The Miami Marlins (9-25) travel to face off against the Oakland Athletics (16-17) on Saturday, May 4th. This game will be played at Oakland Coliseum in Oakland and televised on NSPCA. The Athletics are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Athletics. First pitch is set for 4:07 ET.
Marlins vs Athletics
The most recent game o of this Marlins and Athletics series came right down to the end, as the Marlins rallied late but still fell short with the A’s winning 3-1 at home. Heading into the game, the A’s were favored at -154 on the money line.
Oakland got to Marlins starter Ryan Weathers, scoring two of their three runs in the first and adding an insurance run in the 4th. As for the Marlins, they didn’t get on the board until scoring one run in the 5th. Weathers finished the game going just six innings and giving up three earned runs.
JP Sears put together a good outing for the A’s, getting the win after going 6 1/3 innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but did issue one walk. Lucas Erceg got the save.
Miami is just 9-25 overall this season and are 13.5 games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. So far, they have really struggled against other NL East teams, going 1-9. The Marlins are on a four-game losing streak heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Athletics.
At home, the Marlins have gone just 5-15 compared to 4-10 on the road. This season, they have been favored 14 times, going just 3-11 in those games. As for their record as the underdog, they are 6-14 this year. So far, they have an overall series record of 1-8-1.
When the Marlins win, they do so by an average of 2.9 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.5 runs per game. Their run line record is 10-24, and they are 6-8 on the run line on the road. They have been favored just 14 times and have covered the run line just once in those games.
The Miami Marlins have played 29 games this season, and all of them have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs. Their games have had an average combined run total of 8.9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 18-16. Today’s over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, and in games with that line, the Marlins have a 3-2 record. Their most recent game against the Athletics had a combined total of 4 runs, which was well below the 7.5-run line.
Trevor Rogers Gets The Start For The Marlins
Miami is sending left-hander Trevor Rogers to the mound today vs. the Athletics. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 0-4 with a 4.31 ERA. In his last outing, Rogers took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work vs. the Nationals. Looking back over his last three starts, he has given up at least one homer in each outing. So far, he has allowed a total of two homers on the road and has a 4.18 ERA away from home.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Marlins offense has been one of the worst in the league, averaging just 3.6 runs per game (26th). They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .223, which is 19th in the league, and have the worst isolated power mark in the league. One of the few bright spots for the Marlins has been their ability to avoid strikeouts, as they have the 7th fewest strikeouts in the league.
Luis Arraez has been swinging a hot bat for the Marlins, going 14/39 in his last nine games. However, he has yet to hit a home run this season. Bryan De La Cruz and Jazz Chisholm Jr. are the team’s top home run hitters, but De La Cruz is batting just .255, and Chisholm Jr. is hitting only .230. Chisholm Jr. has gone deep just twice in his last 10 games, while going 6/36 in that stretch.
Oakland is hosting the Marlins today with an overall record of 16-17, and they have won five straight games. In the AL West, the Athletics are 1.5 games behind the Mariners for the division lead. So far, they are 2-1 in divisional games.
The Athletics have won five straight games at home, and they are 8-9 at home this season. On the road, they are 8-8 this year. Oakland has been good as the favorite this year, going 3-0, and they are 13-17 as the underdog. Oakland’s overall series record is 5-4-1, and they have won two straight series.
The Athletics are 19-14 on the run line this season, including a 9-8 mark at home. They have covered the run line in six straight home games and are 18-12 as underdogs. The A’s have an average run margin of -0.9 runs per game this season, and they are 10-6 on the run line on the road.
Despite the over/under line being set at 7.5 runs, the Athletics and Marlins combined for just four runs in their last game. This was the fourth straight under for the Athletics, who have now gone under in 8 of their last 10 games. The A’s over/under record for the season is now 13-19.
Paul Blackburn Gets The Start For The Athletics
Paul Blackburn is coming off a rough outing in which he gave up six earned runs in just four innings of work. In that start vs. the Orioles, he gave up one homer. Looking back over his last three starts, Blackburn has given up a homer in each outing. Overall, he has made six starts, and opponents are batting .215 this season. Blackburn has a record of 2-1 and an ERA of 3.34. One positive note is that he has turned in three quality starts this year. So far, he has a 1.59 ERA at home compared to 6.5 on the road.
Athletics Offense Breakdown
The Athletics offense has been one of the league’s worst units this season, averaging just 3.1 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .206, which is the worst mark in the league. However, they do have the 5th most home runs in the league and have the 9th best ISO in the league.
Abraham Toro has been a bright spot for the Athletics offense of late, going 9/15 in his last six games with a home run and four runs scored. He also comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak. Tyler Nevin has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/22 in his last six games with three homers and five RBIs.
Marlins vs Athletics Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Marlins vs. Athletics matchup is to take the Athletics on the money line at -124. We have the final score at 5-4 in favor of the Athletics, giving us a good amount of value on the money line.
Looking at some potential player props, Trevor Rogers is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among starters today. As for Paul Blackburn, he is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which ranks as the fifth worst among starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:May 4, 2024 Athletics, Marlins