The Milwaukee Brewers (19-11) travel to face off against the Chicago Cubs (19-13) on Friday, May 3rd. This game will be played at Wrigley Field in Chicago and televised on MARQ. The Brewers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Cubs are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 2:20 ET.
Brewers vs Cubs
Heading into their last game vs. the Rays, the Brewers closed out the series with a 7-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -108 on the money line. It was a big 3rd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Rays could only score one run, which came in the 8th.
Colin Rea put together a good start for the Brewers, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out five Rays batters. Milwaukee’s offense was carried by Willy Adames, who went 2/4 with two homers and four RBIs.
Milwaukee is on the road today vs. the Cubs, with the Brewers leading the NL Central by one game over the Cubs. The Brewers are 19-11 overall, and they have gone 7-3 against other teams in the NL Central. Milwaukee has won two straight games, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
So far, the Brewers have been really good in day games, going 12-3 this season. They have also been tough to beat as the road favorite, putting together a mark of 4-2. As for their overall road record, the Brewers are 12-4 compared to 7-7 at home.
The Milwaukee Brewers have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 10-6. Their average run margin in those games is +2.3 runs per game. They have been a good run line bet as the underdog, going 10-6, but have struggled as the favorite, going 4-10.
So far this season, the Milwaukee Brewers have played in 22 games where the over/under line was set higher than 7.5 runs, and in those games, the over/under record is 18-12. The Brewers’ combined run average in their games this season is 9.6 runs per game, and the average over/under line for their games is set at 8 runs. In games where the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, the over/under record is 3-3.
Joe Ross Gets The Start For The Brewers
Joe Ross is getting the start for the Brewers today on the road against the Cubs. Ross is 1-2 on the season, and he is coming off a start where he took the loss against the Yankees. In that outing, he went 5 innings and gave up 6 earned runs.
Brewers Offense Breakdown
William Contreras has been red hot for the Brewers of late, going 12/37 in his last 10 games with an RBI in five of those games. He also has a four-game hitting streak heading into today’s game. Contreras is batting .345 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 25 RBIs. Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins are tied for the team lead with six home runs, with Adames batting .278 and Hoskins at just .238.
As a team, the Brewers are 4th in scoring at 5.2 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.8 runs per contest. They also have the league’s 4th best team batting average and have been very good at avoiding strikeouts this season.
Chicago is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 7-6 loss to the Mets, Ben Brown was solid on the mound, allowing just two runs while pitching into the 4th inning. The Cubs also got a big offensive performance from Christopher Morel, going 1/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
Daniel Palencia took the loss out of the bullpen for the Cubs, as Chicago allowed a run in the bottom of the 11th to blow their lead. Heading into this game, the Cubs were the slight underdog at -105.
With an overall record of 19-13, the Cubs are 2nd in the NL Central, one game behind the Brewers. Today, the Cubs host the Brewers and are 10-3 at home this season. They have also been good as the home underdog, going 5-1 this year. Chicago has won three straight games at home and are 6-4 overall in their last 10.
Chicago’s overall series record is 5-3-2, and they lost their most recent series vs. the Mets. As the underdog, the Cubs are 11-10 this year, and they are 8-3 as the favorite. Their losing streak as the underdog is two games this year.
Chicago has been a solid play on the run line this season, going 22-10 overall, including a 9-4 mark at home. The Cubs have been especially profitable as the underdog, going 16-5 against the run line in those games. Their average run margin in wins is +3.4, while it’s -3.8 in losses.
Chicago’s over/under record for the season is 14-17, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. However, the over/under line for today’s game is set at 7.5 runs. In games with over/under lines of 7.5 runs, the Cubs have a record of 4-3. Overall, 65.6% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Hayden Wesneski Gets The Start For The Cubs
Hayden Wesneski will be making his first start of the season for the Cubs, as he has been used out of the bullpen in his first two appearances. He picked up a win in his first outing, going 2 1/3 innings without allowing a run, and then went 4 innings in his second appearance, giving up 2 runs on 5 hits.
Cubs Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Cubs are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 7th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.8 runs per game. Overall, they are 14th in batting average and have the league’s 12th best on-base percentage. The Cubs have been good at avoiding strikeouts this season, as their team strikeout numbers are 19th in the league.
Michael Busch, Christopher Morel, and Cody Bellinger are all tied for the team lead in home runs, with six, and are also the league’s 12th ranked players in terms of RBIs. Morel has two homers in his last seven games but is batting just .222 in that stretch. Mike Tauchman has gone 7/26 in his last seven games, including one homer, and has scored five runs in that stretch. Cody Bellinger is currently on an eight-game hitting streak.
Brewers vs Cubs Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Cubs vs. Brewers matchup is to take the Cubs on the money line at -127. We actually have the Cubs winning this one 6-5, meaning you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 7.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Joe Ross finishing with six strikeouts, and on the other side, Hayden Wesneski is also projected to finish with six K’s.
If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look to pair the Cubs with a team with a high predicted home run total, as we have the Cubs finishing with the third most home runs on the day.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:May 3, 2024 Brewers, Cubs