Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 5/13/2024

The Cincinnati Reds (17-23) travel to face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (19-22) on Monday, May 13th. This game will be played at Chase Field in Phoenix and televised on None. The Diamondbacks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Reds are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Giants. First pitch is set for 9:40 ET.

Reds vs Diamondbacks

cincinnati reds nba

The Reds will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Giants with a 6-5 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Giants scored a run in the bottom of the 9th. Cincinnati was the +105 underdog on the road going into the game.

Frankie Montas had a rough outing, giving up four earned runs on seven hits and issuing three walks. The Reds also wasted a big game from Mike Ford, who homered in the 1st inning, going 1/5.

Cincinnati is on the road today vs. the Diamondbacks, and they are looking to snap a two-game losing streak, as they are 17-23 overall. The Reds are 4th in the NL Central, seven games behind the Brewers. So far, they are 1-2 in divisional games this year.

At home, the Reds are 9-13 this year compared to 8-10 on the road. As the road underdog, the Reds are 5-9 this year and an even 10-10 as the favorite. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 4-8-1, and they have dropped five straight series.

The Reds are 19-21 against the run line this season, and they are 11-7 against the run line on the road. Their average run differential is -0.1 runs per game, but they are outscoring opponents by 0.4 runs per game on the road. When they win, they win big, with an average run differential of 4.1 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 3.3 runs per game.

When the Reds play on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Their games this season have averaged 8.7 runs per game, and their over/under record is 19-19. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 2-3. So far this season, 47.5% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.

Graham Ashcraft Gets The Start For The Reds

Cincinnati is sending right-hander Graham Ashcraft to the mound today vs. the Diamondbacks. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 3-2 with a 3.86 ERA. Ashcraft’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.34. In his 39 2/3 innings of work, he has allowed five home runs. One of these home runs came in his most recent outing, where he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Ashcraft has made three quality starts this year. Opponents are batting .252 off Ashcraft this year.

Reds Offense Breakdown

Elly De La Cruz and Spencer Steer have been the Reds’ top power threats this season, with De La Cruz leading the team with nine homers and Steer coming in at 2nd with four home runs. De La Cruz is batting .262 for the season and has gone 5/19 with a homer in his last five games. Steer is also on a four-game hitting streak. Jeimer Candelario has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/20 in his last five games.

For the season, the Reds are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. They have been a below-average hitting team, with a team batting average of just .215. Collectively, they have the 23rd ranked OPS in the league and are also near the bottom of the league in terms of on-base percentage.

Heading into their last game vs. the Orioles, the Diamondbacks closed out the series with a 9-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +108 on the money line. It was a six-run 6th inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Orioles could only score two runs, both of which came in the 4th.

Zac Gallen put together a good start for the Diamondbacks, going six innings and giving up just two runs on four hits. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

Arizona will be hosting the Reds today with an overall record of 19-22, which has them 3rd in the NL West. Currently, they are 7.5 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. The Diamondbacks are 9-8 in divisional matchups this year.

At home, the Diamondbacks are 9-10 this year compared to 10-12 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 17 games, going 9-8, and they are 10-14 as the underdog. Arizona’s overall series record is 4-8-1, and they have dropped three straight series at home.

Arizona’s run line record is 21-20, with a run differential of +0.4 runs per game. They are 9-10 vs. the run line at home, compared to 12-10 on the road. The Diamondbacks have been the underdog in 24 of their games, going 14-10 vs. the run line in those contests.

The Diamondbacks have had a combined run average of 9.6 this season, and their over/under record is 17-22. Their average over/under line for games this season is 9 runs, but their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 6-5. In their last 10 games, the over has hit in 6 of them. Their over/under record for the season is 17-22, but their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 6-5. In their last 10 games, the over has hit in 6 of them.

Jordan Montgomery Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Coming off a win in his last start, Jordan Montgomery will be on the mound for the Diamondbacks at home vs. the Reds. He has a 1-1 record on the year, with his most recent outing being a 7-inning performance in which he struck out 7 and gave up 2 earned runs. In his first start of the season, Montgomery took the loss, going 3 innings and giving up 6 runs.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

arizona diamondbacks

Heading into today’s game, the Diamondbacks are 5th in the league in runs scored at 5 runs per contest. They have been especially good at home, averaging 5.2 runs per game. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run hitting teams and have a collective batting average of .246, which is 8th in the majors. Arizona’s offense is also tough to strike out, as they have the 5th fewest strikeouts in the league.

Over his last nine games, Ketel Marte has four home runs and is batting .243. For the season, he is batting .293 with a team-high nine homers. Marte is also 2nd on the team in RBIs. Christian Walker has also been a key run producer for the Diamondbacks, as his 27 RBIs are 9th in the league. Walker is batting .265 and has gone deep seven times this season.

Reds vs Diamondbacks Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Reds vs. Diamondbacks game is to take the Reds on the money line at +125. We have the Reds winning this one by a score of 5-4. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also take the over, as the line is sitting at 8.5 runs.

Looking at today’s starters, Jordan Montgomery is projected to finish with more strikeouts than Graham Ashcraft. However, we have Montgomery finishing with just five K’s and Ashcraft with four.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.