 7.5 runs. Our models have this game going over, with the Mets coming out on top in a 5-4 game.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 11, 2024 Marlins, Mets