New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Prediction

MLB New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 5/12/2024

The New York Yankees (26-15) travel to face off against the Tampa Bay Rays (20-20) on Sunday, May 12th. This game will be played at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg and televised on BSSUN. The Rays are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Yankees are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Rays. First pitch is set for 1:40 ET.

Yankees vs Rays

new york yankees nba

Tampa Bay cruised to a 7-2 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Rays had a huge 3rd inning, scoring all seven of their runs. As for the Yankees, they scored their only two runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Rays were favored at -110.

Zack Littell started for the Rays and picked up the win, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with three strikeouts and two walks. Nestor Cortes got the start for the Yankees and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.

Yandy Diaz and Randy Arozarena each homered for the Rays, while Anthony Volpe went 3/4 with two RBIs. Diaz, Arozarena, and Isaac Paredes each had two RBIs for Tampa Bay’s offense.

The Yankees are 26-15 overall this season, putting them 2nd in the AL East, 1.5 games behind the Orioles for the division lead. New York will be on the road today, taking on the Rays. So far, they are 7-8 in divisional matchups.

At home, the Yankees have gone 13-6 this season, and they are 13-9 on the road. New York has really been good as the favorite this year, going 19-11, and they are 7-4 as the underdog. The Yankees’ overall series record is 9-2-1, and they have won two straight series.

When the Yankees win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.4 runs. When they lose, it’s by an average of -2.6 runs. Their run line record is just below .500, and they are 12-10 against the run line on the road. As the favorite, they are just 12-18 against the run line, but as the underdog, they are 8-3.

With a combined run average of 8.1 runs per game, the New York Yankees have seen their games go over the total 17 times and under 22 times this season. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, they have gone over the total in 3 of 7 games. Overall, 70.7% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs.

Luis Gil Gets The Start For The Yankees

Right-hander Luis Gil gets the start for the Yankees today as he faces the Rays on the road. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 3-1 with a 2.92 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting just .137 off Gil this year, and he has a WHIP of 1.14. Gil has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 10.95 strikeouts per nine innings. In his most recent outing, he gave up one earned run in six innings of work, coming away with the win. Gil has won each of his last three starts.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Yankees have been one of the league’s best home run-hitting teams, as they are 3rd in the league in homers. As a team, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. New York has been very good at drawing walks this season and comes into the game with the 3rd best on-base percentage in the league.

Juan Soto has been the team’s best hitter so far this season, batting .316 with a team-high nine home runs. Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton also have nine homers, but Judge is batting just .228 this season, while Stanton is at .229. Judge has been hot of late, going 10/33 in his last 10 games with three homers.

The Rays are currently at .500 with a record of 20-20 as they get set to host the Yankees today. In the AL East, they are seven games behind the Orioles and are in 4th place in the division. So far, they have gone 4-5 in divisional matchups.

As the favorite, the Rays have gone 14-15 this year, and they are 6-5 as the underdog. At home, they are 4-2 as the underdog. Tampa Bay has an overall series record of 5-5-2 this year and have won two straight series.

When the Rays win, they win big, with an average run margin of 2.6 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -4.0 runs per game. Overall, they have a run line record of 16-24, including a 10-15 mark at home and a 6-9 mark on the road. As the favorite, they are just 9-20 against the run line, while as the underdog, they are 7-4.

Today’s over/under line for the Tampa Bay Rays’ game against the New York Yankees is set at 8 runs. The Rays’ games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record for the year is 22-18. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their games have gone over the total 8 out of 11 times. Overall, half of the Rays’ games this season have had over/under lines set at 8 runs or higher.

Tyler Alexander Gets The Start For The Rays

Tyler Alexander is getting the start for the Rays today and has made four starts and seven appearances this season. He has a record of 1-1 and an ERA of 4.96. In his 32 2/3 innings of work, Alexander has a WHIP of 1.38 and is averaging 8.27 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he pitched, Alexander went 4 innings, giving up 2 earned runs, 4 hits, and 1 homer. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Looking back, he has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings.

Rays Offense Breakdown

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Isaac Paredes has been a huge bright spot for the Rays this season, as he is batting .301 and leads the team with eight home runs and 21 RBIs. Paredes has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/26 in his last eight games. Yandy Diaz has also been hot, going 13/38 in his last nine games. Over that stretch, he has one home run and seven RBIs.

As a team, the Rays are batting .244, which is 9th in the league, and they are averaging 4 runs per game. However, they have been a bit worse on the road, averaging just 3.7 runs per contest. As a team, they are 16th in home runs and have the league’s 19th ranked OPS.

Yankees vs Rays Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Yankees vs. Rays game is to take the Rays on the money line at +118. We have the Rays winning this one by a score of 6-5, giving us a good payout at +118.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Luis Gil finishing with a higher strikeout total than Tyler Alexander. However, we have Alexander finishing with a better ERA and giving up fewer runs than Gil.

Offensively, we have the Rays finishing with the best team hit total in the league today at 11, compared to the Yankees, who we have with eight hits.

For a Yankees vs. Rays same game parlay, you could take the Rays on the money line and look to pair that with the Rays to hit more home runs than the Yankees.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.