Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 5/15/2024

The Pittsburgh Pirates (19-24) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (25-17) on Wednesday, May 15th. This game will be played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and televised on BSWI. The Brewers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Pirates are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Brewers. First pitch is set for 1:10 ET.

Pirates vs Brewers

pittsburgh pirates nba

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Pirates vs Brewers series. Pittsburgh went into the matchup as +135 underdogs and lost by a score of 4-3. The Pirates had a late rally, scoring one run in the 9th, but the Brewers closed things out with Trevor Megill getting the save.

Milwaukee’s offense was led by Sal Frelick, Christian Yelich, and Brice Turang, as they were the only three Brewers hitters to have more than one hit. Frelick and Yelich each homered in the game.

Joe Ross only went five innings for the Brewers but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued one walk. On the other side, Quinn Priester had a rough outing for the Pirates, taking the loss after going six innings and giving up four earned runs.

Pittsburgh is 19-24 overall and 6.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Pirates are 4-5 in divisional games this year. So far, they have been good as the underdog, going 13-12 compared to 6-12 as the favorite. Their overall record on the road is 10-12, and they are 9-12 at home.

The Pirates have lost two straight series and are 4-6-3 in series record this year. So far, they are 5-5 in their last 10 games, and they will look to take the series lead vs. the Brewers today.

When the Pirates win, they win big, as their average run margin in victories is +2.6. But when they lose, they lose by an average of -3.1 runs. Their run line record as a favorite is just 5-13, but as an underdog, they have covered at a 72% clip, going 18-7. They are currently on a two-game run line win streak on the road and have covered in six straight games as an underdog.

So far this season, the Pirates have played 42 games, and 24 of them have had over/under lines set lower than 8.5 runs. The over/under record for those games is 10-14. In the other 18 games, the over/under line was set at 8.5 or higher, and the over/under record for those games is 9-9. The average over/under line for Pirates games this season is 8 runs per game.

Martín Pérez Gets The Start For The Pirates

Martín Pérez gets the start for the Pirates today as he faces the Brewers on the road. So far this season, he has made eight starts and has a record of 1-2 with an ERA of 3.60. Looking at his overall numbers, Perez has a WHIP of 1.40 and has issued just 2.6 walks per nine innings compared to 7.2 strikeouts. Perez has made three quality starts this year, and opponents are batting .276 off the left-hander. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight outings.

Pirates Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Pirates are batting just .223 this season, which is 23rd in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.3 runs per game. Overall, they are 26th in the league at 3.7 runs per contest. Pittsburgh’s offense has been near the bottom of the league in most major offensive categories.

Oneil Cruz and Connor Joe have been swinging the bat well of late, with Cruz hitting .400 over his last five games and Joe going 4/12 with three homers in his last three games. Joe is also on a five-game hitting streak. Joe comes into the game with a team-high 21 RBIs and is batting .293 for the season. Cruz has seven homers, which is 7th best in the league, and is batting .271.

Milwaukee is hosting the Pirates today with an overall record of 25-17, which has them leading the NL Central by 1.5 games over the Cubs. So far, they have gone 12-7 in divisional matchups. The Brewers have gone 11-9 at home this year and are 14-8 on the road.

The Brewers have gone 12-8 as the favorite this year and are 13-9 as the underdog. As for their overall series record, the Brewers are 7-4-2, heading into today’s game vs. the Pirates. Milwaukee’s overall series record is a result of going 5-5 over their last 10 games.

When the Brewers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.6 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.2 runs per game. Milwaukee is 21-21 vs. the run line this season, including a 7-13 mark at home. As the underdog, the Brewers are 15-7 vs. the run line, compared to just 6-14 as the favorite. On the road, they are 14-8 vs. the run line, with a scoring margin of +1.4 runs per game.

The Milwaukee Brewers have had an Over/Under record of 25-17 this season, and their games have had an average of 9.3 runs per game. When the Over/Under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Over has hit in 16 of their 23 games. Overall, the Over has hit in 57.1% of their games this season.

Robert Gasser Gets The Start For The Brewers

Robert Gasser and the Brewers are taking on the Pirates at home. Gasser has been solid in his first start of the season, as he picked up the win against the Cardinals, going 6 innings and striking out 4 while giving up just 2 hits.

Brewers Offense Breakdown

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William Contreras has been on fire of late for the Brewers, going 14/31 in his last eight games. For the season, he is batting .352 and leads the team with 30 RBIs. Rhys Hoskins has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/19 in his last six games with three homers. Hoskins is batting just .233 for the season, but his nine homers are good for 5th in the league.

As a team, the Brewers are 3rd in scoring at 5.1 runs per game. They have been especially good at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 5th in team batting average and have the league’s 5th ranked home run-hitting lineup. Currently, Christian Yelich and William Contreras are on hitting streaks of 5 and 8 games, respectively.

Pirates vs Brewers Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Pirates vs. Brewers matchup is to take the Brewers on the money line at -144. We actually have the Brewers winning this one by a score of 5-4, so you could also look to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 8.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Robert Gasser is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and he is currently ninth among starters in terms of K’s. As for Martin Perez, we have him finishing with just four strikeouts, which is fourth worst among today’s starters.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.