Phillies vs Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Phillies vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction 4/29/2024

The Philadelphia Phillies (19-10) travel to face off against the Los Angeles Angels (10-18) on Monday, April 29th. This game will be played at Angel Stadium of Anaheim in Anaheim and televised on BSW. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Angels are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Twins. First pitch is set for 9:38 ET.

Phillies vs Angels

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The Phillies’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Padres, closing out their series with an 8-6 win. After scoring two runs in the 2nd inning, the Phillies added another two runs in the 4th to take the lead. The Padres scored three runs in the 3rd to tie things up, but the Phillies added another two runs in the 4th to take the lead for good. Philadelphia was the +122 underdog on the money line going into this matchup.

Taijuan Walker had a rough outing in the Phillies’s win, giving up six earned runs on eight hits and issuing two walks. Bryson Stott was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with two homers and four RBIs.

Philadelphia will be on the road today vs. the Angels, and they are riding a four-game winning streak. The Phillies took the final two games of their series vs. the Reds and have won the first two games of their series vs. the Padres. So far, they are 3-3 in divisional games and trail the Braves by 1.5 games in the NL East.

At 19-10 overall, the Phillies are 10-6 at home and 9-4 on the road. As the road favorite, the Phillies have gone 6-3 this year and are 15-7 overall as the favorite. Their series record is 5-2-2 this season.

When the Phillies are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 8-5 so far this season. They have been especially hot as of late, covering the run line in four straight games. Overall, the Phillies have an average run margin of +0.9 runs per game, but that number jumps to +1.5 when they are on the road. They are 11-11 against the run line as the favorite and 4-3 as the underdog.

The Philadelphia Phillies have played 28 games this season with an over/under line, and their games have averaged 8.4 runs. Their over/under record is 12-16, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 1-6. Only 3 of their games have had a higher over/under line than 8.5 runs, which is just 10.3% of their games.

Cristopher Sánchez Gets The Start For The Phillies

Heading into his 5th start of the season, Cristopher Sánchez is still looking for his first win on the year. He has a 1-2 record, but has pitched well, as he has 19 strikeouts in 15 innings of work. His last time out, he took a loss against the Reds, going 3 innings and giving up 5 runs.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

For the season, the Phillies are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. They have been especially good at home, averaging 4.8 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .256, which is 6th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in home runs and slugging percentage. Alec Bohm and Kyle Schwarber have been two of the league’s top power threats, with Bohm batting .365 with four homers and Schwarber hitting seven homers, although he is batting just .200.

Bohm is also one of the hottest hitters in the league right now, going 20/35 in his last eight games with six runs scored and nine RBIs. Bryce Harper has also been driving in runs, but he is just 4/18 in his last five games. Harper and Brandon Marsh are tied for 2nd on the team with six homers.

The Angels will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Twins with an 11-5 loss. Los Angeles was actually the slight favorite at home going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Twins scored four times in the 2nd.

Offensively, the Angels only had two fewer hits than the Twins but scored just five runs. Both of their runs came in the 4th inning. Nolan Schanuel had a good day at the plate, going 2/3 with a homer and two RBIs.

Los Angeles is hosting the Phillies today, with the Angels having an overall record of 10-18. They come in having dropped four straight games, and they lost the final game of their series vs. the Twins. So far, they have yet to play a game in the AL West, where they trail the Mariners by five games.

The Angels have really struggled at home this year, going just 3-9. On the road, they are 7-9 this season. So far, they have really struggled in day games, going 2-11. As the underdog, the Angels are 9-15 this year compared to 1-3 as the favorite. Looking at their overall series record, the Angels are just 1-7-1 this year and have dropped three straight series.

When the Angels are the underdog, they have been a good bet on the run line, going 13-11. They have been outscored by an average of 1.3 runs per game on the season, and their run line record is 13-15. They have been especially poor against the run line at home, going just 3-9.

The Angels have been involved in high-scoring games this season, as their games have averaged 9.8 runs per game. Their over/under record is 15-12, and when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over in 9 of 13 games. Their games have had an average line of 9 runs, and 39.3% of their games have had lines set lower than 8.5 runs. The over has hit in their last two games.

Griffin Canning Gets The Start For The Angels

Griffin Canning has gotten a decision in each of his first three starts of the season, and he will be looking to improve to 2-1 on the year as he takes on the Phillies at home. Canning is coming off a win against the Orioles in his last start, where he went 5 innings and gave up 3 earned runs. In his first start of the year, he took the loss against the Red Sox, and then he took a no-decision in his second start of the year.

Angels Offense Breakdown

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Mike Trout is leading the Angels in home runs this season, but he is batting just .226 for the season and has really struggled of late, hitting just .114 over his last 10 games. However, he does have two homers in that stretch. Taylor Ward has been a bright spot for the Angels, as he is batting .265 for the season and has gone deep seven times, which is 4th in the league and 2nd on the team.

As a team, the Angels are 18th in scoring at 4.2 runs per game. They are also just 15th in home runs and are batting a collective .237, which is 15th in the league. Los Angeles does have a few hitters coming into the game on nice streaks, as Anthony Rendon has a four-game hitting streak, and Luis Rengifo and Nolan Schanuel have three and eight-game hitting streaks, respectively.


Phillies vs Angels Prediction


Our predicted final score for this one is 5-4 in favor of the Angels, and with them being the underdog at +119, they are our recommended pick for this matchup.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we actually have Christopher Sanchez finishing with fewer strikeouts than Griffin Canning, and we have Canning finishing with six K’s. Offensively, we have the Angels finishing with nine total hits, compared to the Phillies, who are projected to finish with nine.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.