Philadelphia Phillies vs Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Phillies vs Colorado Rockies Prediction 5/25/2024

The Philadelphia Phillies (37-15) travel to face off against the Colorado Rockies (17-33) on Saturday, May 25th. This game will be played at Coors Field in Denver and televised on None. The Rockies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Rockies. First pitch is set for 9:10 ET.

Phillies vs Rockies

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It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Phillies vs Rockies series. Philadelphia went into the matchup as -208 favorites but could only muster two runs and seven hits. As for the Rockies, they scored three runs on 11 hits and picked up a 3-2 win.

Colorado’s offense was led by Jacob Stallings and Ezequiel Tovar, as they were the only two Rockies hitters to have more than one hit. Stallings also homered in the game. Kris Bryant scored two runs for Colorado while going 2/5.

On the other side, Edmundo Sosa hit the game’s only other home run while going 2/3 with three RBIs. J.T. Realmuto also had a two-hit game for the Phillies.

Philadelphia is 37-15 overall this season, good for a six-game lead over the Braves in the NL East. The Phillies lead the division with an 11-5 record in the division and have won two straight series. This year, they are 11-6 as the road favorite and 5-3 as the underdog.

At home, the Phillies have gone 22-8 and have been really good on the road too, going 15-7. They have been excellent in night games this year, going 24-7. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 11-2-4 and have won four straight series on the road.

Philadelphia has been a solid run line bet this season, going 29-23, including 13-9 on the road. The Phillies have a run differential of +1.8 runs per game this season, and they have a run line record of 24-20 as the favorite.

The Phillies are on the road against the Rockies today. The O/U line is set at 10.5 runs, which is higher than their combined run average of 9.0. Their O/U record is 25-24 on the season, and their average O/U line is 8 runs. This season, they have had only one game with an O/U line set at 10.5 runs, and their O/U record in those games is 0-0. Their games have had an O/U line set at 10.5 runs just 1.9% of the time this season, and their games have had an O/U line set below 10.5 runs 98.1% of the time. Their current O/U streak is under in two straight games.

Aaron Nola Gets The Start For The Phillies

Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Rockies on the road. Nola has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 6-2 with a 3.05 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Nola has a WHIP of 1.05 and opponents are batting .206 off him this season. Nola has turned in six quality starts this year and has a shutout and complete game to his name. In his last outing, he gave up two earned runs in seven innings of work, coming away with the win. Before that, he had won three straight starts.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Phillies are averaging 5.4 runs per game, which is the best mark in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.8 runs per game. Philadelphia’s offense is also near the top of the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage.

The Phillies come into the game with two of the league’s top home run hitters in Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber. Harper’s 12 home runs are 6th best in the league and is also 8th in the league with 37 RBIs. Schwarber is 9th in the league with 9 homers but is batting just .222 this season. Alec Bohm has been a key run producer for the Phillies, as his 46 RBIs are the best in the league, and he is batting .314.

Colorado is 17-33 overall and trail the Dodgers by 14.5 games in the NL West. So far, they are 8-12 against other teams in the NL West. The Rockies have won five straight games at home, and they are 10-12 at home this year.

As for their record on the road, the Rockies are just 7-21 this season. Colorado’s overall series record is 2-13-1, and they have dropped two straight series. So far, they have yet to play a game as the favorite.

When the Rockies win, they tend to do so by a comfortable margin, with an average run differential of +3.2 runs per game. That has helped them to a 27-23 run line record, including a 12-10 mark at home. Colorado has covered the run line in five straight games at home and in four straight as the underdog, where they are 27-23 against the run line this season.

Colorado Rockies games have gone over the total 26 times and under 24 times this season, with an average over/under line of 9 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 10.5 runs, the over has hit just once in five games. Overall, 35 of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s 10.5-run total, which is just 20% of their games this season.

Dakota Hudson Gets The Start For The Rockies

Right-hander Dakota Hudson gets the start for the Rockies today and will be looking to rebound from a rough outing vs. the Giants. In that May 19th start, he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Looking back over his last four outings, Hudson has finished with a no-decision, win, and two losses. Hudson’s record for the season is 1-7, and he has an ERA of 5.89. Opposing batters are hitting .261 off Hudson this year, and his ERA at home is 9.88.

Rockies Offense Breakdown

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So far this season, the Rockies offense is averaging 4 runs per game, which is just 21st in the MLB. They have been a better offense at home, averaging 4.2 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .247, which is 8th in the league, and have the best BABIP in the league. However, they are near the bottom of the league in home runs and have the 25th most strikeouts in the MLB.

Shortstop Ezequiel Tovar has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/31 in his last six games with two homers. For the season, he is batting .285 with seven homers. Ryan McMahon has also been a key power source for the Rockies, as his nine homers is 1st on the team and 15th in the MLB. He also leads the team with 30 RBIs.

Phillies vs Rockies Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Phillies vs. Rockies matchup is to take the under, with the line being set at 10.5 runs. We see this one finishing with a score of 5-4 in favor of the Phillies. However, with the payout for a Phillies win being -238, we recommend going with the under.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Aaron Nola going five innings and finishing with six strikeouts. As for Dakota Hudson, we have him going five innings as well and finishing with five strikeouts.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.