MLB Phillies vs Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Phillies vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction 4/30/2024

The Philadelphia Phillies (19-11) travel to face off against the Los Angeles Angels (11-18) on Tuesday, April 30th. This game will be played at Angel Stadium of Anaheim in Anaheim and televised on BSW. The Angels are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Angels. First pitch is set for 9:38 ET.

Phillies vs Angels

philadelphia phillies nba

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Angels vs Phillies series. Los Angeles went into the matchup as +128 underdogs and squeaked out a 6-5 win. Both teams scored one run in the first inning, and the Phillies could only muster one more run in the 5th inning. As for the Angels, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 6th, and both offenses went silent after that.

Griffin Canning got the start for the Angels, going just five innings while giving up four runs and striking out five. Adam Cimber got the win out of the bullpen, and Carlos Estevez got the save. Cristopher Sanchez only went five innings for the Phillies, giving up four earned runs on seven hits.

Jo Adell was the difference for the Angels, as he homered and drove in three runs. Trea Turner did a bit of everything for the Phillies, going 2/4 with two runs scored and two stolen bases.

Philadelphia is 19-11 overall this season, and they are 1.5 games behind the Braves for the NL East lead. The Phillies lost the first game of this series vs. the Angels. So far, they are just 3-3 in divisional games this year. The Phillies have an overall series record of 5-2-2 this year.

The Phillies have been playing well on the road this year, putting together a record of 9-5. At home, they are 10-6 this season. Philadelphia has been really good in night games, going 12-5 so far. As the favorite, the Phillies are 15-8 and 4-3 as the underdog.

When the Phillies win, they do so by an average of 3.6 runs, while their average margin of defeat is -4.1 runs. Overall, they have a run differential of +0.8 runs per game, and their run line record is 15-15. They are 8-6 against the run line on the road and 7-9 at home. As the favorite, they are 11-12 against the run line, while they are 4-3 as the underdog.

Phillies games have gone over the total in two straight games and in four of their last five overall. The over/under line for today’s game is 8.5, which is the same as the combined run average for Phillies games this season. The Phillies have gone over the total in 13 of their 29 games this season, but they are just 1-6 in games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs. Overall, 63.3% of Phillies games have had lower over/under lines than today’s 8.5-run total.

Spencer Turnbull Gets The Start For The Phillies

Spencer Turnbull is on the mound for the Phillies as they take on the Angels. This will be his 3rd start of the season, and he has yet to take a loss, going 1-0 with a no-decision. In his last start, he went 5 innings, giving up 1 earned run and striking out 8 batters.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Phillies are 2nd in the league in home runs and have the 5th best team batting average in the league at .254. Alec Bohm has been one of the league’s top hitters so far, coming in with a batting average of .364 and 29 RBIs, which is 2nd in the MLB. He also has four homers. Bohm is currently on a 13-game hitting streak.

Philadelphia’s top power threat is Kyle Schwarber, who has seven homers this season, but he is batting just .202. Bryce Harper has also been a big power threat, but he is hitting just .237 for the season. Harper has two homers in his last five games, but he is just 4/18 during that stretch. J.T. Realmuto has two homers in his last four games and is hitting .312 in his last four.

Los Angeles is 11-18 overall this season and trail the Mariners by five games in the AL West. The Angels have yet to play a game against another AL West team this season. They picked up a win in their most recent game vs. the Phillies after dropping the first game of the series.

So far, the Angels have really struggled in day games, going just 3-10 this season. As the underdog, Los Angeles is 10-15 compared to a mark of 1-3 as the favorite. At home, the Angels have gone just 4-9 this year. Looking at their overall series record, the Angels are just 1-7-1 and have lost three straight series.

When the Angels win, they tend to do so by a comfortable margin, as their average run differential in victories is +3.5. However, they have struggled to cover the run line as the favorite, going 0-4 in those games. Overall, they are just 14-15 against the run line this season, but they have been much better on the road, going 10-6.

The Angels have been involved in 12 games this season where the over/under line was set at 8.5 runs. In those games, the over has gone 9-4. Their games have averaged 9.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record for the season is 16-12. They have gone over the total in their last three games, with their most recent game against the Phillies going over the 9.0-run line.

Tyler Anderson Gets The Start For The Angels

After picking up a win in his first start of the season, Tyler Anderson has taken losses in each of his last two outings. He has gone 7 innings in each of those starts, and in his most recent outing, he gave up 2 earned runs and struck out 7 batters against the Orioles.

Angels Offense Breakdown

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So far this season, the Angels offense is averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 18th in the league and right in the middle of the pack. They are also 7th in the league in home runs and have a team batting average of .241. The Angels are hoping that Mike Trout can get things going, as he is batting just .220 this season, but his 10 homers are the best in the league.

Over the team’s last seven games, Jo Adell has three homers and is hitting .375, while Zach Neto has gone 10/25. Adell is also on a three-game hitting streak. Anthony Rendon and Luis Rengifo are both on four-game hitting streaks.

 

Phillies vs Angels Prediction

 

Our prediction for this Phillies vs. Angels matchup is to take the Angels on the money line at +117. We actually have the Angels winning this one by a score of 5-4. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also consider the over/under line, as the line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and we have this one finishing with a combined nine runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Spencer Turnbull finishing with seven strikeouts, which is better than Tyler Anderson, who we have finishing with four. As for the Phillies lineup, they are projected to finish with 8 total strikeouts, while the Angels are predicted to finish with nine.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.