San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 5/3/2024

The San Diego Padres (16-18) travel to face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (14-18) on Friday, May 3rd. This game will be played at Chase Field in Phoenix and televised on None. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Diamondbacks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Dodgers. First pitch is set for 9:40 ET.

Padres vs Diamondbacks

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The Padres’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Reds, closing out their series with a 6-2 win. After allowing one run to the Reds in the top of the first, the Padres responded with two runs of their own. San Diego went on to add another two runs in the 4th inning.

Starting for the Padres was Joe Musgrove, who picked up the win while tossing six innings of two-run ball. He also finished with nine K’s and issued just one walk. Jake Cronenworth went only one inning, but he drove in four runs with a homer.

San Diego is on the road today to take on the Diamondbacks, and they are 16-18 overall this season. The Padres have won two straight games, and they are 4.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. So far, they are 8-8 in divisional games.

At home, the Padres are just 8-12 this year, but they have gone 8-6 on the road. As the favorite, the Padres are 11-10 this year and 5-8 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 5-5-2, and they won their most recent series vs. the Reds.

San Diego has been a good bet on the run line overall this season, as they are 17-17. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 11-3. Their average run margin on the road is +1.0, compared to -0.7 at home. They have covered the run line in their last two games as the favorite.

The Padres have gone over the total in two straight games, and their games have averaged 9.6 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 18-15, and their games have had an average total of 8 runs this season. In games with a total of 8.5 runs, the over is 6-4 this season. Their games have had an average total of 8 runs this season, and 58.8% of their games have had a total of fewer than 8.5 runs this season.

Dylan Cease Gets The Start For The Padres

Dylan Cease will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Phillies, as he gets the start for the Padres today. In that April 27th start, Cease took the loss, giving up five earned runs in six innings of work. Before that outing, Cease had picked up the win in three straight starts. His record for the season is 3-2, and Cease’s ERA is 2.78. Opponents have a batting average of .142 vs. Cease this season. Currently, Cease’s WHIP is .87. For the year, Cease has made six starts, four of which were quality starts. Per nine innings, Cease is averaging 10.09 strikeouts and 3.53 walks.

Padres Offense Breakdown

Jurickson Profar has been hot at the plate for the Padres of late, going 16/37 in his last 10 games with two homers and eight RBIs. Profar is also batting .342 for the season, which is the best mark on the team right now. Jake Cronenworth has also been swinging a hot bat, going 10/35 in his last nine games with two homers and 10 RBIs.

As a team, the Padres are 9th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are 6th in team batting average and 7th in home runs.

The Diamondbacks will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Dodgers with an 8-0 loss. This was especially tough, as they were the slight favorite at +121 on the money line. Things really got away from the Diamondbacks in the 2nd inning, as the Dodgers scored five runs in the inning. Arizona’s offense scored their only run in the 3rd.

Jordan Montgomery got the start for the Diamondbacks and took the loss. He only lasted three innings, giving up six earned runs. Offensively, the Diamondbacks had seven hits but only scored one run. Joc Pederson was hot at thejson, going 3/4 with a run scored.

Arizona is 14-18 overall this season, and they are 5.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Diamondbacks are 8-6 against other NL West teams this season. At home, they are 8-8 this season and 6-10 on the road.

So far, the Diamondbacks have really struggled as the underdog, going 6-11, compared to 8-7 as the favorite. Arizona has dropped three straight series and are 3-6-1 in series play this year. Their overall record is 4-6 over their last 10 games.

The Diamondbacks are 15-17 against the run line this season, including an 8-8 mark at home. They have an average run margin of +0.6 runs per game, with a scoring margin of +0.8 runs per game at home and +0.4 runs per game on the road. Arizona is 6-9 against the run line as the favorite and 9-8 as the underdog.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have played 17 games with over/under lines higher than 8.5 runs this season, and the over/under record in those games is 7-10. The Diamondbacks’ games have averaged 9.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 13-18 overall. In their last two games, the over/under outcome has been under the line. Today’s over/under line is set at 8.5 runs.

Slade Cecconi Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Slade Cecconi is making his first start of the season at home for the Diamondbacks, and he has been solid in his first two outings. He picked up a win in his first start against the Giants, and then took a tough-luck loss against the Mariners in his last outing, despite striking out 8 batters in 6 innings of work.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

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Arizona’s offense has been one of the best in the league so far this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.4 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks have been good at avoiding strikeouts and are among the league leaders in both on-base percentage and slugging percentage.

Christian Walker has been swinging a hot bat for the Diamondbacks, going 8/23 in his last seven games with three homers. For the season, he is batting .276 with a team-high seven home runs. Ketel Marte is also having a solid season at the plate, hitting .307 with five homers. He is currently on a four-game hitting streak.

Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction

We are predicting the Padres to pick up a road win today against the Diamondbacks with a final score of 5-4. With the Padres being on the money line at -108, this is the best way to play this game.

Looking at some potential player props, we have Dylan Cease finishing with six strikeouts, which would have him finishing around eighth in the league today. As for the Diamondbacks, their lineup is projected to finish with eight hits, and as a team, they are projected to finish with just four runs.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.