Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins Prediction 3/29/2024

The Pittsburgh Pirates (1-0) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (0-1) on Friday, March 29th. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on BSFL. The Pittsburgh Pirates are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Miami Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Marlins. First pitch is set for 7:10 ET.

Pirates vs Marlins

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The Pirates and Marlins needed extra innings to decide the previous game of this series, with the Pirates coming out on top by a score of 6-5. Heading into the game, the Marlins were the slight favorite at -129 on the money line.

Mitch Keller got the start for the Pirates and gave up four earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work, while Marlins starter Jesus Luzardo went five innings and gave up two earned runs. Luis L. Ortiz got the win out of the bullpen for Pittsburgh, and Jose Hernandez picked up the save.

Despite being outhit by the Pirates, the Marlins were able to force extra innings thanks to a three-RBI game from Jake Burger. Bryan Reynolds and Oneil Cruz both went deep for the Pirates, and Edward Olivares also homered on his only at-bat of the game.

Martín Pérez Gets The Start For The Pirates

Coming off a season in which he made 20 starts and 35 appearances, Martín Pérez finished with a record of 10-4 and an ERA of 4.45. Last season, Pérez allowed a total of 21 home runs and had eight quality starts. His WHIP for the year was 1.41, and he finished the season with an average of 1.4 walks per game. Pérez’s FIP for the season was 4.99, and his strikeout-to-walk ratio was 1.9. For the season, Pérez finished with a batting average allowed of .273 and an on-base percentage allowed of .330. His slugging percentage allowed was .438, and his OPS allowed was .768. For the season, Pérez averaged 5.91 strikeouts per nine innings and had a strikeout rate of 0.7 per inning.

Pirates Offense Breakdown

When it comes to the Pirates’ offensive projections, we have Ke’Bryan Hayes with the highest total hits projection on the team, which is also 17th best in the league today. Oneil Cruz has the top home run projection on the team and is 8th in the league in that category. Andrew McCutchen has the 2nd best home run projection on the team and 12th best in the league. Bryan Reynolds is 3rd in terms of home run projections for the Pirates.

A.J. Puk Gets The Start For The Marlins

Coming off a season in which he made 54 appearances but no starts, A.J. Puk will be looking to build off his 7-5 record and 3.97 ERA. Last season, Puk allowed a batting average of .236 and an on-base percentage of .277. His WHIP for the season was 1.18, and he allowed a total of 10 home runs. Puk’s FIP for the season was 3.59, and he averaged 0.2 walks per game. His strikeout-to-walk ratio for the season was 6.0.

Marlins Offense Breakdown

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Looking at the Marlins’ hitting projections, we have Luis Arraez as our top projected hitter for Miami in terms of total hits, with his total hits projection being the 6th best in today’s entire league. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has the 2nd best odds to hit a home run for the Marlins, and his home run projection is 8th best in today’s slate of games. If you’re looking for a longshot bet, Jake Burger has the best odds to hit a home run for the Marlins, and his home run projection is 4th best in today’s games.

Pirates vs Marlins Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Pirates vs. Marlins matchup is to take the Marlins on the money line at -130. We actually have the Marlins winning this one by a score of 5-4, meaning you could also look to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 8 runs.

Looking at today’s starters, we have A.J. Puk finishing with four strikeouts, which is good for ninth among all starters. As for Martin Perez, he is projected to finish with just four K’s, which has him down in 13th.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.