The Milwaukee Brewers (28-20) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (16-34) on Wednesday, May 22nd. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on BSFL. The Brewers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Brewers. First pitch is set for 6:40 ET.
Brewers vs Marlins
It was a high-scoring game in the most recent game of this Brewers vs Marlins series. Milwaukee went into the matchup as -135 favorites and squeaked out a 7-5 win. The Brewers had a big 8th inning, scoring three of their seven runs and picking up a 7-5 win.
Miami wasted a good outing from Trevor Rogers, as he gave up just four hits and four earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of work. A.J. Puk took the loss for the Marlins out of the bullpen.
Robert Gasser got the start for the Brewers, going six innings and giving up four earned runs. He did not factor into the decision, as Tobias Myers got the win out of the bullpen.
Milwaukee heads into today’s matchup vs. the Marlins with a record of 28-20, good for 1st place in the NL Central. Currently, they lead the Cubs by 1.5 games for the division lead. The Brewers are 13-7 against other teams in the NL Central.
At home, the Brewers have gone 12-9 this season, and they have been a bit better on the road, coming in with a record of 16-11. So far, they have been both good as the favorite and the underdog, as they are 14-10 in each role. Their overall series record is 8-5-2.
When betting on the Brewers’ run line this season, it’s been a good idea to take them on the road. Milwaukee is 16-11 vs. the run line away from home, compared to just 8-13 at home. The Brewers’ average run margin on the road is +1.0, which is slightly better than their overall average run margin of +0.8. They’ve been a better bet as the underdog, going 16-8 vs. the run line, compared to 8-16 as the favorite.
The Milwaukee Brewers are on the road against the Miami Marlins today. The O/U line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Brewers games this season is 9.4 runs per game, and their O/U record is 29-19. When the O/U line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 6-4. Overall, 72.9% of their games have had higher O/U lines than 7.5 runs.
Freddy Peralta Gets The Start For The Brewers
Freddy Peralta gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Marlins on the road. So far this season, he has made nine starts and has a record of 3-2 to go along with an ERA of 4.17. Peralta’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.13. In his last outing, Peralta took the loss, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work. Looking back over his last three starts, he has given up three earned runs in each outing. Peralta has a total of six home runs allowed this season.
Brewers Offense Breakdown
Milwaukee’s offense has been one of the best in the league this season, as they are 3rd in the league in scoring at 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Not only are the Brewers near the top of the league in runs scored, but they are also 4th in team batting average and have the 5th most home runs in the MLB.
William Contreras has been the Brewers’ top hitter this season, batting .335 with a team-high 40 RBIs and 7 homers. However, he has struggled of late, going just 3/21 in his last five games. Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins have also been solid run producers, with 30 and 27 RBIs, respectively. Adames and Hoskins have 7 and 9 homers, but are batting just .237 and .233 for the season.
Miami is 16-34 overall, putting them 5th in the NL East, and they trail the Phillies by 19.5 games for the division lead. So far, they have really struggled against other NL East teams, going 4-12 this year. The Marlins have gone 6-8 as the home underdog and are just 3-11 when favored.
At home, the Marlins are 9-19 compared to 7-15 on the road. Miami has an overall series record of 3-11-1, but they have won two straight series. Coming into today’s game, the Marlins are 6-4 over their last 10 games.
The Marlins have been a poor bet on the run line this season, going 18-32 overall. They have been especially bad at home, going 8-20. They have been a better bet on the road, going 10-12. They have been a poor bet as the favorite, going just 1-13 on the run line.
The Miami Marlins are at home today against the Milwaukee Brewers. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Marlins have played to the over in 30 of their 50 games this season, and their games have averaged 9.3 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their games have gone over the total 80% of the time (8-2 record).
Jesús Luzardo Gets The Start For The Marlins
Jesús Luzardo will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. In that May 17th start vs. the Mets, he went six innings and didn’t give up a homer, something he had done in three straight outings. Luzardo has made seven starts this year and has a record of 1-3 with a 5.02 ERA. Opponents are batting .228 off the left-hander this season. Per nine innings, Luzardo is averaging 10.04 strikeouts and 3.35 walks. So far, he has turned in two quality starts.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
Josh Bell comes into the game as the Marlins’ leader in RBIs this season, with 26, and is also tied for the team lead with six homers. Bell has gone 8/26 in his last six games, with one home run and seven RBIs. Bryan De La Cruz has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/22 in his last six games, including one home run.
As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .233 and are near the bottom of the league in both on-base percentage and slugging.
Brewers vs Marlins Prediction
Our predicted final score for this Brewers vs. Marlins matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Brewers. With the Brewers being on the road, you can get them on the money line at -135, and this is our recommended bet.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Freddy Peralta is projected to finish with eight strikeouts, which is the highest among all starters today. As for Jesús Luzardo, he is projected to finish with seven K’s, which is the second-best among starters.
Offensively, the Brewers are projected to finish with nine hits, while the Marlins are projected to finish with eight. However, the Marlins are projected to finish with just four runs, which is the second-worst among all teams today.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:May 22, 2024 Brewers, Marlins