Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Prediction 4/14/2024

The Minnesota Twins (6-7) travel to face off against the Detroit Tigers (8-6) on Sunday, April 14th. This game will be played at Comerica Park in Detroit and televised on BSNX. The Twins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Tigers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Tigers. First pitch is set for 1:40 ET.

Twins vs Tigers

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It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Twins vs Tigers series. Minnesota went into the matchup as slight favorites at -116 and squeaked out a 4-1 win. The Twins offense only had two more hits than the Tigers and struck out 11 times, but still picked up a win.

Both teams scored one run in the first inning, and the Tigers could only muster three more hits and didn’t score another run until the 7th inning. As for the Twins, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 3rd and tacked on two insurance runs in the 6th.

Simeon Woods Richardson pitched well for the Twins in this one, going six innings and giving up just one run on two hits. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued a costly walk. On the other side, Matt Manning struggled on the mound for the Tigers, giving up four runs in 6 2/3 innings of work.

After taking the final game of their series with the Tigers, the Twins are now 6-7 and have won two straight games. In the AL Central, they are 3 games behind the Royals and are in 4th place. So far, they have gone just 1-4 at home.

On the road, the Twins have been better at 5-3. As the underdog, their record is 1-4 compared to 5-3 as the favorite. Minnesota is still looking for their first win in a night game this season.

Minnesota has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 7-6 overall. The Twins are 6-2 against the run line on the road, and they have covered the run line in two straight games. Minnesota has been a favorite in eight games this season, going 5-3 against the run line in those contests.

Minnesota’s over/under record is 5-8 this season, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. Their games have averaged 7.5 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game against the Tigers is 8.5 runs. So far this season, the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs in 5 of their 13 games, and their record in those games is 1-4.

Bailey Ober Gets The Start For The Twins

Minnesota’s Bailey Ober is on the road to take on the Tigers today. He is looking to bounce back from a rough start to the season, where he took the loss vs. the Royals. In that outing, he only went 1 1/3 innings and gave up 8 runs on 9 hits. However, in his last start, he had a solid outing vs. the Dodgers, going 5 innings and striking out 7.

Twins Offense Breakdown

When looking at the Twins’ player projections, we have Byron Buxton as the top home run threat for Minnesota, as his home run projection is 9th best in today’s slate of games. Carlos Santana has the 10th best home run projection in today’s games. Jose Miranda is projected to have the most hits for the Twins today, and his total hits projection is 23rd best in today’s games. Alex Kirilloff’s total hits projection is 25th best in today’s games.

Detroit’s overall record currently sits at 8-6, and they are in 3rd place in the AL Central. Right now, they are 1.5 games behind the Royals for the division lead. The Tigers head into today’s game on a two-game losing streak, losing the final two games of their series with the Twins.

Looking at their series record, the Tigers are 2-1-1 so far. They have been good on the road, putting together a record of 6-2. At home, they are just 2-4 so far.

When the Tigers are favored, they have been a poor bet against the run line, going 1-6. They are 4-3 against the run line as the underdog. Their average run differential in their losses is -3.8, while it is +2.5 in their wins.

Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs for the Detroit Tigers’ game against the Minnesota Twins is the highest line set for a Tigers game this season. The Tigers have played 14 games this season, and this is just the third time the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs. The Tigers have a 6-7 over/under record this season, and the combined run average in their games is 7.6 runs per game.

Jack Flaherty Gets The Start For The Tigers

Jack Flaherty is taking the mound for the Tigers today in their home opener against the Twins. Flaherty is coming off a loss in his first start of the season, where he went 6 innings, giving up 5 earned runs and 1 home run. He did have 7 strikeouts in his first start, and he took a no-decision in his first start of the season.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

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For the Tigers, we have Gio Urshela with the highest total hits projection on the team and 12th in the league today. His home run projection is 20th in the league. Riley Greene’s total hits projection is 2nd on the team and 14th in the league, with his home run projection 11th in the league. Kerry Carpenter has the 2nd best home run projection on the team and 9th in the league. Spencer Torkelson has the top home run projection on the team and 7th in the league.

 

Twins vs Tigers Prediction

 

Our prediction for today’s Twins vs. Tigers matchup is to take the Tigers on the money line at -110. We see this game ending with a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Tigers. If you were looking for a parlay option, you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and we have this game combining for nine runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Jack Flaherty has a much higher strikeout projection than Bailey Ober, and we have Flaherty finishing with eight K’s compared to Ober at five. Flaherty also has a better chance of picking up the win, ranking eighth among starters compared to Ober at third.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.