Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 4/14/2024

The Pittsburgh Pirates (10-5) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (8-7) on Sunday, April 14th. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on SN PT. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Pirates are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pirates. First pitch is set for 1:35 ET.

Pirates vs Phillies

pittsburgh pirates nba

Philadelphia picked up a 4-3 win over the Pirates in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a two-run lead going into the 9th inning, and the Pirates could only muster one run in the bottom half of the inning. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -158 on the money line.

Kyle Schwarber hit the game’s only home run while going 3/3 with two RBIs and two runs scored. Nick Castellanos also had a two-hit game for Philadelphia. For the Pirates, Oneil Cruz went 1/4 with a homer.

Spencer Turnbull only went four innings for the Phillies but gave up just three hits and one earned run. Jeff Hoffman got the win out of the bullpen. Marco Gonzales went six innings for the Pirates, giving up two earned runs on six hits.

The Pirates come into this one, having gone 10-5 this season, good for 2nd place in the NL Central. Currently, they are one game behind the Brewers for the division lead. So far, they have yet to play a game in the division.

When playing on the road, the Pirates have gone 7-3 compared to 3-2 at home. They are also on an overall series winning streak, having gone 3-0-1 this season.

When the Pirates win, they win big, with an average run margin of 2.9 runs per game. As a result, they have an 11-4 run line record, including an 8-2 mark on the road. They’ve been particularly strong against the run line as the underdog, going 9-2. They’ve covered the run line in two straight games and have a road run line record of 3-2.

So far this season, the Pirates have played 15 games and have gone over the total in 8 of them. The average over/under line in their games has been 8 runs, but their games have averaged 9.3 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Pirates have gone over the total in 5 of 9 games. Their games have gone under the total in 4 straight games.

Mitch Keller Gets The Start For The Pirates

Mitch Keller and the Pirates are on the road to take on the Phillies. Keller has a 1-1 record to start the season, and in his last outing, he picked up the win against the Tigers. In that game, he struck out 9 batters over 6 innings, but he did give up 3 home runs.

Pirates Offense Breakdown

For the Pirates, we have Oneil Cruz with the best chance to hit a home run, as his home run projection is 5th best in the league today. Ke’Bryan Hayes has the 10th best chance to hit a home run in today’s slate of games. In terms of total hits, we have Bryan Reynolds with the 3rd best odds on the team and Oneil Cruz with the 2nd best odds.

With an overall record of 8-7, the Phillies are 2nd in the NL East, trailing the Braves by just one game. The Phillies head into today’s game, having won their most recent series vs the Pirates. This season, the Phillies are 4-5 at home and have gone 4-2 on the road.

Looking at Philadelphia’s series record, they have won each of their last two series and are 2-2 for the season. When favored, the Phillies are 6-5, and they are 2-2 as the underdog this season.

When the Phillies win, they tend to win big, with an average run margin of +2.6 in victories. In losses, they have been outscored by an average of -3.9 runs per game. Overall, their average run margin is -0.4 runs per game, and they are 6-9 against the run line this season. The Phillies are 3-6 against the run line at home, where they have a scoring margin of -1.3 runs per game. On the road, they are 3-3 against the run line, with a scoring margin of +1.0 runs per game. As the favorite, they are 4-7 against the run line, while as the underdog, they are 2-2.

The Phillies have had a lot of low-scoring games this season, as their games have averaged just 7.9 runs per game. Their over/under record is just 5-10, and they have gone under in 10 straight games. Their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 0-4, and just 13.3% of their games have had higher lines than that. Their games have averaged just 7 runs per game, and they have gone under in 60% of their games when the line is set at 8.5 runs.

Zack Wheeler Gets The Start For The Phillies

Zack Wheeler and the Phillies are back at home tonight, where they will be hosting the Pirates. Wheeler has started the season with a pair of losses, but he has been solid in both outings. He struck out 10 batters in his first start and went seven innings in his last outing on the road against the Cardinals.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

philadelphia phillies

If you’re looking at player props for the Phillies, Bryce Harper has the 2nd highest total hits projection on the team and the 20th highest in the league today. He also has the top odds to hit a home run on the team and the 3rd best odds in the league. Kyle Schwarber is 8th on the team in total hits, but he has the best odds to hit a home run on the team and the 3rd best odds in the league. Trea Turner has the top total hits projection on the team and the 11th best in the league. His odds to hit a home run are 2nd on the team and 7th best in the league.


Pirates vs Phillies Prediction


Our prediction for this Pirates vs. Phillies matchup is to take the Pirates on the money line, with the payout sitting at +158. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Pirates, giving you a good payout if you decide to take them on the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Mitch Keller finishing with eight strikeouts, which is the third-best among all starters today. As for Zack Wheeler, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which has him ranked 13th among starters.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.